04.CPA2600002 BOS REPORT PART 2.PDF
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8 Economic Growth In This Chapter Introduction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 150 Planning Considerations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 151 Strategies. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 158 Goals & Policies. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 159 Between 2010 and 2020, Maricopa County accounted for over half of Arizona’s total population growth Introduction Maricopa County stands as one of the most dynamic economic regions in the United States. With a population exceeding 4.5 million and growing rapidly, the County has become a magnet for both domestic migration and business investment. Between 2010 and 2020, Maricopa County accounted for over half of Arizona’s total population growth, and projections suggest it could reach 6.5 million residents by 2060. This demographic expansion is reshaping the county’s labor market, housing demand, and infrastructure needs. The County’s economic base is primarily service-oriented, yet it boasts robust goods-producing sectors that drive innovation and competitiveness. Key industries include healthcare and biosciences, finance and insurance, and advanced manufacturing, which encompasses aerospace, semiconductors, and electric vehicle components. Information technology is rapidly expanding, fueled by software development, cybersecurity, and data center growth, while transportation and logistics benefit from Maricopa’s extensive infrastructure and rail- served industrial areas. Construction and real estate remain strong due to population growth and housing demand, and tourism continues to thrive with world-class resorts, sports venues, and cultural attractions. These sectors collectively position Maricopa County as a dynamic and resilient economy with competitive advantages in workforce talent, innovation ecosystems, and a favorable business climate. Unincorporated Maricopa County presents unique opportunities and challenges. These areas of the County are experiencing increased development pressure as municipal; and urban centers expand outward. While unincorporated land typically offers flexible zoning and lower land costs, they often lack critical infrastructure such as sewer systems, improved roads, and comprehensive broadband connectivity. Strategic planning is essential to ensure that growth across unincorporated Maricopa County is balanced with infrastructure development and aligned with broader county goals. The purpose of this Economic Development Element is to establish a comprehensive framework that guides policies and investments to sustain long-term prosperity. The Economic Growth element includes strategies that Maricopa County can use to help create a diverse and resilient economy. Opportunities focus on locating employment proximate to where people live, supporting small and start- up businesses, and supporting industries that require a lot of land but not urban services or infrastructure. FRAMEWORK 2040 | Maricopa County Comprehensive Plan 150 Partnerships and Programs The County supports economic development through its various departments and in conjunction with its community partners. In 2025, Maricopa County established the Office of Economic Development and a new Economic Development Coordinator role to develop partnerships with business; economic development, workforce development, community-based, industry trade, and labor organizations; boards and commissions; and other jurisdictions to support and grow the regional economy. A select review of some of these partnerships and programs include: The Maricopa County Industrial Development Authority (MCIDA) is a nonprofit conduit issuer established under Arizona law to provide lower-cost financing for qualified projects through the issuance of revenue bonds. These bonds are exempt from Arizona income tax and, when compliant with the Internal Revenue Code, may also be exempt from federal income tax. Governed by a nine-member volunteer Board of Directors appointed by the Maricopa County Board of Supervisors, IDAMC operates with oversight and final approval from the Board of Supervisors. The Board meets regularly to ensure responsible stewardship of resources and compliance with statutory requirements. For more than 45 years, IDAMC has played a vital role in promoting economic growth, increasing affordable housing, creating jobs, and enhancing the overall economic vitality of Maricopa County. Greater Phoenix Economic Council (GPEC) is a nonprofit partnership founded in 1989 to attract and grow quality businesses and enhance the region’s competitiveness. GPEC collaborates with 22 member communities, Maricopa County, and over 170 private investors to drive economic diversity and smart growth. Over its history, GPEC has helped more than 1,075 companies expand or relocate, creating nearly 195,000 jobs and generating over $76.5 billion in capital investment for the Greater Phoenix region. Key Findings Employment projections indicate a faster rate of employment growth within the unincorporated county at nearly 95 percent compared to Maricopa County at nearly 65 percent. The largest employment gains through 2032 are anticipated to be in health care and social assistance, construction, arts, entertainment and recreation and professional, scientific and technical services. The top two industry sectors employing the most people within unincorporated Maricopa County and the County as a whole are retail trade and healthcare/ social assistance. Planning Considerations As the fourth most populous county in the United States, Maricopa County plays a critical role in shaping Arizona’s economic future. Its strategic location, robust transportation infrastructure, strong tourism, recreation, and sports options and proximity to other major markets position Maricopa County as a hub for commerce, technology, and global trade. The following analysis highlights specific considerations that inform the development of supporting economic strategies. Chapter 8 • ECONOMIC GROWTH 151 Maricopa County is a core member of GPEC’s regional partnership model. The County works with GPEC to coordinate business attraction and expansion efforts across the region; provide resources for projects requiring county-level support; and collaborate on strategic initiatives that strengthen competitiveness, such as workforce development, infrastructure planning, and industry cluster growth. The Greater Maricopa Foreign Trade Zone (GMFTZ No. 277) was established in 2010 to serve Western