2025 Rate Study Report_Revised Final.pdf

City of Buckeye — Regular Council Meeting (2026-04-07)

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1 
 
Contents 
Recommended Water Base and Usage Rates ............................................................................ 2 
Recommended Sewer Base and Usage Rates ............................................................................ 3 
Definitions ............................................................................................................................... 3 
Introduction ............................................................................................................................. 4 
Goals & Objectives ................................................................................................................... 4 
1. Conduct a Cost-of-Service (COS) Analysis ......................................................................... 4 
2. Establish Revenue Requirements for Each Utility ................................................................ 5 
3. Promote Ratepayer Affordability Through Best Practices ..................................................... 5 
Approach ................................................................................................................................. 5 
Model Development and Review ............................................................................................ 6 
Source Data ............................................................................................................................. 6 
Beginning Fund Balances ...................................................................................................... 6 
Revenues ............................................................................................................................. 6 
Expenditures ........................................................................................................................ 6 
Capital Improvement Plan (CIP)............................................................................................. 6 
Personnel Needs .................................................................................................................. 6 
Asset Management Needs ..................................................................................................... 7 
Water Utility ............................................................................................................................. 7 
Required Revenue Determination .......................................................................................... 7 
Water Cost Drivers ................................................................................................................ 7 
Projected Reserve Balances ..................................................................................................... 8 
Rate Design .............................................................................................................................. 9 
Recommendation: Gradualism Scenario (GM) ....................................................................... 9 
Base Rate Adjustments ......................................................................................................... 9 
Usage Rate Adjustments ..................................................................................................... 10 
Wastewater Utility .................................................................................................................. 11 
Required Revenue Determination ........................................................................................ 11 
Wastewater Cost Drivers ..................................................................................................... 11 
Projected Reserve Balances ........................................................ Error! Bookmark not defined. 
Rate Design ............................................................................................................................ 13 
Recommendation: Gradualism Scenario (GM) ..................................................................... 13 
Base & Usage Rate Adjustments .......................................................................................... 13 
Recommendations & Conclusions .......................................................................................... 14

2 
 
 
Recommended Water Base and Usage Rates 
 
2026
2027
2028
2029
3/4”
$30.02 
$31.30 
$32.63 
$34.01 
1”
$33.36 
$34.77 
$36.25 
$37.79 
1.5”
$66.51 
$69.34 
$72.29 
$75.36 
2”
$106.46 
$110.98 
$115.70 
$120.62 
3”
$213.12 
$222.18 
$231.62 
$241.46 
4”
$332.96 
$347.11 
$361.87 
$377.25 
6”
$665.73 
$694.02 
$723.52 
$754.26 
8”
$1,065.20 
$1,110.47 
$1,157.67 
$1,206.87 
10”
$1,531.39 
$1,596.47 
$1,664.32 
$1,735.06 
Residential Usage Rate 
2026
2027
2028
2029
0 – 6k 
$4.77 
$4.97 
$5.18 
$5.40 
6,001– 10k 
$5.96 
$6.22 
$6.48 
$6.76 
10,001 – 20k 
$7.45 
$7.77 
$8.10 
$8.44 
20,001 -30k 
$9.69 
$10.10 
$10.53 
$10.98 
30,001+ 
$12.60 
$13.13 
$13.69 
$14.27 
Potable Landscape Usage 
Rate 
2026
2027
2028
2029
0 – 50k 
$7.02 
$7.32 
$7.63 
$7.96 
50,001+ 
$8.78 
$9.15 
$9.54 
$9.94 
Non-Potable Landscape 
Usage Rate 
2026
2027
2028
2029
Per 1,000 Gallons
$4.77 
$4.97 
$5.18 
$5.40 
2026
2027
2028
2029
3/4”
$70.20 
$73.18 
$76.29 
$79.53 
1”
$78.00 
$81.31 
$84.77 
$88.37 
1.5”
$155.53 
$162.14 
$169.03 
$176.22 
2”
$248.94 
$259.52 
$270.55 
$282.05 
3”
$498.35 
$519.53 
$541.61 
$564.63 
4”
$778.59 
$811.68 
$846.17 
$882.13 
6”
$1,556.71 
$1,622.87 
$1,691.84 
$1,763.74 
8”
$2,490.82 
$2,596.68 
$2,707.04 
$2,822.09 
10”
$3,580.94 
$3,733.13 
$3,891.78 
$4,057.18 
Comm./Multi-Fam. Usage 
Rates
2026
2027
2028
2029
0-10K
$9.45 
$9.86 
$10.27 
$10.71 
10,001 – 30k 
$9.93 
$11.09 
$11.56 
$12.05 
30,001 - 50k 
$9.93 
$12.47 
$13.00 
$13.55 
50,001+ 
$9.93 
$12.47 
$14.63 
$15.25 
Hydrant Meter Usage Rates
2026
2027
2028
2029
Per 1,000 Gallons
$9.93 
$12.47 
$14.63 
$15.25 
Meter Size
Commercial, Hydrants & Multi-Family 
Proposed Base Rates
Meter Size
Residential and Landscape Proposed Base Rates

