EX.6 P-25-46-CUP Traffic Memorandum April 09 2026

City of Apache Junction — Regular Meeting (2026-08-25)

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TECHNICAL MEMORANDUM 
 
 
CivTech Inc. • 10605 North Hayden Road • Suite 140 • Scottsdale, AZ 85260 
Office 480-659-4250 • Fax 480-659-0566 
Date 
April 9, 2026 
TO 
 
 
Karl Huish 
Bela Flor Communities  
FROM 
Mike James, AICP 
Senior Transportation Planner 
CivTech Inc. 
RE 
Supplemental Traffic Analysis for Presentation Purposes: 
Bella Norte, Skyline, and Future MF 
CC 
Hudd Hassell, Bela Flor Communities 
Reese Anderson, Pew and Lake 
Bill White, CivTech 
 
This memorandum provides an update to the supplemental analysis of travel demand scenarios 
contemplated in relation to the three developments proposed within the northeast quadrant of the 
Idaho Road (SR 88) and Junction Street intersection in Apache Junction. This is a supplement to the 
88-North Apartments Traffic Impact Study (CivTech, 2022) approved by the Arizona Department of 
Transportation (ADOT) on November 14, 2022, and the projects referenced therein; now referred to 
as Bella Norte, Skyline, and Future MF, respectively.  
 
According to ADOT’s Average Annual Daily Traffic Report 2024 (which is the latest data available), 
the section of Idaho Road from Old West Highway north carries 11,000 Average Annual Daily Trips 
(AADT). While it is a busy section of roadway, it is similar to other 5-lane streets, including: 
Superstition Boulevard at Pinyon Drive, 12,835 AADT (west of Meridian Drive); University Drive, just 
east of Signal Butte Road, 15,054 AADT; and Brown Road just east of 96th Street, 11,891 AADT. 
Each of these roadways is busy but exhibit acceptable capacity and traffic operations.  
 
We wish to reiterate that Idaho Road, even with development of Wolff, Bella Norte, Skyline, and a 
future MF Project, will remain at levels of service (LOS) B, C and D at all times, including peak hours. 
LOS B, C and D are all completely acceptable according to all U.S., Arizona and local traffic 
standards. 
 
This impact of adding Bella Norte and a Future MF Project along Idaho Road will result in much less 
traffic than other potential uses such as commercial, retail or office. In other words, these two 
proposed projects will have—by far—the lowest traffic impact on Idaho Rd., compared to other 
potential uses.  
 
This memo update also looks at impacts of the Wolff/Apache Trails Multi-Family Residential project 
located at Plaza Drive and Apache Trails. This project consists of 336 units of 1- and 2-bedroom units. 
According to its Traffic Impact Analysis, 3rd Submittal, stamped March 21, 2025, prepared by EPS 
Group, the Wolff project adds 8 additional AM peak hour trips, and 14 additional PM peak hour trips 
making a right turn from Apache Trail North onto Idaho Road. This tiny number of trips does not impact 
the LOS conclusions for Idaho Road. 
 
EX.6 P-25-46-CUP Traffic Memorandum April 09 2026

Bella Norte - Supplemental Traffic Analysis 
Page 2 of 10 
 
Similarly, the Skyline project, located on Junction Street south of the site includes 100 units of 2-, 3-, 
and 4-bedroom units. This project is approved and under construction. The original CivTech traffic 
study includes a 3.5% growth factor for new projects in the study area. The Skyline trips are accounted 
for with this growth factor applied to the background traffic.  
 
Considering the additional impacts of the Wolff project (less than 15 trips in the PM peak hour), and 
understanding that the Skyline, Bella Norte, and a Future MF Project are accounted for in this 
supplemental memo, the level of service for each of the studied road segments and 
intersections does not change or exceed City of Apache Junction LOS requirements. There 
are no failing street sections or intersections. And, as demonstrated later in this memo, this residential 
use is the least impactful option considering retail, commercial, and medical uses that could be 
developed on the site. 
 