Maricopa County and promote international trade and economic development. As part of the U.S. Foreign Trade Zone program, GMFTZ allows businesses to import goods duty-free, defer customs duties, and benefit from property tax reductions through reclassification to a Class 6 property instead of standard property tax assessments. These incentives help reduce operating costs and attract global manufacturers and distributors to the region. Maricopa County plays a key role in supporting the Greater Maricopa Foreign Trade Zone by providing planning and zoning authority for unincorporated areas within the zone’s service area. The County collaborates with GMFTZ and local economic development offices to secure letters of concurrence from taxing entities and facilitate applications. Additionally, Maricopa County promotes FTZ designation as part of its broader economic development strategy to attract investment and create jobs in the West Valley. The Workforce Development Division (WDD) is facilitated by the Maricopa County Human Services Department and is responsible for providing comprehensive workforce services for adult and youth job seekers and employers across the County. Services are available through two comprehensive career centers, partner sites in cities and towns across the Valley as well as all Maricopa County Library District locations. WDD helps the community by providing a wide range of activities designed to assist career seekers, many with significant barriers to employment, in obtaining the knowledge and skills necessary for self-supporting employment. The Community Development Block Grant Program (CDBG) uses federal HUD funds to revitalize neighborhoods, expand affordable housing, improve community facilities, and create economic opportunities for low- and moderate-income residents. Funds are distributed annually through a competitive process to participating Urban County communities and nonprofit agencies. Projects include infrastructure improvements, public safety enhancements, and community services that directly benefit residents in smaller municipalities and unincorporated areas of the County. The HOME Investment Partnership Program (HOME) provides HUD funding to increase the supply of safe, decent, and affordable housing for very low- and low-income families. Administered through the Maricopa HOME Consortium, funds support activities such as housing acquisition, construction, rehabilitation, and tenant-based rental assistance. The program strengthens public-private partnerships and leverages local and private resources to expand affordable rental and homeownership opportunities across the County. FRAMEWORK 2040 | Maricopa County Comprehensive Plan 152 Educational Attainment Over 65% of the population has attended college, which is lower in comparison to incorporated Maricopa County. Nearly 29% completed a Bachelor’s or Post- Graduate Degree Program which is higher in comparison to incorporated Maricopa County, shown in Figure 14. When comparing educational attainment levels for individuals aged 25 years and older between 2010 and 2022, there are notable increases in higher education levels as shown in Table 8. The proportion of high school graduates rose from 21% to 26%, while those with some college education, but no degree increased from 20% to 27%. Additionally, the percentage of individuals holding an associate’s degree grew from 6% to 10%, and those with a bachelor’s degree increased from 12% to 18%. The most significant growth occurred in the category of graduate or professional degrees, which rose from 6% to 11%. Overall, the data indicates a significant upward trend in educational attainment over the 12-year period. This trend is encouraging given that higher overall educational attainment greatly contributes to fostering economic development through attracting leading industry, which supports the growth of more advanced and diverse employment opportunities. Economic development resulting from rising educational levels not only expands economic activity for both professional and working-class industries, but it also opens pathways for residents into skilled trades, technical certifications, and personal career advancement. As a result, this type of widespread economic development and expanded economic activity strengthens the local labor market, reduces economic vulnerability among households from external factors, and strives to ensure that prosperity is shared across the broad spectrum of career options in Maricopa County. Table 10. Employment Projections by RAZ by MPA, 2020-2060 Change % 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2020-2060 Total Maricopa County 2,139,150 2,677,370 3,028,141 3,272,994 3,526,978 64.9% Incorporated Cities 2,084,500 2,599,456 2,940,219 3,175,608 3,417,164 63.9% Indian Reservation 25,856 41,576 46,888 49,288 56,739 107.8% Unincorporated County 28,794 36,338 41,034 48,098 56,075 94.7% Unincorporated as % of Total 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.5% 1.6% --- Source: Maricopa Association of Governments Socioeconomic Projections, 2023 Figure 14. E d u c a t i o n a l Attainment Employment Projections Unlike population projections, MAG’s data for employment is based on Regional Analysis Zones (RAZ) across the Metropolitan Planning Area (MPA). Table 10 shows that by 2030 Maricopa County is projected to have three million jobs, with 1.4 percent in unincorporated Maricopa County. By the year 2060 forecasted employment reaches 3.5 million jobs, of which 1.6 percent are within unincorporated Maricopa County. Employment growth for Maricopa County and unincorporated county by decade is presented in Figure 15. The rate of job growth within unincorporated Maricopa County in the years 2030 and 2040 nearly matches the county as a whole. By 2050 and beyond the forecasted job growth for unincorporated Maricopa County more than doubles Maricopa County as a whole. This long-term projection of increased employment growth in unincorporated Maricopa County is largely based on limited availability of developable land within incorporated areas. As incorporated communities annex additional lands in the future, it is anticipated this stark imbalance will reach more equilibrium as near term growth projections indicate. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2022 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates Chapter 8 • ECONOMIC GROWTH 153 Workforce Distribution by Industries Table 11 shows a workforce of 2.4 million people in Maricopa County overall. The sectors employing the greatest percentage of people include health care and social assistance with 13.5 percent followed by retail trade with 9.7 percent. Other top employing sectors include accommodation and food services (8.5%) and admin/ support/waste management (8.0%). There is also a large percentage of people within the County who are self- employed at 7.1 percent. When analyzing industry employment data specifically for unincorporated Maricopa County, nearly a fifth (19%) of unincorporated Maricopa County’s workforce is employed in the Educational Services, Health Care and Social Assistance industry. This is followed by Retail Trade (12%) and Professional, Scientific, Management, and Administrative and Waste Management Services (12%). Construction; Finance and Insurance, Real Estate, Rental and Leasing; and Arts, Entertainment, Recreation, Accommodation, and Food Services round off the next three largest industries accounting for another 27% collectively of workforce industries (Figure 16). Unincorporated Maricopa County has a greater percentage of people employed in retail trade, construction, transportation/warehousing, public administration, wholesale trade, and utilities and equal or less people in health care/social assistance, professional and educational services, accommodation/food services than Maricopa County overall. Figure 16. Workforce Industries Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2022 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates Figure 15. Employment Growth Rate per Decade, 2020 - 2060 FRAMEWORK 2040 | Maricopa County Comprehensive Plan 154 Table 11. Maricopa County Employment by Industry Sector, 2022 Total Employment 2,478,214 100.0% Health Care and Social Assistance 332,999 13.4% Retail Trade 239,326 9.7% Accommodation and Food Services 209,524 8.5% Admin/Support/Waste Management 199,424 8.0% Self-Employed and Unpaid Family Workers, All Jobs 175,743 7.1% Construction 166,491 6.7% Educational Services 150,137 6.1% Finance and Insurance 150,660 6.1% Manufacturing 141,813 5.7% Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services 141,759 5.7% Transportation and Warehousing 111,592 4.5% Wholesale Trade 95,486 3.9% Government 81,328 3.3% Other Services (Except Government) 75,327 3.0% Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation 47,768 1.9% Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 47,581 1.9% Management of Companies and Enterprises 41,023 1.7% Information 39,644 1.6% Utilities 16,672 0.7% Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting 11,507 0.5% Mining 2,410 0.1% Source: Arizona Office of Economic Opportunity, 2022 Chapter 8 • ECONOMIC GROWTH 155 Table 12. Maricopa County Industry Employment Projections by Sector, 2022-2032 2022 2032 % Change Total Maricopa County Employment 2,478,214 2,880,320 16.2% Accommodation and Food Services 209,524 241,271 15.2% Admin/Support/Waste Management 199,424 214,194 7.4% Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting 11,507 10,191 -11.4% Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation 47,768 58,377 22.2% Construction 166,491 210,252 26.3% Educational Services 150,137 156,840 4.5% Finance and Insurance 150,660 162,311 7.7% Government 81,328 86,735 6.6% Health Care and Social Assistance 332,999 443,894 33.3% Information 39,644 42,880 8.2% Management of Companies and Enterprises 41,023 49,315 20.2% Manufacturing 141,813 166,777 17.6% Mining 2,410 2,714 12.6% Other Services (Except Government) 75,327 85,317 13.3% Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services 141,759 172,663 21.8% Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 47,581 50,820 6.8% Retail Trade 239,326 269,695 12.7% Self-Employed and Unpaid Family Workers, All Jobs 175,743 195,678 11.3% Transportation and Warehousing 111,592 133,360 19.5% Utilities 16,672 17,033 2.2% Wholesale Trade 95,486 110,003 15.2% Source: Arizona Office of Economic Opportunity, 2022 FRAMEWORK 2040 | Maricopa County Comprehensive Plan 156 Industry Employment Projections The Arizona Office of Economic Opportunity projects employment growth by the industry sector (Table 12). By the year 2032 Maricopa County is expected to see a 16.2% overall increase in employment. Strong employment growth is expected in health care and social services (33.3%), construction (26.3%), arts, entertainment and recreation (22.2%) and professional, scientific and technical services (21.8%) sectors. Unemployment Rate Unincorporated Maricopa County’s unemployment rate (4.9%) is comparable to incorporated Maricopa County (4.8%) and slightly higher than the State unemployment rate (4.3%) (Figure 17). Worker Commute Flows Between 2010 and 2022, the number of people who live and work in Maricopa County grew by 467,142 (36%), while those who work in Maricopa County but live elsewhere grew by 108,010 (55%) as exhibited in Figure 18. Conversely, the number of people living in Maricopa County and working elsewhere only increased by 24,371 (25%). Given that most workers across all income brackets work within the County, these factors support a strong local job market within Maricopa County. In addition, given workers are driving further distances to reach employment within Maricopa County, this demonstrates the County’s importance as a central economic driver, but also may be an indicator that workers are having to or are willing to drive further distances to access housing. Figure 18. Worker Commute Flow Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2022 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates Figure 17. Unemployment Rate Source: U.S. Census Bureau, OnTheMap Application and LEHD Origin-Destination Emplyment Statistics 2019, Inflow Outflow Analysis Chapter 8 • ECONOMIC GROWTH 157 Strategies Entering the 21st century, Maricopa County’s economy has been driven by rapid population growth, construction, and a diverse mix of industries including healthcare, finance, technology, and advanced manufacturing. For decades, Maricopa County has served as the economic hub of Arizona, accounting for the majority of the state’s GDP and employment. Despite this success, the County faces challenges such as workforce skill gaps and the need to ensure increased access to high-paying jobs. To address these issues, Maricopa County is taking a leadership role in promoting strategic economic development. The County’s long- and short-term objectives are to work collaboratively with cities, the private sector, and regional organizations to retain and expand existing businesses, encourage the growth of innovation-driven and value-added industries, attract new employers, improve workforce skills, and accelerate