Attachment B - October 2026 Title VI Service Change Analysis.pdf
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Title VI Service Equity Analysis
City of Phoenix
October 2026 Service Change
City of Phoenix Public Transit Department
ATTACHMENT B
Title VI Analysis
City of Phoenix Public Transit Department
October 2026 Proposed Service Changes
Page 2 of 14
INTRODUCTION
Title VI of the Civil Rights Acts of 1964 prohibits discrimination on the basis of race,
color, or national origin in programs and activities receiving federal financial assistance.
Federal law requires the City of Phoenix to evaluate service changes and proposed
improvements at the planning and programming stages to determine whether those
changes have a discriminatory impact. This process will be used to evaluate bus
services in an objective manner to identify the potential for adverse, disproportionately
high, or disparate impacts to minority and/or low-income populations.
The Phoenix Public Transit Department (PTD) manages modification to the region’s
transit network through service changes. Bus service changes are coordinated
regionally and occur in April and October each year. Service modifications that are
considered major service changes require service equity analysis to be conducted and
considered by the Phoenix City Council before approval.
SERVICE EQUITY ANALYSIS POLICIES
This section describes Phoenix’s Title VI Service Equity analysis policy, definition, and
data analysis procedures. The City of Phoenix Public Transit Title VI Program is posted
at https://www.phoenix.gov/publictransit/title-vi-notice
Major Service Change
The Major Service Change and Service Equity Policy developed jointly by both the City
of Phoenix and Valley Metro defines a major service change as follows:
• Adding or eliminating an entire route
• Expanding or reducing existing revenue miles on a route by more than 25% on
Weekday, Saturday, or Sunday
• Expanding or reducing number of route directional miles more than 25%
• A change resulting in a 25% or greater variance from the existing route alignment12
1 A change of 25 percent in weekly route revenue miles and/or route directional miles is the City of Phoenix threshold
for determining whether a potential transit service change qualifies as a major service change (or “substantial” service
change), according to the City of Phoenix resolution (1990). This percentage is generally an industry-wide percentage
threshold used by peer transit systems throughout the United States. The City of Phoenix resolution also specifies that
a public comment period will be initiated when a change in transit service of 25 percent or more is determined. Valley
Metro has adopted the same thresholds.
2 A change of 25 percent in Express/RAPID service route revenue miles and/or route directional miles does not apply
to the portion of the routes that are on the freeway/highway because there are no stops or service. Only the portion of
the routes that occurs on surface streets applies to the 25 percent threshold for a major service change.
Title VI Analysis
City of Phoenix Public Transit Department
October 2026 Proposed Service Changes
Page 3 of 14
All service change proposals that are determined to be a major service change will
undergo Service Equity Analysis.
Adverse Effect
An adverse effect is defined as a reduction or addition in service that includes but is not
limited to: changes in span of service, changes to frequency of service; the addition of
new routes; the elimination of routes or route segments; or the modification of routes or
route segments.
Disparate Impact
When the difference in adverse impacts between minority ridership3 and/or population4
and non-minority ridership and/or population on the affected service is equal to or
greater than five percent compared to the transit system’s minority and non-minority
ridership5 and/or population, there would be a disparate impact.
Disproportionate Burden
When the difference in adverse impacts between low-income ridership3 and/or
population4 and non-low-income ridership and/or population on an affected service is
equal to or greater than five percent compared to the transit system’s low-income and
non-low-income ridership5 and/or population, there would be a disproportionate burden
impact.
Should Valley Metro or the City of Phoenix find any disparate impact or disproportionate
burden during the service equity analysis, steps will be taken to avoid, minimize, or
mitigate the impacts.
Equity Analysis Data Sources
The following table identifies the data source for the service equity analysis depending
on the type of service change being proposed.
3 The determination of the transit system and an affected route’s minority and/or low-income ridership will be derived
from the most recently completed, statistically valid regional on-board origin/destination survey.
4 The determination of the potential ridership for service expansion or the addition of a new service will be derived from
the most recent American Community Survey data for the census tract or census block group surrounding the expanded
route or new route.
5 The transit system’s ridership is separated into Local Bus Service (local fixed bus routes, key local service, light rail,
streetcar and circulator bus service) and Express/RAPID Service (commuter bus service). The affected service would
be compared to the overall transit system’s ridership by Local Bus Service or Express/RAPID Bus Service.