This memo presents an analysis of development-related travel conditions to assist with a presentation 
of relevant transportation conditions to the Apache Junction council. The analysis and memorandum 
were developed promptly in response to transportation-related questions and concerns by the city 
council.  
DEVELOPMENT PROPOSAL  
Encompassing 32.22-acres, the proposal includes three multifamily projects, Bella Norte, Skyline and 
a Future MF Project. Collectively, these projects include 610 apartments developed in thirty low-rise 
buildings. Access would be provided by a primary approach located on N. Idaho Road, two approaches 
on E. Junction Street, and one on N. Winchester Road. SR 88, designated Idaho Road by the City, is 
an ADOT road; E. Junction Street and N. Winchester Road are under the control of Apache Junction. 
 
The November 2022 traffic impact study (TIS) addressed the impact of a 662-unit multifamily project 
on 10 intersections and proposed development approaches, as grounded on review of a 2027 project 
buildout year. This memorandum addresses a reduction of 52 units from the initial proposal and TIS. 
Only signal timing and phasing optimization was proposed with the TIS to maintain acceptable 
mobilities, a conclusion accepted by ADOT and the City. This TIS can be reviewed for further details 
on analyses or methods. 
 
Apache Junction Council members desire to better understand the transportation conditions related to 
existing traffic conditions and the proposed projects. The applicants volunteered additional traffic 
analyses to help address Council questions, which includes the following topics: 
1. Review peak traffic conditions during the fall/winter travel season.  
2. Review collision data and identify any potential safety issues along a segment of N. Idaho Road 
near the proposed projects.  
3. Review queue potentials for the northbound, N. Idaho Road “U” turn at Apache Trail Road, and 
assess whether these projects will significantly increase the current occurrences.  
4. Compare travel conditions of the current residential proposal with various land use scenarios, 
including commercial or office could be developed on the site, as allowed per zoning code.  
5. Compare conditions of the current proposal with a higher apartment density scenario allowed 
by zoning code.

Bella Norte - Supplemental Traffic Analysis 
Page 3 of 10 
 
6. Revise LOS analyses for N. Idaho Road intersections with Apache Trail, Junction Street, and 
Old West Highway based on seasonal forecasts that include the three projects. 
WINTER TRAVEL DEMANDS 
Intersection traffic counts were collected to support the originally approved TIS in June of 2022. City 
Council members asked whether these counts were low, given reduction of seasonal occupants in 
the region. Of most concern was reduced traffic on Idaho Road. To review this, an intersection count 
was performed for Idaho Road/Junction Street on December 18, 2025, when seasonal occupants 
were in the area, prior to school being let out for the Christmas holiday break. Counts were performed 
between 7 AM to 9 AM and 4 PM to 6 PM so commute peak hours could be considered.  
 
As expected, a comparison between current and prior counts confirmed that peak hour volumes are 
higher in December versus June at this intersection. Overall, counts were noted to be about 62% 
higher during the AM peak hour and 60% higher during the PM peak hour on Idaho Road. Counts 
were noted to be 53% higher during the AM peak hour and 58% higher during the PM peak hour on 
Junction Street. This differential was factored/considered when reviewing mobility performances for 
study intersections, as discussed subsequently in this memorandum.  
 
It should be noted that other contributing factors influence the difference between counts. These 
factors include, but are not limited to, the generation of trips from recent developments built over the 
last 3 years in the area. Also, higher-than typical activities occurring at the adjacent Fry’s shopping 
center were due to counts being performed the week prior to Christmas. Historically, high traffic 
occurs during the weeks before the holiday. Thus, given the timing of the counts, the week before 
Christmas, the analysis in this memorandum likely overstates the amount of typical traffic during the 
AM/PM peak hours in the winter months. 
 
Regardless, the differential was enough to update the LOS for Idaho Road and Junction Street 
intersections, considering elevated traffic counts. However, given contributing factors listed above, 
the intersection volumes used to support this study should be considered conservative (high-end).  
COLLISION DATA 
A review of collision data was performed to address City Council questions regarding safety for drivers 
along Idaho Road (SR 88). Per standard industry practice, 3-year collision data was reviewed for this 
analysis. Most current, available data from ADOT was assembled for a period extending between 
January 1, 2022, to December 31, 2024.  
 
The study reviews collision histories for the Apache Trail Road, Junction Street, and Old West Highway 
intersections with Idaho Road; also, for segments between these junctions. The resulting total collision 
data is summarized with Table 1, also shown are severities and incident types. Noted in green is totals 
per year and the average incidents per year. Shown in blue is severities and yellow is incident type.