3 
 
Recommended Sewer Base and Usage Rates 
 
 
Definitions 
Customer Class – Residential, Commercial/Multi‑Family, Potable Landscape, and 
Non‑Potable Landscape. 
Enterprise Fund – A stand‑alone financial fund where user fees cover all costs of service. 
2025 Water and Wastewater Rate Committee (WRC) – Seven voting Buckeye residents 
(one per district plus one at‑large) and two non‑voting alternates. 
Inflation – A sustained rise in general price levels that reduces purchasing power. 
Asset Management (AM) – Strategic rehabilitation and replacement of utility assets. 
Rate Cycle – A multi-year period in which utility rates are set based on projected 
expenditures. 
Rate Structure – The combination of base rates, usage tiers, and miscellaneous fees used 
to recover costs. 
Base Rate – A fixed monthly service charge. 
Usage Rate – A variable charge based on metered water consumption. 
Cost-of-Service (COS) – The allocation of utility costs to customer classes based on their 
share of system usage. 
Revenue Requirement – Total funding needed to operate, maintain, and reinvest in the 
utility. 
Residential Sewer Base Rate
2026
2027
2028
2029
All Meters
$39.44 
$42.20 
$45.15 
$48.31 
Res. Sewer Usage Rate 
2026
2027
2028
2029
Per 1,000 Gallons
$0.00 
$0.00 
$0.00 
$0.00 
Commercial Sewer  Base Rate
2026
2027
2028
2029
(per Meter Size)
¾”
$43.50 
$46.55 
$49.80 
$53.29 
1” 
$72.65 
$77.73 
$83.17 
$88.99 
1.5”
$144.86 
$154.99 
$165.84 
$177.45 
2”
$231.86 
$248.08 
$265.45 
$284.03 
3” 
$464.15 
$496.64 
$531.40 
$568.60 
4” 
$725.15 
$775.91 
$830.22 
$888.33 
6”
$1,449.86 
$1,551.34 
$1,659.94 
$1,776.13 
Comm. Sewer Usage Rate 
2026
2027
2028
2029
Per 1,000 Gallons
$4.00 
$5.00 
$5.72 
$6.13

4 
 
 
Introduction 
The City of Buckeye provides water and wastewater services to approximately 33,000 water 
connections and 35,000 wastewater connections across its 640‑square‑mile service area. 
As enterprise-funded utilities, these services must be financially self-sustaining through 
user rates and fees. 
The last water rate adjustments were implemented in 2020 and wastewater rates in 2016. In 
that time, despite rising costs and significant citywide growth, the Water Resources 
Department (WRD) has maintained quality service delivery through effective management 
strategies and strict operational efficiency. However, the utilities face serious financial 
pressures due to: 
• Nearly 25% cumulative inflation since 2020. 
• Significant Asset Management (AM) demands from aging and expanding 
infrastructure. 
• Increasing operational costs driven by system growth and rising utility expenses. 
• The ongoing need to maintain safe, reliable, and compliant water and wastewater 
services. 
In 2025, the WRD—working collaboratively with the Finance Department (FIN) and the 2025 
Citizen Water and Wastewater Rate Committee (WRC)—completed a comprehensive rate 
study to restore enterprise fund stability and ensure long-term resilience.  
After receiving extensive feedback from the public, city management, and the Buckeye City 
Council, the established recommendations were further modified. 
This report summarizes the results of the rate study and the WRC’s recommendations to the 
Buckeye City Council, and the subsequent modifications to the recommendations.  
This study does not include meter fees or irrigation rate adjustments. 
 