the creation of higher-paying jobs at a rate that outpaces population growth. These efforts aim to strengthen Maricopa County’s competitive position, elevate employment rates, and raise wage levels for residents across the region. Population Growth Management: With Maricopa County accounting for the majority of Arizona’s population growth, managing this expansion is a top priority. Long-term planning efforts focus on ensuring adequate housing, healthcare, and educational infrastructure to meet the needs of a projected 6.5 million residents by 2060. Industry Diversification: Maricopa County is actively working to broaden its economic base by fostering growth in sectors like leisure and hospitality, education and health services, and professional business services. By supporting small businesses and nonemployer enterprises (i.e. single employee businesses), the county aims to build a more resilient and inclusive economy that can adapt to changing market conditions. Workforce Development & Training: Maricopa County has prioritized equipping its workforce with the skills needed for a rapidly evolving economy. Through programs like the Workforce Innovation and Opportunity Act (WIOA), the county partners with local employers and educational institutions to provide training in high-demand fields such as healthcare, information technology, and construction. These efforts aim to create clear career pathways and ensure residents are prepared for future job opportunities. Real Estate & Construction Support: To meet rising housing demand, the county is streamlining development processes and encouraging new home construction. By updating zoning regulations and simplifying permitting, Maricopa County is assisting in the development of residential and non-residential projects that align with community needs. Fiscal Responsibility & Innovation: Maintaining a strong financial foundation is central to the county’s strategy. Maricopa County has a low debt burden and employs performance-based budgeting to ensure efficient use of public funds. This data-driven approach allows the county to invest strategically while maintaining transparency and accountability. FRAMEWORK 2040 | Maricopa County Comprehensive Plan 158 Goals & Policies Economic Growth Policies: 1.1 Maricopa County supports coordinated and balanced land use patterns that allow for both Basic and Non-basic sector businesses. 1.2 Maricopa County supports assessing its regulations and processes to enhance effectiveness, ensure quality service, increase efficiency, and establish a competitive advantage. Economic Growth Goal 1: Foster a diverse and balanced economy to promote long-term economic stability and economic resiliency. Goal Statement: Aiming for a diverse and resilient economy to ensure long-term stability and growth is integral to creating a balanced economic environment that can withstand various economic challenges locally and externally. OPPORTUNITY These goals advance Opportunity by creating pathways for residents and businesses to thrive. STEWARDSHIP These goals support Stewardship by emphasizing responsible and balanced economic development. PROSPERITY These goals strongly embody Prosperity by driving economic competitiveness and fiscal health. Chapter 8 • ECONOMIC GROWTH 159 Economic Growth Policies: 2.1 Maricopa County supports partnerships with a variety of entities and stakeholders to increase business success and address community needs. 2.2 Maricopa County supports efforts to recruit prospective businesses and industries to the County and efforts to retain existing businesses and industries. 2.3 Maricopa County supports the continuation and expansion of vocational, technical, and emerging career workforce training in the region. Economic Growth Policies: 3.1 Maricopa County supports implementing the Comprehensive Plan in a clear and consistent way to help businesses make long-term investment decisions. 3.2 Maricopa County supports an economic environment that promotes entrepreneurial activities and business formation. Economic Growth Goal 2: Support the growth of opportunity in the local and regional economies. Goal Statement: Promoting initiatives that create economic opportunities for residents and businesses is crucial in elevating job creation, entrepreneurship, and economic mobility. Economic Growth Goal 3: Cultivate a thriving business environment that incubates and retains innovative companies. Goal Statement: Attracting, retaining, and supporting innovative companies and a skilled workforce drives a dynamic and competitive business climate. FRAMEWORK 2040 | Maricopa County Comprehensive Plan 160 Economic Growth Policies: 4.1 Maricopa County supports programs that provide citizens with the education and training necessary to attain careers in emerging and high-demand fields. 4.2 Maricopa County supports organizations and programs that attract a variety of Basic Sector industry clusters that have long-term, stable growth prospects. 4.3 Maricopa County supports the Maricopa County Industrial Development Authority, HOME Investment Partnerships Program, Community Development Block Grant program, and other economic opportunity incentive programs. Economic Growth Goal 4: Contribute to partnerships that advance an effective and integrated regional economy. Goal Statement: Strengthening the County’s role in the broader regional economy through effective collaboration and integration emphasizes the importance of partnerships for regional economic success. Chapter 8 • ECONOMIC GROWTH 161 9 Growth Areas In This Chapter Introduction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 164 Planning Considerations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 165 Strategies. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 172 Goals & Policies. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 174 Introduction ARS 11-804.