Title VI Analysis
City of Phoenix Public Transit Department
October 2026 Proposed Service Changes
Page 4 of 14
Category
Action
Sub Action
Evaluation Method
Service Level6
Change
Reduction
Not Applicable
O/D7 Data
Expansion
Not Applicable
Route Length
Reduction
Not Applicable
O/D Data
Expansion
Not Applicable
Census Data
Route
Alignment
Change
Reduction
Not Applicable
O/D Data
Expansion
Not Applicable
O/D Data and
Census Data
Modification
Eliminated
Segment(s)
O/D Data and
Census Data
Segment(s)
to New Areas
Census Data
Elimination
Not Applicable
O/D Data
New Route
New Route
Not Applicable
Census Data
Fare Media
Access
Modifications
Not Applicable
O/D Data
Census Data
Transit System Minority/ Low-Income Population Benchmarks
6 Service Level- Refers to the span of service, days of operations, trips and headways (service frequencies)
for a transit route or the regional transit system.
7 Origin/Destination Survey Data
Service Type
Minority
Low-Income
(150%)
Local Bus
53%
22%
Circulator
58%
26%
Express/RAPID Bus
49%
20%
Service Type
Minority
Low-Income
Local Bus
65%
51%
Circulator
72%
63%
Express/RAPID Bus
38%
19%
Service Equity Analysis Service Area - Census ACS Data
Service Equity Analysis - 2023 O/D Data
Title VI Analysis
City of Phoenix Public Transit Department
October 2026 Proposed Service Changes
Page 5 of 14
Description of Proposed October 2026 Changes
Microtransit Implementation:
Three microtransit zones were identified in the Project EASE grant application. Each
zone is planned to operate with four microtransit vehicles and will cover approximately
12–16 square miles. The size and boundaries of each zone were designed to balance
service coverage with operational efficiency.
The North Phoenix Zone is generally bounded by Union Hills Drive to the south, Happy
Valley Road to the north, 51st Avenue to the west, and 16th Street to the east.
Implementation of this zone will be coordinated with the launch of enhanced all-day I-17
RAPID service, which will provide direct connections to Downtown Phoenix from the
Happy Valley Park-and-Ride and the Bell/I-17 (Deer Valley) Park-and-Ride.
The West Phoenix Zone is generally bounded by McDowell Road to the south,
Camelback Road to the north, 75th Avenue to the east, and 107th Avenue to the west.
This zone will be implemented alongside enhanced all-day I-10 West RAPID service,
offering direct connections to Downtown Phoenix from the Desert Sky Transit Center
and the 79th Avenue/I-10 Park-and-Ride.
The South Phoenix Zone is generally bounded by Dobbins Road to the south,
Broadway Road to the north, 59th Avenue to the west, and Central Avenue to the east.
This zone will connect directly to the Valley Metro Light Rail B Line at the Central and
Baseline Park-and-Ride, providing seamless access to the regional rail network.
Each pilot microtransit zone is designed to operate daily from 6 a.m. to 8 p.m.
RAPID Service Enhancement:
Current Route Description
I-17 RAPID: The I-17 RAPID is an express bus route connecting north Phoenix with
Downtown Phoenix along the I-17 freeway corridor. Current service operates inbound to
Downtown Phoenix during weekday morning peak hours (5 a.m. to 8 a.m.), and
outbound during weekday afternoon peak hours (3 p.m. to 6 p.m.) to the Thelda
Williams Transit Center, the Bell/I-17 Park-and-Ride, and the Happy Valley Park-and-
Ride.
I-10 West RAPID: The I-10 West RAPID is an express bus route connecting west
Phoenix with Downtown Phoenix along the I-10 freeway corridor. Current service
operates inbound to Downtown Phoenix during weekday morning peak hours (5 a.m. to
8 a.m.), and outbound during weekday afternoon peak hours (3 p.m. to 6 p.m.) to the
79th Avenue/I-10 Park-and-Ride and the Desert Sky Transit Center.
Proposed RAPID Changes
PTD proposes improving both routes to operate bi-directionally Monday through Friday
by adding reverse-commute trips during peak hours and extending service into off-peak
Title VI Analysis
City of Phoenix Public Transit Department
October 2026 Proposed Service Changes
Page 6 of 14
periods. Once implemented, each route will operate in both directions from 5 a.m. to 7
p.m. on weekdays. Existing peak-hour frequent service will remain in place to
accommodate high-demand travel periods.
In addition to I-17 and I-10 West RAPID, PTD also proposed schedule changes to other
RAPID routes (SR 51 RAPID, I-10 East RAPID, South Mountain East RAPID, and
South Mountain West RAPID) that were shared for public comment in the effort to
improve on-time performance and service efficiency.
Public Outreach
The Public Transit Department used the locally adopted public outreach process to
solicit public feedback on proposed service changes.