 
Goals & Objectives 
The predominant goal of the rate study was to stabilize and strengthen the financial position 
of the water and wastewater utilities without causing undue hardship to any customer class. 
To achieve this goal, the study pursued the following objectives: 
1. Conduct a Cost-of-Service (COS) Analysis 
• Determine each customer class’s fair share of system costs. 
• Ensure no customer class subsidizes another.

5 
 
2. Establish Revenue Requirements for Each Utility 
Develop a multi-year rate schedule that generates sufficient revenue to:  
• Fund essential Asset Management, portfolio needs, and annual operations.  
• Maintain 17% emergency reserve levels, as required by city policy.  
• Meet required debt service coverage ratios.  
• Provide reliable funding for capital projects necessary to support citywide growth. 
3. Promote Ratepayer Affordability Through Best Practices 
• Strategically leverage debt to reduce near-term rate impacts. 
• Phase in adjustments gradually to promote long-term rate stability. 
 
Approach 
The study evaluated current and projected enterprise fund revenues against overall financial 
requirements over a five-year period (FY26–FY30). After conducting COS allocations and 
establishing revenue requirements, WRD and FIN evaluated multiple rate scenarios with the 
WRC. 
On October 9, 2025, the WRC unanimously recommended the Gradualism Scenario, a 
phased rate adjustment approach that: 
• Provides consistent and predictable year-over-year revenue increases from 2026 to 
2030. 
• Builds AM and portfolio budgets to sustainable levels. 
• Maintains affordability by avoiding steep, one-time rate increases. 
Under the current (pre-adjustment) structure, rate revenue only increases through 
customer growth. However, these new accounts generate additional operating costs that 
offset any benefit from added revenue. Without rate adjustments, no economies of scale 
are realized. 
After public outreach efforts and further staff analysis, it was determined that a four-year 
rate cycle was more appropriate due to planned future debt issuance.  Under the 
recommended scenario, rate revenues increase by 35% over the four-year cycle, enabling 
the city to:  
• Begin proactive AM implementation.  
• Invest in critical capital projects.  
• Stabilize fund balances.

6 
 
 
Model Development and Review 
The city contracted Willdan to develop a comprehensive financial model incorporating 
revenues, expenditures, customer growth, AM needs, capital improvement planning, and 
debt service. WRD and FIN staff then designed rate strategies using this model, and the WRC 
reviewed and evaluated multiple alternatives. 
After extensive feedback from the public, city management, and Buckeye City Council, the 
rates were further refined. Commercial, Hydrant, and Multi-family water base rates were 
separated from Residential, Potable Landscape, and Non-Potable Landscape. 
Additionally, the recommended rate cycle was reduced from five years to four years. 
 
Source Data 
Beginning Fund Balances 
Finance Department data established the starting fund balances for both utilities. 
Revenues 
Utility revenue includes rate revenue, interest earnings, and miscellaneous service fees. 
While based on the budget, FY26 reflects an anticipated rate adjustment; FY27–FY30 
include projected customer growth, rate adjustments, and usage trends. 
Expenditures 
Revenue requirements include O&M expenses, personnel, asset Management, portfolio 
costs, interfund transfers, debt service, and capital investment needs. 
Cost escalation assumptions follow city policy and historical averages. 
Capital Improvement Plan (CIP) 
The continuous investment into the utility’s infrastructure needs, specifically expansion and 
treatment, is a critical element of the utility’s financial plans.   
Personnel Needs 
Projected staffing increases reflect incoming infrastructure and service area growth: 
Utility 
FY27 
FY28 
FY29 FY30 
New Water FTE 
3.5 
5.5 
4 
2 
New Wastewater FTE 
1 
2.5 
2 
3 
Personnel costs assume 12% annual growth (merit, COLA, insurance, liability).