(C)(2) requires that the Comprehensive Plan identify growth areas in Maricopa County. These are areas that are suitable for planned multimodal transportation and infrastructure expansion to support concentrations of urban land uses. The law also requires this plan to include policies and strategies that: Make multimodal transportation more efficient; Make infrastructure expansion more economical; Provide for rational land development patterns; Conserve significant natural resources and open spaces within identified growth areas, and coordinate and connect their locations to similar areas outside growth areas; and Promote timely and financially sound infrastructure expansion Steady, well-managed growth is essential to the long-term prosperity and livability of Maricopa County. However, the pace, location, and form of that growth have far-reaching implications for the natural environment, transportation infrastructure, fiscal sustainability, and overall quality of life. This Growth Areas Element plays a critical role in guiding development to occur in a manner that is also efficient and orderly. By strategically identifying areas where growth is occurring or likely to occur, the County seeks to utilize its Urban Solutions for Urban Development strategy to guide urban growth and development in these areas in the most suitable fashion. Other aims include reducing traffic congestion, mitigating air pollution, and ensuring that new growth aligns with infrastructure capacity and community needs. Planning for suitable growth and development in appropriate locations also helps preserve open space, protect natural resources, and enhance the effectiveness of public investments. The Growth Areas element pinpoints areas suitable for urban growth in unincorporated Maricopa County because they have appropriate and efficient levels of urban services and infrastructure. The Growth Areas element also explains where and when urban growth should occur to help establish sensible and efficient land use patterns. FRAMEWORK 2040 | Maricopa County Comprehensive Plan 164 Growth Constraints Planning Considerations Previous County Comprehensive Plans have identified several constraints that affect the location and extent of new urban growth in unincorporated areas of Maricopa County. The constraints fall into these categories: Physical constraints: steep slopes, riparian areas, floodplains, land subsidence, Earth fissures, water availability and important plant and wildlife habitat. Built constraints: the lack of infrastructure and services, and the location of noise sources like airports, automobile proving grounds, racetracks and highways. Ownership considerations: public land managed by federal, state and local governments and land held in trust for Native American communities. Attitudinal considerations: public sentiment leading the decision-making on development. Soil Although often overlooked, soil characteristics play a critical role in shaping land use and infrastructure development. Properties of soil such as permeability, compaction, shrink-swell potential, plasticity, salinity, erosion susceptibility, and corrosiveness can significantly influence the feasibility, cost, and long-term stability of construction projects. Understanding and mitigating these challenges are essential for feasible growth and development. Topography Maricopa County’s diverse terrain presents notable challenges to development. Elevation and slope variations range from less than 2% on the desert floor to over 20% in mountainous regions. Steep and rugged areas often require costly engineering solutions or are avoided altogether. This results in rugged and steep areas being either bypassed for less challenging locations or developed at very low densities and intensities. It should be noted that any development occurring on a natural slope of 15% or greater is subject to the Hillside Development Regulations found in the Maricopa County Zoning Ordinance in addition to standards of the applicable zoning district. Floodplains Floodplains, particularly those designated within the Federal Emergency Management Agency’s (FEMA) 100- year floodplain, pose significant risks to development. These areas have a 1% annual chance of experiencing certain flooding, though actual events may occur more frequently and with greater severity. Development within floodplains is often hindered by insurance requirements, engineering complexities, and regulatory constraints, making it both technically and financially challenging Subsidence/Earth Fissures Land subsidence in Maricopa County is a significant geological issue that is a side effect of extensive groundwater pumping withdrawal. An overly high amount of groundwater withdrawal can lead to the gradual sinking of the ground surface, known as subsidence, which has the potential to result in the formation of earth fissures. These fissures are pervasive cracks that can extend for miles and pose risks to infrastructure, property, and public safety. The Arizona Geological Survey has identified multiple areas in Maricopa County affected by subsidence, with some fissures reaching depths of up to 90 feet and hundreds of feet in length. The impacts of subsidence include damage to roads, canals, and buildings, as well as potentially reducing water quality through contamination of groundwater aquifers. Map 20 shows the extent of known land subsidence features in Maricopa County. Note that the existence of these features do not imply that fissures will happen in these areas but only indicate the gradual setting or sinking of the Earth’s surface. Physical Constraints Chapter 9 • GROWTH AREAS 165 Source: ADWR, 2026 Land subsidence in Maricopa County is a significant geological issue that is a side effect of extensive groundwater pumping withdrawl. Map 20. Extent Land Subsidence Features in Maricopa County FRAMEWORK 2040 | Maricopa County Comprehensive Plan 166 Water Quality/Availability Water resources in Maricopa County are derived from both groundwater aquifers and surface water systems such as the CAP Canal and regional reservoirs. Availability is closely tied to precipitation patterns, particularly winter snowmelt in the higher elevations of Arizona, Utah, and Colorado. Variability in water quantity and quality across the County influences the scale, location, and viability of future development, necessitating careful resource management and planning. Vegetation/Wildlife Habitat and Linkages The Sonoran Desert ecosystem supports a rich diversity of plant and animal life, many of which are protected under federal and state legislation. These protections can limit or condition development activities, particularly in areas with sensitive habitats and key wildlife linkages. Preserving biodiversity and complying with environmental regulations are key considerations in the planning process. Cultural/Archaeological Sites Maricopa County is home to numerous archaeological sites linked to the Hohokam people and other early cultures. Inventories maintained by the Arizona State Historic Preservation Office (SHPO), Arizona State Museum, and various federal, tribal, and state agencies help identify and protect these cultural assets. Depending on their significance, such sites may restrict or delay development, requiring coordination with preservation