Bella Norte - Supplemental Traffic Analysis 
Page 4 of 10 
 
Table 1. Summary Collision Data 
Intersection 
Total Collisions 
Severities 
Incident Type 
Tot Avg 2022 2023 2024 Inj 
Fat PDO SV Ang LT 
RE HO SS Oth Ped Bike 
Apache Trail Rd/Idaho Rd-SR 88 
16 
3.2 
8 
4 
4 
5 
0 
11 
2 
4 
2 
3 
1 
4 
0 
0 
1 
Junction Street/Idaho Rd-SR 88 
3 
1.0 
1 
1 
0 
0 
1 
2 
0 
1 
1 
0 
1 
0 
0 
0 
0 
Old West Highway/Idaho Rd-SR 88 
40 13.3 10 
17 
13 
9 
0 
31 
2 
13 
5 
3 
2 
10 
5 
0 
0 
Segment 
Total Collisions 
Severities 
Incident Type 
Tot Avg 2022 2023 2024 Inj 
Fat PDO SV Ang LT 
RE HO SS Oth Ped Bike 
Idaho Rd, Apache Trail to Junction 
4 
1.3 
3 
0 
1 
2 
0 
2 
1 
0 
1 
1 
0 
1 
0 
0 
0 
Idaho Rd, Junction to Old West Hwy 14 
4.7 
9 
3 
2 
2 
0 
12 
1 
7 
3 
2 
0 
1 
0 
0 
0 
- Tot: Total collisions in 3-year period. 
- Avg: Average collisions per year. 
- Inj: Collisions involving injuries.  
- Fat: Collisions involving a fatality.  
- PDO: Property damage only collisions. 
- SV: A single vehicle incident usually involves a vehicle running off the 
road, hitting a fixed object, or colliding with a parked vehicle.  
- Ang: An angled incident involving a left or right-turning vehicle colliding 
with another vehicle traveling through an intersection or driveway. 
- LT: A left turning vehicle collides with a through vehicle in an intersection 
or driveway approach.  
- RE: A rear end collision that occurs when a closely following vehicle 
strikes a proceeding stopped or turning vehicle. 
- HO: A vehicle in an opposing lane crosses centerline resulting in a 
collision with an oncoming vehicle. 
- SS: A vehicle swipes the side of another vehicle traveling in the same or 
opposite direction.  
- Other: Typically addresses incidents that are not defined by the primary 
categories noted prior.  
- Ped: Refers to an incident involving one or more pedestrians. 
- Bike: Refers to an incident involving one or more bicyclists. 
 
Rationale for further analyses is highlighted when a high density of collisions is noted at a location or 
along a roadway segment. A standard industry practice is to perform further analyses for a minor 
intersection or road segment experiencing more than 5 collisions per year; this is typical of local roads 
and collectors. A major intersection or road segment, typically an arterial or highway, is reviewed when 
experiencing more than 10 collisions per year.  
 
Per the consideration note above, only the intersection at Old West Highway and Idaho Road has 
collision experiences that exceeds an average of 10 incidents per year. The other intersections and 
road segments of focus do not have collision densities that surpass general thresholds. This is not to 
say that the collisions noted are not important to the city; it is a way to affirm collisions do not exceed 
what is typical and expected along roadways.  
 
The next steps are to compare conditions with a comparable location, to assess whether this density 
of incidents is unusual for Old West Highway, and to further examine severity conditions. The Ironwood 
Drive junction with Old West Highway is a comparable location west of Idaho Road. By comparable, 
this intersection is also signalized, has similar lane geometry and signal phasing, and has comparable 
traffic volumes; both intersections support approximately 22,000 entering vehicles per day.  
 
Collision data was collected for the 2022 to 2024 timeframe at the Ironwood Drive / Old West Highway 
intersection. ADOT histories indicates a total of 58 collisions occurred over three years at a consistent 
rate of about 19 collisions per year, and with a high injury rate (38% at 22 of 58 incidents). Given 
comparable conditions, the number of incidents at this location exceeds those occurring at Idaho Road

Bella Norte - Supplemental Traffic Analysis 
Page 5 of 10 
 
/ Old West Highway, and with a lower injury rate (25% at 10 of 40 
incidents). The Idaho Road / Old West Highway intersection does 
not experience a collision or injury rate that exceeds those of a 
comparable intersection along the route.  
 