7 
 
Asset Management Needs 
Year-Over-Year (YOY) asset management needs were developed based on manufacturer 
and industry standard rehabilitation and replacement schedules and analysis of known 
issues. 
 
Water Utility 
Required Revenue Determination 
The analysis determined that current water rates are insufficient to meet future financial 
obligations. Gradual annual increases are required to close the gap between projected 
revenues and projected costs. 
Water and wastewater rate revenues in each year are calculated based on the assumption 
the recommended rate increases are approved, projected growth is realized and expected 
billing volumes maintain historical growth trends.  
Water Cost Drivers 
1. Asset Management (AM) 
The most significant cost driver, AM, requires consistent funding to ensure the proper 
rehabilitation and replacement of assets critical to the delivery of service. To this point, 
proactive AM practices have not been in place and rehabilitation, and replacement activities 
have only been performed reactively. This method of management is considerably more 
expensive and is unsustainable.  
 
By FY26, WRD will manage $791 million in critical water assets. Industry-standard AM 
budgets target 2% of asset value (~$15.28 million annually). However, the rate increases 
needed to immediately create a 2% AM budget would cause a detrimental impact to the City 
of Buckeye customer’s combined utility bill. Moreover, the city does not yet possess the 
resources (personnel, supporting department resources, etc.) to execute a 2% AM budget. 
The proposed rates support a phased build‑up beginning with $3.4 million in FY27 and 
increasing to $7.1 million in 2029. 
 
2. Operations 
Operational costs are rising due to: 
• Inflation 
• An anticipated 14–16% electric rate increase  
• Additional 
infrastructure 
requiring 
chemicals, 
electricity, 
vehicles, 
and 
maintenance.

8 
 
3. Portfolio 
Portfolio costs represent long-term water supply and management investments. The 
proposed rates build up a stable portfolio budget beginning with $5.5 million in FY27 and 
increasing 10% annually.  
 
4. Capital Improvement Requirements 
Major capital projections for the Water utility through FY30 include significant investments 
in treatment, expansion, pressure management, and groundwater treatment projects. It is 
anticipated that $45.1 million of major capital will be funded by rates, and an additional 
$50.5 million will come from impact fees. 
Projected Reserve Balance and Debt Coverage Ratio 
Based on the City’s financial policies, the water fund currently maintains an operating 
reserve equal to 17% of the utility’s rate revenue.  Additionally, a debt service coverage ratio 
of at least 1.2 times our debt service obligations is required by financial policies.   
As recommended, the rate plan can meet these two metrics while maintaining an operating 
surplus. The following schedule outlines the anticipated performance against these metrics 
and estimated cashflow for the five-year period.

9 
 
 
Rate Design 
Recommendation: Gradualism Scenario (GM) 
Under the recommended scenario, rate adjustments occur annually through the 2026–2029 
rate cycle, improving fund stability and abating ratepayer impacts. 
Base Rate Adjustments 
The proposed restructuring realigns base rates with meter flow capacity, correcting 
inconsistencies in the current structure. As such, base rate changes for Residential, Potable 
Landscape and Non-Potable Landscape have been adjusted as depicted below. 
 
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
Operations
Water Rate Revenue Increases
4.25%
4.25%
4.25%
4.25%
4.25%
% of Year Rate Increase Effective
8.00%
50.00%
50.00%
50.00%
50.00%
 Beginning Unrestricted Fund Balance 
48,886,025
$            
30,538,018
$            
19,834,768
$          
30,182,929
$            
18,982,100
$          
Rate Revenue 1
38,725,443
$            
42,673,964
$            
46,991,444
$          
51,695,228
$            
56,586,889
$          
Total Rate Revenue
38,725,443
$            
42,673,964
$            
46,991,444
$          
51,695,228
$            
56,586,889
$          
Other Operating Revenue
6,086,153
               
4,663,043
               
4,743,778
              
4,828,549
               
4,917,559
             
Interest Income - Operating Fund
1,946,997
               
678,300
                  
657,800
                 
633,400
                  
368,500
                
Total Operating Revenue
46,758,593
$            
48,015,307
$            
52,393,021
$          
57,157,177
$            
61,872,948
$          
Operating Expenses
(34,734,100)
             
(35,518,700)
             