authorities and adherence to legal safeguards. Built Constraints Infrastructure and Services The availability of infrastructure and public services is one of the most critical factors influencing urban development in Maricopa County. These foundational elements such as water, wastewater, transportation, energy, and emergency services directly shape the type, timing, and location of new growth. Unlike rural development, which may function with limited infrastructure, urban development requires comprehensive systems to safeguard public health, meet community needs, and promote orderly and fiscally responsible growth. This principle is central to the County’s Urban Solutions for Urban Development strategy. As such, any proposed amendments to the Comprehensive Plan or changes to zoning district boundaries must first confirm the presence and adequacy of the infrastructure and services outlined in the Land Use Element. Ensuring infrastructure readiness not only supports efficient development but also helps prioritize growth in areas where public investment can be maximized and long- term community benefits achieved. Noise-Generating Land Uses Persistent, loud, or continuous noise can negatively affect public health, sleep quality, learning patterns, and property values. While noise can originate from many sources, several are particularly influential in shaping land use decisions and determining appropriate growth areas in Maricopa County. Airports Airports are significant sources of noise and potential safety hazards, making them key considerations in land use planning. Maricopa County is home to a variety of airport types, including major commercial hubs such as Sky Harbor International and Phoenix- Mesa Gateway, general aviation airports serving private aircraft, and residential communities designed for light aircraft access. Although airports generate noise and safety concerns, they also provide substantial economic benefits. Therefore, ensuring compatible land use around airport facilities is essential when identifying suitable locations for future development. Automobile Proving Grounds Automobile proving grounds are specialized facilities where manufacturers test vehicles and components under controlled conditions. Several such facilities exist in Maricopa County, taking advantage of the region’s dry climate for performance testing. Noise generated by these operations, along with security Chapter 9 • GROWTH AREAS 167 concerns related to proprietary technologies, must be considered when evaluating the types and intensities of development appropriate for surrounding areas. Major Roads and Highways Roads and highways produce continuous noise but are indispensable to the region’s economic vitality and mobility. Their presence influences land use compatibility and plays a role in determining where growth can occur. Planning for development near major transportation corridors requires careful consideration of noise impacts and mitigation strategies to ensure livability and long-term efficiency. Railroads Railroads contribute to brief but intense noise events due to train speed, horn use, and track conditions. Despite these impacts, rail infrastructure is essential for the movement of goods and people. As with highways, land use compatibility near rail corridors is an important factor in identifying appropriate areas for growth and development. Hazardous Areas Hazardous conditions can also dictate the types and intensities of new development. Two of these hazards, floodplains and subsidence/Earth fissures, are discussed earlier in this chapter, but there are other potentially hazardous conditions that determine growth areas: High Noise or Accident Potential Zones State law identifies specific areas surrounding military installations as High Noise or Accident Potential Zones. These zones include land near Luke Air Force Base, Luke Auxiliary Airfield Number One in northwest Surprise, and the auxiliary airfield located south of Gila Bend. These designations includesboth the noise contours surrounding these facilities and the accident potential zones that extend from the ends of their runways. The purpose of these zones is to ensure that future development remains compatible with the operational impacts of military aircraft, which may pose risks to public health and safety. Arizona has in place legislation to strengthen protections for Luke Air Force Base and its ancillary facilities. It requires local governments including Maricopa County, Surprise, Glendale, El Mirage, Goodyear, Youngtown, Buckeye, and Gila Bend to adopt land use plans and zoning regulations that address properties within these designated zones. These plans must ensure that development is compatible with the noise and accident potential associated with military operations. State law limits the types of land uses permitted in these areas to those deemed compatible by the state, although other uses may be allowed with mutual consent from Luke Air Force Base and Maricopa County. In addition to these zones, state law also defines a broader area known as the Territory in the Vicinity of a Military Airport. This area extends outward from the center of the main runways at Luke Air Force Base and Luke Auxiliary Airfield Number One. Although land uses within this territory are not restricted, construction of occupied buildings must incorporate noise reduction measures. These requirements may influence the types and densities of future development. Palo Verde Nuclear Generating Station The Palo Verde Nuclear Generating Station near Tonopah is the largest power producer in the United States. When the facility was constructed several decades ago, the surrounding area was sparsely populated. Although population levels remain relatively low, several master-planned communities are proposed within the ten-mile Plume Exposure Pathway Emergency Planning Zone. This zone is established to facilitate protective actions in the event of an unintended release of radioactive material. A secondary safety zone, known as the Ingestion Exposure Pathway Emergency Planning Zone, extends an additional fifty miles from the facility. It is uncertain whether significant residential growth will occur in the Pathway zone before the facility is eventually decommissioned. If such growth does take place, protecting public health and safety becomes a critical priority in the unlikely event of a radioactive incident. Although the probability of such an event is low, the consequences of delayed evacuation could be severe. Therefore, careful planning and a reliable transportation