A review of severities is performed to help confirm whether an 
unusual safety issue(s) is occurring at the intersection. There were 9 
injury incidents and a fatality at the intersection; this represents a 
25% casualty occurrence at this location. Even with a very 
unfortunate fatality, this is a low rate, leading to a likely conclusion of 
low speed and low impact incidents. A review of causal factors yields 
no conclusion, given lack of any consistent occurrences relating to 
incident type. Low severity issues with lack of causal factors confirm 
the conclusion that occurrences are not unusual; project trips are not 
likely to influence incidents at this location.  
 
One more item of note is the location of incidents, as shown to the 
right through illustration. There is a lack of collision density occurring 
along Idaho Road adjacent to the project. This would be the site 
access areas where generated trips could have the highest impact, 
at/near Approach A or Junction Road. Yet the conclusion is a lack of 
collisions for project trips to exasperate along Idaho Road; the 
project should not precipitate atypical changes in these conditions.  
 
Per the illustration, the highest concentration of road segment 
collisions occurs from Fry’s driveway extending south to Old 
Highway West; a function of turn movements accessing the shopping center. Project trips will primarily 
be directed through this area, not unusually impacting turning movements outside of those few trips 
working to access retail/commercial sites.  
LAND DEVELOPMENT SCENARIOS   
 
City officials contemplated the impact that different types of land use development would have on the 
area, as compared with the current proposal. To address this question, five land use scenarios were 
developed for review: the currently proposed three resident projects at currently proposed densities 
(less 52-units from the approved TIS), maximum density residential, commercial/shopping, general 
office, and healthcare. The traffic generated with each of these land use scenarios was determined 
using equations and rates provided by the Trip Generation Manual (12th Edition, ITE, 2025).  
Residential, Current Proposal and Maximum. The current proposal includes the development 
of 610 apartment/rental units (Bella Norte, Skyline, Future MF project). B-3 zoning (where the 
proposed Bella Norte and a Future MF project are located) allows residential densities of up to 40-
units per acre, with a minimum required density of 13 units per acre. Based on area/acreage, the 
site could be developed with up to 1,228 units; double the total for the three projects, a unit count 
that exceeds the current proposal by 618 units. Trips were estimated using ITE Land Use Code 
220 for Low-Rise Multifamily Housing, which addresses buildings of three-floors or less.  
Collision Location Illustration

Bella Norte - Supplemental Traffic Analysis 
Page 6 of 10 
 
Commercial/Retail. The site can support commercial development with allowances that includes 
most retail uses except for large “big-box stores” and “warehouse clubs” like Walmart and Costco. 
ITE Land Use Code 820 is a flexible application that addresses a wide range of retail development 
scenarios. This was used to address the commercial/retail development potential of the site. 
Building footprints tend to occupy between 20% and 30% of a site, the balance typically occupied 
by parking, drainage and utility areas, and landscaping. A total building area of 355,000 square-
feet (sf) was assumed for the purpose of this scenario; this is over 25% of the total site area.  
General Office. An equivalent facility area was assumed for office, 355,000 sf. ITE Land Use 710 
for Geneal Office Building was used to predict site traffic, a land use that reflects “legal, accounting, 
engineering, consulting, real estate, insurance, financial, or other professional services.” 
Medical. ITE Land Use Code 720 Medical-Dental office building describes where “facility or clinic 
with one more tenant that provide diagnoses and outpatient care on routine basis” are provided. A 
facility area of 355,000 sf was also assumed for this review.  
SCENARIO TRIP GENERATION 
Summary trip generation for each of the land use scenarios is shown with Table 2. Noted in light green 
is trip generation for the current land use proposal. Noted in light blue is the max-density residential, 
shopping center, general office, and medical office/health care trip generation forecasts. Trips are 
forecast for the AM and PM peak hours of the weekday. 
 