(39,335,700)
           
(43,452,500)
            
(48,079,900)
           
Net Revenue
12,024,493
$            
12,496,607
$            
13,057,321
$          
13,704,677
$            
13,793,048
$          
Plus:
Other Sources of Funds
Repair and Replacement Funding
500,000
                  
-
                         
-
                        
-
                         
-
                       
Debt Proceeds
-
                         
-
                         
25,000,000
            
-
                         
-
                       
Less:
Other Uses of Funds
Minor Capital
(1,447,300)
$             
(1,592,100)
$             
(1,751,300)
$           
(1,926,400)
$            
(2,119,000)
$           
Major Capital 
(20,000,000)
             
(6,662,500)
              
(10,243,594)
           
(5,384,453)
              
(2,759,532)
            
Non Operating Expenses
-
                         
(5,517,600)
              
(6,069,360)
             
(6,676,296)
              
(7,343,926)
            
Existing Revenue Bond Debt Service
(9,425,200)
              
(9,427,656)
              
(9,426,156)
             
(9,425,856)
              
(9,426,656)
            
New Revenue Bond Debt Service
-
                         
-
                         
(218,750)
                
(1,492,500)
              
(1,471,500)
            
Net Cash Flow
(18,348,007)
$           
(10,703,249)
$           
10,348,161
$          
(11,200,829)
$           
(9,327,567)
$           
Ending Unrestricted Fund Balance
30,538,018
$            
19,834,768
$            
30,182,929
$          
18,982,100
$            
9,654,533
$            
Financial Policy Required Reserve
6,583,325
               
7,254,574
               
7,988,545
              
8,788,189
               
9,619,771
             
Variance Above/(Below) Fund Balance Target
23,954,692
              
12,580,194
              
22,194,384
            
10,193,911
             
34,762
                  
Operating Surplus/(Deficit)
1,151,993
               
1,476,851
               
1,661,115
              
859,920
                  
775,891
                
Debt Service Coverage Calculations:
Revenue Bond Debt Service Coverage
Rate Covenant Debt Service Coverage Test (Operations):
Net Revenue Available for Debt Service Coverage Test
12,024,493
$            
12,496,607
$            
13,057,321
$          
13,704,677
$            
13,793,048
$          
Revenue Bond Debt Service:
Existing Revenue Bond Debt Service
9,425,200
               
9,427,656
               
9,426,156
              
9,425,856
               
9,426,656
             
New Revenue Bond Debt Service
-
                         
-
                         
218,750
                 
1,492,500
               
1,471,500
             
Total Revenue Bond Debt Service
9,425,200
$              
9,427,656
$              
9,644,906
$            
10,918,356
$            
10,898,156
$          
Debt Service Coverage - Operations
1.28
                       
1.33
                       
1.35
                      
1.26
                       
1.27
                     
Debt Service Coverage Requirement
1.20
                       
1.20
                       
1.20
                     
1.20
                       
1.20
                     
City of Buckeye - Water
Pro Forma with Debt Service Coverage and Fund Balance Reconciliation
2026
2027
2028
2029
5.99 
$29.65 
$22.17 
3/4”
$30.02 
$31.30 
$32.63 
$34.01 
5.99 
$86.61 
$60.06 
1”
$33.36 
$34.77 
$36.25 
$37.79 
5.99 
$86.61 
$60.06 
1.5”
$66.51 
$69.34 
$72.29 
$75.36 
5.99 
$225.92 
$160.19 
2”
$106.46 
$110.98 
$115.70 
$120.62 
5.99 
$225.92 
$160.19 
3”
$213.12 
$222.18 
$231.62 
$241.46 
5.99 
$420.94 
$300.36 
4”
$332.96 
$347.11 
$361.87 
$377.25 
5.99 
$699.53 
$500.59 
6”
$665.73 
$694.02 
$723.52 
$754.26 
5.99 
$1,396.00 
$1,001.18 
8”
$1,065.20 
$1,110.47 
$1,157.67 
$1,206.87 
5.99 
$1,396.00 
$1,001.18 
10”
$1,531.39 
$1,596.47 
$1,664.32 
$1,735.06 
Residential and Landscape Proposed Base Rates
Current 
Residential*
Current Potable 
Landscape*
Current Non-Potable 
Landscape
Meter Size

10 
 
Commercial base rates have also been reconfigured to reflect the increased flow per meter 
size below. 
 