network are essential. Additionally, the need to secure high-profile facilities such as nuclear power plants remains a priority for federal, state, and local authorities. Future homeland security considerations may influence or restrict the type, intensity, or location of development in this part of Maricopa County. FRAMEWORK 2040 | Maricopa County Comprehensive Plan 168 Federal Land The federal government is the largest land holder in Maricopa County, managing approximately 484,000 acres of the Tonto National Forest, nearly 508,000 acres of Wilderness areas, and about 1.5 million acres of military and other miscellaneous property. Most federal land is not available for development although in certain instances land managed by the BLM can be acquired for development via land trades or outright sales. While some discussions on transferring federal land holding to private ownership have been prompted at the federal level for the purpose of alleviating housing shortages, opponents of such action warn that this would undermine conservation efforts and public access. Presently, since most federal land is not available for development it is not considered a growth area. The U.S. Department of Defense is the largest land holder primarily because of the Barry M. Goldwater Range located approximately 70 miles southwest of Phoenix. The Goldwater Range includes approximately 2.7 million acres – approximately one-third of which is in Maricopa County – for air and ground training. Only a small portion of the Goldwater Range is actually used for training operations meaning the vast majority remains undisturbed desert. The entire range is off limits to private development, and therefore is not a growth area. State Trust Land The Arizona State Land Department (ASLD) oversees more than 600,000 acres of Trust land in Maricopa County on behalf of beneficiaries like public and specialized schools, colleges, hospitals and charitable institutions to ensure that when land is sold or leased it receives the highest value-added return possible. State law mandates that fair market value be obtained for all Trust land sales and commercial leases. All revenue derived from the sale of Trust lands are placed in a fund administered by the State Treasurer, and revenue derived from commercial leases are distributed directly to the beneficiareis. Whether Trust land is considered a growth area depends on several factors, including when such land is made available for auction or lease, the status of ASLD land management plans, and available infrastructure and services. Native American Communities There are approximately 200,000 acres of land controlled by various Native American communities within the boundary of Maricopa County. These include land held in trust for the Fort McDowell-Apache, Salt River Pima-Maricopa, Gila River and Tohono O’odham tribal communities. While development can occur in these areas each respective nation controls the location, type and intensity of growth within their borders. Therefore, for the purpose of this plan these communities are not considered growth areas. Maricopa County Regional Parks Covering approximately 120,000 acres Maricopa County’s twelve parks and conservation areas comprise one of the largest regional park systems in the nation. Each park offers various levels of recreation for the more than 1.2 million residents and guests that visit the system annually. Except for recreational enhancements, development in the parks is prohibited meaning these are not growth areas. Ownership Constraints Attitudinal Constraints Public attitudes toward development play a pivotal role in shaping the type, scale, and location of future growth across unincorporated Maricopa County as discussed in the earlier Public Engagement section. Preferences vary widely, with some residents favoring newer urban-context environments while others advocate for preserving rural desert character and open desert landscape spaces. These divergent views are especially pronounced in unincorporated areas, where land use decisions often spark strong community sentiment. Understanding and responding to these perspectives is essential for crafting workable growth strategies. Whether supporting higher-density development or maintaining low-intensity rural landscapes, public opinion continues to influence planning outcomes and remains a key factor in determining how and where growth occurs. Chapter 9 • GROWTH AREAS 169 Growth Pressures Due to the availability of lower-priced rural or undeveloped land at the fringe of urban development in the Phoenix Area, unincorporated Maricopa County experiences significant growth pressures. As the population increases and demand for housing rises in the region, developers are increasingly drawn to these exurb areas due to lower land costs and fewer regulatory constraints often found in municipalities. The outward expansion and rate of development can strain existing infrastructure and services, creating challenges for coordinated planning and efficient service delivery. Growth in the unincorporated exurban fringe can also strain regional systems such as transportation, water supply, and emergency services. As development pushes outward, the cost of extending roads, utilities, and public safety infrastructure increases, often outpacing the revenues generated by new growth. This dynamic underscores the importance of aligning fringe development with long-range planning goals, including the designation of appropriate growth areas, the integration of multimodal transportation options as feasible, and the preservation of critical natural and/or cultural assets. Finally, growth in unincorporated fringe affects the existing residents who have already built up their homes and livelihoods in these portions of the County. Agricultural operations, open space preservation, and rural lifestyles frequently come into conflict with suburban development proposals. Residents in these unincorporated areas often express concerns about traffic congestion, loss of natural landscapes, and changes to community character. At the same time, local governments face pressure to accommodate growth while maintaining fiscal responsibility and protecting environmental resources. Balancing these interests requires thoughtful land use strategies that prioritize infrastructure readiness, environmental stewardship, and community engagement. Effects on Area Plans This analysis indicates that growth pressures in unincorporated areas of Maricopa County are increasingly concentrated along the western urban fringe, particularly near the Interstate 