The public input process took place from May 11, 2026, through June 16, 2026. During
the public comment period, Phoenix and Valley Metro staff conducted outreach utilizing
the Valley Metro website, Valley Metro App, City newsletters, social media, and on-
board bus public messaging announcements to notify passengers of the proposed
changes and directed passengers to visit Valley Metro’s website to submit comments.
The proposed service change information was also presented by city staff to the
following Village Planning Committees where the village would be impacted by the
proposed service change:
• May 4, 2026- Deer Valley Village
• May 11, 2026- Laveen Village
• May 12, 2026- South Mountain Village
• May 13, 2026- Maryvale Village
• May 19, 2026- Estrella Village
A hybrid public hearing was held on May 27 at Valley Metro’s offices, Conference Room
10A and virtually, for the public to attend and provide comments.
SERVICE EQUITY ANALYSIS OF OCTOBER 2025 PROPOSED SERVICE
CHANGES
The first step of the Title VI assessment is to measure and document the magnitude of
service change being proposed to determine if a project qualifies as a “major service
change”.
Title VI Analysis
City of Phoenix Public Transit Department
October 2026 Proposed Service Changes
Page 7 of 14
Table 1: Magnitude of Impact- Revenue Miles Change
Table 2: Magnitude of Impact- Directional Miles Change
Table 3: Magnitude of Impact- Major Change Indicators by Individual Projects
Magnitude of Service Change Assessment Findings
Microtransit service implementation qualifies as add a new route. I-17 RAPID and I-10
West RAPID’s revenue mile increase are greater than 25% of existing service on
weekdays. Therefore, all proposed projects will proceed to step 2 to be assessed for
possible disparate impact to minority population and/or bestowing disproportionate
burden on low-income populations.
Routes Weekday
Saturday
Sunday
Weekday
Saturday
Sunday
Weekday
Saturday
Sunday
I17 RAPID
864
-
-
1,318
-
-
53%
I-10 West RAPID
255
-
-
536
-
-
110%
North Microtransit
-
-
-
New
New
New
100%
100%
100%
South Microtransit
-
-
-
New
New
New
100%
100%
100%
West Microtransit
-
-
-
New
New
New
100%
100%
100%
Current Revenue Miles
Proposed Revenue Miles
% Difference
Routes
Current Directional
Miles
Proposed
Directional Miles % Difference
I17 RAPID
44
44
0%
I-10 West RAPID
26
26
0%
North Microtransit
N/A
N/A
N/A
South Microtransit
N/A
N/A
N/A
West Microtransit
N/A
N/A
N/A
Add or
Eliminate
Route
Expanding or
reducing
existing route
by more than
25% of
Weekday
route
revenue
miles
Expanding or
reducing
existing route
by more than
25% of
Saturday
routes
revenue
miles
Expanding or
reducing
existing route
by more than
25% of
Sunday
route
revenue
miles
Expanding or
reducing
number of
route
directional
miles more
than 25%
A change
resulting in a
25% or
greater
variance from
the existing
route
alignment
Continue to
Assess
Mitigation
I17 RAPID
No
Yes
No
No
No
No
Yes
I-10 West RAPID
No
Yes
No
No
No
No
Yes
North Microtransit
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
South Microtransit
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
West Microtransit
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Title VI Analysis
City of Phoenix Public Transit Department
October 2026 Proposed Service Changes
Page 8 of 14
Step 2- Disparate Impact and Disproportionate Burden Determination
The second step of the service equity assessment will evaluate each major service
change to determine if it would have a disparate impact on minority populations and/or
cause disproportionate burden on low-income populations. Should Valley Metro or the
City of Phoenix find any disparate impact or disproportionate burden is found during the
service equity analysis, steps will be taken to avoid, minimize, or mitigate the impacts.
Table 4: Route Service Area Title VI Populations by Census Block Group*
Table 5. Route Rider Population from 2023 Valley Metro Origin and Destination
Survey
Step 2- Disparate Impacts and Disproportionate Burden findings and mitigation strategy
Route
Percent Minority
Population
Percent Low Income
Population
All Local
52.8%
22.0%
North Microtransit Zone
37.4%
18.4%
South Microtransit Zone
80.1%
24.0%
West Microtransit Zone
82.8%
26.0%
Above system average by five percent
Route
Percent Minority
Population
Percent Low Income
Population
RAPID/Express
49.2%
20.0%
I-17 RAPID
63.8%
32.5%
I-10 West RAPID
84.6%
36.6%
Above system average by five percent
* Population within 3/4 mile buffer of route.
* Population within 3/4 mile buffer of route.