 
 
Usage Rate Adjustments 
Several adjustments were also made to the usage rate structures; however, they remain 
customer-class-specific and reflect typical consumption patterns:  
• Residential usage tends to be stable and low. The monthly demand this customer 
class will place on the system is more easily projected allowing for accurate planning 
of supply management and operations. 
• Commercial and landscape usage tends to fluctuate dramatically making their usage 
more difficult to project and plan for.  
Residential tier changes include:  
• Expanding Tier 3 to 20,000 gallons, giving the few residential customers in this tier 
more room to stay in Tier 3 rather than being pushed up to the higher rate of Tier 4. 
• Shifting Tier 4 to 20,001–30,000 gallons. 
Commercial, potable landscape, and non-potable landscape usage rates are also given 
new or updated tier structures. 
2026
2027
2028
2029
$37.40 
3/4”
$70.20 
$73.18 
$76.29 
$79.53 
$111.04 
1”
$78.00 
$81.31 
$84.77 
$88.37 
$111.04 
1.5”
$155.53 
$162.14 
$169.03 
$176.22 
$290.85 
2”
$248.94 
$259.52 
$270.55 
$282.05 
$290.85 
3”
$498.35 
$519.53 
$541.61 
$564.63 
$542.68 
4”
$778.59 
$811.68 
$846.17 
$882.13 
$902.43 
6”
$1,556.71 
$1,622.87 
$1,691.84 
$1,763.74 
$1,801.80 
8”
$2,490.82 
$2,596.68 
$2,707.04 
$2,822.09 
$1,801.80 
10”
$3,580.94 
$3,733.13 
$3,891.78 
$4,057.18 
Current 
Commercial/Multi-
Family*
Meter Size
Proposed Rates - Commercial
Residential Usage Rate 
2026
2027
2028
2029
0 – 6k 
$4.77 
$4.97 
$5.18 
$5.40 
6,001– 10k 
$5.96 
$6.22 
$6.48 
$6.76 
10,001 – 20k 
$7.45 
$7.77 
$8.10 
$8.44 
20,001 -30k 
$9.69 
$10.10 
$10.53 
$10.98 
30,001+ 
$12.60 
$13.13 
$13.69 
$14.27

11 
 
 
 
Wastewater Utility 
Required Revenue Determination 
The analysis determined that current wastewater rates are insufficient to meet future 
financial obligations. Gradual annual increases are required to close the gap between 
projected revenues and projected costs. 
Wastewater rate revenues in each year are calculated based on the assumption the 
recommended rate increases are approved, projected growth is realized and expected 
billing volumes maintain historical growth trends.  
Wastewater Cost Drivers 
1. Asset Management (AM) 
The most significant cost driver, AM, requires consistent funding to ensure the proper 
rehabilitation and replacement of assets critical to the delivery of service. To this point, 
proactive AM practices have not been in place and rehabilitation and replacement activities 
have only been performed reactively. This method of management is considerably more 
expensive and is unsustainable.  
 
By FY26, WRD will manage $451 million in critical wastewater assets. Industry-standard AM 
budgets target 2% of asset value (~$9 million annually). However, the rate increases needed 
to immediately create a 2% AM budget would cause a detrimental impact to the City of 
Buckeye customer’s combined utility bill. Moreover, the city does not yet possess the 
resources (personnel, supporting department resources, etc.) to execute a 2% AM budget. 
The proposed rates support a phased build‑up beginning with $1.8 million in FY27 and 
increasing to $5.2 million in 2029. 
 