Table 2. Scenario Trip Generation 
Land Use Scenario 
AM Peak Hour Trips 
PM Peak Hour Trips 
In 
Out 
Total 
In 
Out 
Total 
Current Proposal, Apartments 
54 
172 
226 
186 
114 
300 
Scenario One: Max Density Apartments 
106 
337 
443 
370 
227 
597 
Scenario Two: Shopping Center 
217 
132 
349 
597 
622 
1,219 
Scenario Three: General Office 
367 
51 
418 
61 
322 
383 
Scenario Four: Medical Office/Healthcare 
582 
164 
746 
392 
916 
1,308 
 
Conclusions drawn from a comparison of current versus potential trip generation totals are as follows: 
- 
Current Proposal. The current proposal for the three projects is the lowest trip generation 
proposal, compared with the other development scenarios/types permitted in this area. 
- 
Max Residential. The maximum residential scenario represents nearly a 100% increase in trip 
generation over the current proposal between the commute peak hours.  
- 
Shopping Center. The shopping center proposal represents a 260% increase in trips for the 
weekday with a range of 50% to 300% noted between the AM and PM peak hours, respectively. 
- 
General Office. The office AM peak hour is nearly 90% and PM peak hour is just over 30% 
higher than the residential proposal.  
- 
Medical Office/Healthcare. The AM and PM Peak hour traffic are about 300% and 400% 
higher, respectively, than residential proposal.

Bella Norte - Supplemental Traffic Analysis 
Page 7 of 10 
 
A review of trip generation confirms that other potential developments in zoning allowances result in 
trip generation that exceeded the current proposal; some very substantially. As capacity conditions are 
considered based on peak hour analyses, the impact of these trip gains is discussed with the next 
LOS analysis section.  
LOS ANALYSIS 
The supplemental analysis reviews levels of service (LOS) results for the Idaho Road intersections 
with Apache Trail, Junction Street, and Old West Highway as based upon the land use scenarios noted 
above; also, for three new site intersections on Idaho Road and Junction Street.  
 
The concept of Level of Service (LOS) uses qualitative measures that characterize operational 
conditions within the traffic stream. The individual Levels of Service are described by factors that 
include speed, travel time, freedom to maneuver, traffic interruptions, and comfort and convenience. 
Six Levels of Service are defined for each type of facility for which analysis procedures are available. 
They are given letter designations A through F. LOS is not a “grading system” where A is best, B is 
second best etc. Any comparison to school grading systems should be avoided. 
 
LOS A represents uninterrupted travel operations. A roadway operating at LOS A may also be 
over-engineered, where resources could have been allocated to higher priority areas. Because 
resources are always limited, LOS A is not ideal. 
 
LOS B represents reasonably free-flow travel operations, unaffected by the presence of other 
vehicles. A roadway operating at LOS B may be over-engineered, where resources could have 
been allocated to higher priority areas.  
 
LOS C represents stable travel operations and average speeds remain at or near free-flow 
conditions. This is an ideal LOS, requiring drivers to be vigilant for safety and representing 
appropriate infrastructure investment. 
 
LOS D represents travel operations that are acceptable. Speeds decrease and the roadway 
investment is serving an appropriate number of users. 
 
LOS E represents travel operations that are not acceptable to the city. Traffic is unstable, flow, 
speed, and maneuverability are limited. LOS E conditions must be mitigated with improvements 
that include traffic control measures, signal timing adjustments, or capacity improvements. 
 
LOS F represents travel operations that are forced flow or breakdown conditions in queued traffic. 
Stop-and-go travel with lengthy delays as vehicles shuffle through queues. Like LOS E, these 
conditions must be mitigated. 
 
The LOS analysis was prepared based on forecasts that were developed as follows: 
• 
Traffic counts from the original TIS were factored to address seasonal variations. Per the prior 
section, a 60% adjustment was used for Idaho Road, and 55% adjustment for Junction Street 
(approximate).

Bella Norte - Supplemental Traffic Analysis 
Page 8 of 10 
 
• 
Per the original TIS, a 3.5% growth factor was then applied to revised counts to generate year 
2027 baseline (non-project) forecasts for the AM and PM peak hours. 
• 
Trips were assigned to the street and intersection system based on the distributions used with 
the approved TIS, this was repeated for all land use scenarios.  
• 
Additional traffic from the Wolff project was added in. 
• 
Assignments were combined repeatedly with baseline forecasts to generate with-project 
forecasts for each scenario.  
 