Route
Percent Minority
Population
Percent Low
Income
Population
All RAPID/Express
37.5%
18.5%
I-17 RAPID
45.1%
30.9%
I-10 West RAPID
66.7%
32.0%
* 2023 Valley Metro Origin and Destination Study
Above system average by five percent
Title VI Analysis
City of Phoenix Public Transit Department
October 2026 Proposed Service Changes
Page 9 of 14
North Microtransit Zone
Findings: Based on census data, areas proposed to be covered by the North
microtransit zone are 37.4% minority, which is less than the regional local route average
of 52.8%. Should the proposed service change negatively impact riders, it would not
qualify as having a disparate impact on minority populations. The same area is 18.4
low-income, which is less than the regional local route average of 22%. Should the
proposed service change negatively impact riders, it would not qualify as causing
disproportional burden on low-income populations
Mitigation Requirements: The proposed microtransit zone in north Phoenix would
provide additional transit options for riders on top of existing transit service. Since the
proposed change is a positive change for transit passengers, no mitigation efforts are
necessary.
South Microtransit Zone
Findings: Based on census data, areas proposed to be covered by the South
microtransit zone are 80.1% minority, which is more than five percent above the
regional local route average of 52.8%. Should the proposed service change negatively
impact riders, it would qualify as having a disparate impact on minority populations. The
same area is 24% low-income, which is less than five percent above the regional local
route average of 22%. Should the proposed service change negatively impact riders, it
would not qualify as causing disproportional burden on low-income populations
Mitigation Requirements: The proposed microtransit zone in South Phoenix would
provide additional transit options for riders on top of existing transit service. Since the
proposed change is a positive change for transit passengers, no mitigation efforts are
necessary.
West Microtransit Zone
Findings: Based on census data, areas proposed to be covered by the West
microtransit zone are 82.8% minority, which is more than five percent above the
regional local route average of 52.8%. Should the proposed service change negatively
impact riders, it would qualify as having a disparate impact on minority populations. The
same area is 26% low-income, which is less than five percent above the regional local
route average of 22%. Should the proposed service change negatively impact riders, it
would not qualify as causing disproportional burden on low-income populations
Mitigation Requirements: The proposed microtransit zone in West Phoenix would
provide additional transit options for riders on top of the existing transit service. Since
Title VI Analysis
City of Phoenix Public Transit Department
October 2026 Proposed Service Changes
Page 10 of 14
the proposed change is a positive change for transit passengers, no mitigation efforts
are necessary.
I-17 RAPID
Findings: According to the most recent origin/destination survey, current I-17 RAPID
passengers are 45% of the minority, which is more than five percent above the regional
average of 37.5% for RAPID routes. Should the proposed service change negatively
impact riders, it would qualify as having a disparate impact on minority populations. I-17
RAPID passengers are 30.9% low-income, which is more than five percent above the
regional average of 18.5% for RAPID routes. Should the proposed service change
negatively impact riders, it would qualify as causing a disproportional burden on low-
income populations.
Mitigation Requirements: The proposed service change on I-17 RAPID is to keep
existing service and add more trips bi-directionally on weekdays. Since the proposed
change is a positive change for transit passengers, no mitigation efforts are necessary.
I-10 West RAPID
Findings: According to the most recent origin/destination survey, current I-10 West
RAPID passengers are 66% minority, which is more than five percent above the
regional average of 37.5% for RAPID routes. Should the proposed service change
negatively impact riders, it would qualify qualifies as having a disparate impact on
minority populations. I-10 West RAPID passengers are 32% low-income, which is more
than five percent above the regional average of 18.5% for RAPID routes. Should the
proposed service change negatively impact riders, it would qualify as causing a
disproportional burden on low-income populations.
Mitigation Requirements: The proposed service change on I-10 West RAPID is to keep
existing service and add more trips bi-directionally on weekdays. Since the proposed
change is a positive change for transit passengers, no mitigation efforts are necessary.
Title VI Analysis
City of Phoenix Public Transit Department
October 2026 Proposed Service Changes
Page 11 of 14
Demographic Maps
Map 1: October 2026 Service Change and Title VI Populations- RAPID
Title VI Analysis
City of Phoenix Public Transit Department
October 2026 Proposed Service Changes
Page 12 of 14
Map 2: October 2026 Service Change and Title VI Populations- North Microtransit
Zone
Title VI Analysis
City of Phoenix Public Transit Department
October 2026 Proposed Service Changes
Page 13 of 14
Map 3: October 2026 Service Change and Title VI Populations- West Microtransit
Zone
Title VI Analysis
City of Phoenix Public Transit Department
October 2026 Proposed Service Changes
Page 14 of 14
Map 4: October 2026 Service Change and Title VI Populations- South Microtransit
Zone