2. Operations 
Operational costs are rising due to: 
• Inflation 
Potable Landscape Usage 
2026
2027
2028
2029
0 – 50k 
$7.02 
$7.32 
$7.63 
$7.96 
50,001+ 
$8.78 
$9.15 
$9.54 
$9.94 
Comm./Multi-Fam. Usage 
Rates
2026
2027
2028
2029
0-10K
$9.45 
$9.86 
$10.27 
$10.71 
10,001 – 30k 
$9.93 
$11.09 
$11.56 
$12.05 
30,001 - 50k 
$9.93 
$12.47 
$13.00 
$13.55 
50,001+ 
$9.93 
$12.47 
$14.63 
$15.25 
Non-Potable Landscape 
2026
2027
2028
2029
Per 1,000 Gallons
$4.77 
$4.97 
$5.18 
$5.40

12 
 
• An anticipated 14–16% APS electric rate increase  
• Additional 
infrastructure 
requiring 
chemicals, 
electricity, 
vehicles, 
and 
maintenance. 
3. Capital Improvement Requirements 
Major capital projections for the Wastewater utility through FY30 include significant 
investments in treatment and expansion projects.  It is anticipated that $91.4 million of 
major capital will be funded by rates, with an additional $45.5 million will come from impact 
fees. 
Projected Reserve Balance and Debt Coverage Ratio 
Based on the City’s financial policies, the wastewater fund currently maintains an operating 
reserve equal to 17% of the utility’s rate revenue.  Additionally, a debt service coverage ratio 
of at least 1.2 times our debt service obligations is required by the financial policies.   
As recommended, the rate plan can meet these two metrics along while maintaining an 
operating surplus. The following schedule outlines the anticipated performance against 
these metrics and estimated cashflow for the five-year period.

13 
 
 
Rate Design 
Recommendation: Gradualism Scenario (GM) 
Under the recommended scenario, rate adjustments occur annually through the 2026–2029 
rate cycle, improving fund stability and abating ratepayer impacts. 
Base & Usage Rate Adjustments 
The base rate for wastewater (sewer) customers has also been adjusted. 
Under the GM scenario, residential sewer customers will no longer be charged a usage rate. 
As a result, the winter-quarter average will also go away. Instead, staff developed an 
inclusive base rate for residential customers based on the following: 
• The average Buckeye sewer customer uses 4,000 gallons of water per month.  
• Of those 4,000 gallons, only 40% (1,600 gallons) comes back to our reclamation 
facilities for treatment.  
• The cost of treating 1,000 gallons is $4.24. 
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
Operations
Wastewater Rate Revenue Increases
7.00%
7.00%
7.00%
7.00%
7.00%
% of Year Rate Increase Effective
8.00%
50.00%
50.00%
50.00%
50.00%
 Beginning Unrestricted Fund Balance 
19,064,283
$       
28,945,936
$       
16,092,216
$       
25,897,426
$       
8,241,146
$         
-
                                                                                   
17,683,901
$       
20,204,725
$       
22,427,139
$       
24,596,965
$       
26,976,721
$       
Total Rate Revenue
17,683,901
$       
20,204,725
$       
22,427,139
$       
24,596,965
$       
26,976,721
$       
Other Operating Revenue
2,251,552
          
2,285,262
          
2,320,658
          
2,357,824
          
2,396,847
          
Interest Income - Operating Fund
600,000
             
588,600
             
546,100
             
430,200
             
344,900
             
Total Operating Revenue
20,535,453
$       
23,078,587
$       
25,293,897
$       
27,384,989
$       
29,718,468
$       
Operating Expenses
(15,538,600)
        
(16,748,182)
        
(18,912,782)
        
(22,278,491)
        
(24,586,876)
        
Net Revenue
4,996,853
$         
6,330,405
$         
6,381,115
$         
5,106,498
$         
5,131,592
$         
Plus:
Other Sources of Funds
Debt Proceeds
30,000,000
         
-
                    
25,000,000
         
-
                    
25,000,000
         
Grant Proceeds
500,000
             
3,750,000
          
-
                    
-
                    
-
                    
Less:
Other Uses of Funds
Minor Capital
(698,000)
$          
(767,800)
$          
(844,580)
$          
(929,038)
$          
(1,021,942)
$        
Major Capital
(22,750,000)
        
(19,090,625)
        
(17,440,375)
        
(17,822,540)
        
(14,349,568)
        
Existing Revenue Bond Debt Service
(1,904,700)
         
(1,904,700)
         
(1,904,700)
         
(1,904,700)
         
(1,572,500)
         
New Revenue Bond Debt Service
(262,500)
            