Elevated intersection traffic volumes have been attached via Excel spreadsheets. LOS calculations 
were performed based on the land use forecasts highlighted above. A summary of LOS is provided 
with Table 3 for the AM and PM peak hours. The LOS analysis was developed using Synchro Version 
12 (Cubic, 2025). Shown in yellow is existing conditions (based on revised, exiting volumes), green 
represents LOS for the current proposal, and blue are the land use scenarios reviewed for this study. 
Summary LOS in Synchro can be provided in worksheets or the software platform upon request.  
 
Table 3. Summary LOS 
Intersection Location 
AM Peak Hour 
PM Peak Hour 
Exist 
Prop 
Max  Retail Office 
Med 
Exist 
Prop 
Max  Retail Office 
Med 
Apache Trail Rd/Idaho Rd-SR 88 
D 
D 
D 
D 
D 
D 
D 
D 
D 
D 
D 
D 
Approach A/Idaho Rd-SR 88 
NA 
B 
C 
B 
B 
C 
B 
B 
C 
F 
C 
F 
Junction Street/Idaho Rd-SR 88 
B 
C 
C 
B 
C 
D 
NA 
C 
C 
F 
D 
F 
Old West Highway/Idaho Rd-SR 88 
D 
D 
D 
D 
D 
D 
D 
D 
D 
E 
D 
F 
Fry’s Marketplace Dr/Junction St 
A 
B 
B 
B 
B 
C 
B 
B 
B 
E 
B 
D 
Outpost Rd/Junction St 
A 
A 
A 
B 
B 
B 
B 
B 
B 
B 
B 
B 
Winchester Rd/Junction St 
A 
A 
A 
A 
B 
A 
B 
B 
B 
B 
B 
B 
Exist – Existing Condition 
Prop – Current Development Proposal 
Max – Maximum Residential Scenario 
Retail – Shopping Center/Retail Scenario 
Office – Geneal Office Scenario 
Med – Medical Office/Health Care Scenario 
NA – Not applicable, not an intersection.  
 
The City and ADOT maintain a LOS D standard for intersections located on urban streets. Highlighted 
in red are LOS that do not meet standard. The existing conditions analysis indicates no LOS failures 
prevail at study intersections between the AM and PM peak hours by adding in Wolff, Skyline, Bella 
Norte and a Future MF project. Note that the existing conditions LOS were developed based on 
intersection volumes adjusted for seasonal variation. 
 
Please note that we the above graph looks at the “peak” stress test for these intersections. Other 
times of the day would exhibit LOS levels that are lower.  
 
The forecast analysis concludes that LOS are acceptable under most land use scenarios during peak 
hours with exception of the retail and medical/healthcare scenarios due to high trip generation 
potentials; deficiencies are again shown in red. Under these scenarios, the off-site intersection of Old 
West Highway/Idaho Road is forecast to function at LOS E under the retail scenario. Up to three 
proposed access are forecast to function at LOS E/F between during the PM peak hour.

Bella Norte - Supplemental Traffic Analysis 
Page 9 of 10 
 
The best overall LOS results are highlighted with the current project proposal; this is a result of reduced 
trip generation. In fact, by adding Wolff, Skyline, Bella Norte and a Future MF project, there are only 
minor LOS changes between the existing condition and current proposal condition during the AM peak 
hour, and there is no material change forecast during the PM peak hour. This confirms the conclusions 
in the original TIS that the project proposal has a minor impact on mobility conditions.  
 
Elements of note for the Synchro/LOS analysis include: 
- 
Signal split times were optimized with each land use scenario to represent how signals operate 
during peak hours in response to travel demands.  
- 
Two-stage gap allowances were used for the stopped approach of Approach A and Junction 
Street along Idaho Road due to availability of a two-way left-turn lane; a single vehicle queue 
was assumed as storage in the two-stage maneuver. 
NORTHBOUND U-TURN 
The northbound left-turn lane at the Apache Trail Road / Idaho Road intersection extends 200-feet to 
support turning and U-turn movements. This is sufficient to support between 8 to 9 vehicles dwelling 
within the stopped approach. The concern of council is whether this movement will experience a 
substantial queue issue as development occurs along Idaho Road. 
 
Fortunately, this is not expected to be the case. In the analysis, this was not predicted to be a high-
use movement during peak hours; there are 15 to 20 peak hour vehicles currently using the lane during 
each peak hour. This would increase to a range of between 25 to 30 vehicles using the lane during 
each peak hour, respectively, under the forecast scenarios. Using Synchro, this results in an average 
queue condition of between 1 to 2 vehicles during each peak hour, with 2 to 3 vehicles for the 95th 
percentile demand condition during each peak hour. For context, average refers to queues that occur 
normally in a lane (or lanes) during the peak hour, a 95th percentile queue only occurs a few times 
during a peak hour. In all cases, average and 95th percentile queues are well below the available 8 to 
9 vehicles of storage. 
 
LOS are favorable at the Approach A and Junction Street intersections with Idaho Road; thus, left 
turns can occur without traffic needing to use the Apache Trail Road / Idaho Road intersection for U-
turns. However, to provide some assurance to council, a threshold analysis was performed to help vet 
when queues could be an issue for this movement. The traffic volumes within this lane were reviewed 
to help confirm when queued vehicles might exceed the available turn pocket. It was confirmed that a 
95th percentile queue of more than 200-feet (8 to 9 vehicles) would occur with elevation of traffic to 
about 150-vehilces (+/-) during peak hours. This is well beyond the traffic forecasts presented with 
the initially accepted TIS and this subsequent analysis. This should provide assurances that lane 
capacity is available, even if a higher degree of site trips were to perform U-Turns over what has been 
expected by this analysis.  
SUMMARY OF RESULTS 
This memo provides a supplemental and informal analysis of travel demand scenarios contemplated 
in relation to the Wolff, Skyline, Bella Norte and a Future MF project. The analysis was built from the 
88-North Apartments Traffic Impact Study (CivTech, 2022) approved by ADOT in November of 2022;

Bella Norte - Supplemental Traffic Analysis 
Page 10 of 10 
 
the projects are now noted as the Wolff, Bella Norte, Skyline and a Future MF project.  The 
conclusions from the analysis are as follows: 
1. The proposal represents a reduction of 52 units from the initially proposed TIS.  
2. Seasonal travel demands impact Idaho Road (SR 88), December 2025 counts were noted to 
be about 55% higher than June 2022 counts during the AM peak hour and 60% higher during 
the PM peak hour.  
3. While every accident is unfortunate, and fatalities tragic, the collision analysis does confirm 
that there are no unusual collisions issues occurring within the study area. Further, the project 
does not generate the levels of traffic anticipated to precipitate an issue, especially given no 
existing issues adjacent to the proposed development. 
4. Four land use scenarios were reviewed as an alternative to the current land use proposal of 
610-unts. A 1,288 max density residential, shopping center / retail center, general office, and 
medical office/health care, respectively were reviewed. The current proposal for the three 
residential projects (also adding in Wolff) results in trip generation that is 100% to 300% lower 
than other reviewed land use scenarios, and lower during peak AM and PM hours than the 
office scenario. Peak hour traffic volumes are between 30% to 300% lower under all land use 
scenarios.  
5. LOS are most favorable with the proposed residential projects; the LOS D standard is met for 
all study Idaho Road intersections and Idaho Road and Junction Street approaches. In fact, 
there are only minor variations in LOS between the existing and current project proposal 
conditions. This indicates a reduction from 610 units to a lower unit count for the three projects 
would not cause notable reduction in LOS benefit.  
6. Average and 95th percentile queue potentials in the northbound left-turn lane at Apache Trail 
Road/Idaho Road are not forecast to exceed three vehicles between peak hours, this includes 
left-turns and U-turns. Demands are not currently high, nor are they forecast to be high, with 
the accepted, original TIS or via this study (maximum use of 25-vehilces predicted). 95th 
percentile queues are not anticipated to surpass the 200-foot queue pocket until a demand of 
about 150 vehicles use the lane during peak hours.  
 
The conclusion of this study is confirmation of the original TIS, the projects can be developed without 
unacceptably impacting travel conditions within the City of Apache Junction. 
 
Please let us know if you have questions regarding this memorandum. Please note that a scoping 
and review process would be required with agencies, Apache Junction engineers and ADOT, if this 
study were to be finalized and submitted for formal review by agencies.