(1,171,000)
         
(1,386,250)
         
(2,106,500)
         
(2,320,000)
         
Net Cash Flow
9,881,653
$         
(12,853,720)
$      
9,805,210
$         
(17,656,280)
$      
10,867,583
$       
Ending Unrestricted Fund Balance
28,945,936
$       
16,092,216
$       
25,897,426
$       
8,241,146
$         
19,108,728
$       
Target Unrestricted Fund Balance
3,422,576
          
3,846,431
          
4,215,650
          
4,564,165
          
4,953,078
          
Amount Above/(Below) Target
25,523,360
         
12,245,785
         
21,681,776
         
3,676,981
          
14,155,650
         
Operating Surplus/(Deficit)
2,131,653
          
2,486,905
          
2,245,585
          
166,260
             
217,150
             
Debt Service Coverage Calculations:
Revenue Bond Debt Service Coverage
Rate Covenant Debt Service Coverage Test (Operations):
Net Revenue Available for Debt Service Coverage Test
4,996,853
$         
6,330,405
$         
6,381,115
$         
5,106,498
$         
5,131,592
$         
Revenue Bond Debt Service:
Existing Revenue Bond Debt Service
1,904,700
          
1,904,700
          
1,904,700
          
1,904,700
          
1,572,500
          
New Revenue Bond Debt Service
262,500
             
1,171,000
          
1,386,250
          
2,106,500
          
2,320,000
          
Total Revenue Bond Debt Service
2,167,200
$         
3,075,700
$         
3,290,950
$         
4,011,200
$         
3,892,500
$         
Debt Service Coverage - Operations
2.31
                  
2.06
                  
1.94
                  
1.27
                  
1.32
                  
Debt Service Coverage Requirement
1.20
                  
1.20
                  
1.20
                  
1.20
                  
1.20
                  
City of Buckeye - Wastewater
Pro Forma with Debt Service Coverage and Fund Balance Reconciliation

14 
 
• Inflation from 2016 to 2025 is 27% (3% per year); however, it was determined that 
increase would cause too much of a burden on ratepayers; therefore, 
o The base rate was raised to $35.20 (21.97% x $28.86), and 
o $4.24 was added to the base to cover the majority of the average customer’s 
wastewater (sewer) treatment costs.  
o The recommended base rate for residential customers is then $39.44 for year 
one of Cycle 1. 
 
Like the water base rates, the sewer (wastewater) base rates for Commercial/Multi-Family 
customers were not consistent with generally accepted best practice rate structures. 
Therefore, the base rates for Commercial/Multi-Family customers have also been adjusted 
to reflect the meter size. Likewise, the usage rate was adjusted to reflect the cost to treat 
per thousand gallons. 
 
Recommendations & Conclusions 
The 2025 rate study concludes that without rate adjustments, both the water and 
wastewater enterprise funds face critical financial shortfalls. The recommended 
Gradualism Scenario provides: 
• Predictable, phased rate increases. 
• Sustainable funding for Asset Management and capital improvements. 
• Improved reserve levels. 
• Financial resilience to support Buckeye’s rapid growth. 
This rate plan restores stability to the City of Buckeye’s utilities while protecting residents 
from unnecessary financial burden and ensuring long-term reliability of essential water and 
wastewater services. 
Residential Sewer Base Rate
2026
2027
2028
2029
All Meters
$39.44 
$42.20 
$45.15 
$48.31 
Commercial Sewer  Base Rate
2026
2027
2028
2029
(per Meter Size)
¾”
$43.50 
$46.55 
$49.80 
$53.29 
1” 
$72.65 
$77.73 
$83.17 
$88.99 
1.5”
$144.86 
$154.99 
$165.84 
$177.45 
2”
$231.86 
$248.08 
$265.45 
$284.03 
3” 
$464.15 
$496.64 
$531.40 
$568.60 
4” 
$725.15 
$775.91 
$830.22 
$888.33 
6”
$1,449.86 
$1,551.34 
$1,659.94 
$1,776.13 
Comm. Sewer Usage Rate 
2026
2027
2028
2029
Per 1,000 Gallons
$4.00 
$5.00 
$5.72 
$6.13