10 Corridor toward Tonopah. This finding aligns with the fact that the four existing Area Plans in this part of the County have not been updated in nearly two decades. There is a high likelihood of a need for timely reassessment of these four Area Plans to reflect current development dynamics and community issues. This growth pressure analysis provides a valuable basis for prioritizing the update sequence of existing Area Plans. By identifying areas experiencing heightened development interest, the County can ensure that planning efforts are responsive, proactive, and strategically targeted. Additionally, the analysis serves as a tool for identifying new regions with suitable conditions that may warrant consideration of the creation of new Area Plans. Utilizing a similar approach for the Area Plan Program could enhance the County’s ability to manage growth effectively, support timely development, and maintain alignment with long-range planning objectives. This approach also reinforces the importance of regularly evaluating and updating planning documents to ensure they remain relevant and actionable in the face of evolving growth patterns. The Comprehensive Plan analyzed several factors that are common drivers of growth pressure found in unincorporated Maricopa County, including: Proximit y to existing development; Proximity to planned future employment centers; Proximity to approved master planned communities; and Zoning and/or future land use that allows for new development This growth pressure analysis resulted in these factors driving a greater potential of development growth in unincorporated Maricopa County, particularly on the western urban fringe of the Phoenix metro area. Through this analysis, two notable hot spots of projected future growth are evident. The first projected future growth hot spot is in the Tonopah area within the extent of the Tonopah/Arlington Area Plan, and the second hot spot is near Wittmann close to the US-60/SR 74 intersection. Map 21 captures the results of the projected future growth analysis for unincorporated Maricopa County. FRAMEWORK 2040 | Maricopa County Comprehensive Plan 170 Source: Maricopa County Office of Enterprise Technology, 2025; Michael Baker International Analysis, 2026 Unincorporated Maricopa County experiences significant growth pressures as developers are drawn to lower-priced rural land at the fringe of urban development. Map 21. Future Growth Hot Spot Growth Projection in Unincorporated Maricopa County Chapter 9 • GROWTH AREAS 171 Strategies The previous Comprehensive Plan introduced the term Urban Growth Area, identifying where urban growth is most suitable to occur. This area encompasses unincorporated land in Maricopa County that is planned for urban development within either a County Area Plan, a Development Master Plan/Master Planned Community, or a Municipal Planning Area from a municipal general plan within the extent of Maricopa County. Under the new Municipal-Rural Influence Framework that this Comprehensive Plan puts forth, unincorporated land can be considered as part of the Urban Growth Area or the Rural Service Area. Urban Growth Area When not hindered by the previously mentioned constraints, there are opportunities for growth in unincorporated Maricopa County. Any land determined to be in the County’s Urban Growth Area, as detailed in the Municipal-Rural Influence Framework, has the ability to propose a land use designation change or rezoning to an urban land use regardless of the land’s initial designation. However, being determined to be in the Urban Growth Area does not automatically allow for approval of any land use designation change or rezoning request. The formal definition of the Urban Growth Area in Maricopa County is as follows: Any unincorporated land designated for an urban land use in the Comprehensive Plan, the respective County Area Plan, or an applicable municipal general plan if the requirements of the Urban Solutions for Urban Development (USUD) strategy can be satisfied and assurance of annexation can be obtained. Unincorporated land designated for rural land use in the Comprehensive Plan or a County Area Plan could also be considered the Urban Growth Area if that land is designated for urban land use in an applicable municipal general plan, provided that the requirements of the USUD umbrella policy can be satisfied and an assurance of annexation can be obtained to avoid forming new County Islands. Any area that does not meet these criteria is part of the Rural Service Area, which allows for rural land use. Moreover, urban growth is unsuitable anywhere that the constraints identified in this chapter, as applicable, cannot be properly addressed. While the Urban Growth Area does allow for urban-context development in unincorporated areas assuming the USUD requirements are satisfied and the other conditions in the above definition are also met, Maricopa County does affirm that such urban development, especially urban residential development, should annex into the appropriate municipalities to avoid the endurance of County Islands or the creation of new ones and to ensure urban services, urban infrastructure, and a locally elected government are available. If, for whatever reason, annexation is not possible, then any proposed urban development in the County’s Urban Growth Area shall seek an assurance of annexation with the appropriate municipality. Certain industrial land uses that require large amounts of land, but not urban services and infrastructure, are acceptable outside the Urban Growth Area in the Rural Service Area. These uses could include electric generating facilities, proving grounds and test facilities, extraction industries, agriculturally-oriented businesses and other rural-type industrial uses on a case-by-case basis. Additionally, certain commercial land uses that are under 40 acres do not require a Comprehensive Plan Amendment and can prove proportionally-scaled satisfactions to the USUD requirements are acceptable outside the Urban Growth Area in the Rural Service Area. FRAMEWORK 2040 | Maricopa County Comprehensive Plan 172 Rural Service Area The Rural Service Area in Maricopa County encompasses regions characterized by low-density land use, limited infrastructure, and a strong emphasis on preserving open space, agricultural operations, and the rural lifestyle. These areas are not in the Urban Growth Area and are not intended for intensive urban development. Development in the Rural Service Area is guided by policies that prioritize compatibility with the natural landscape, minimize infrastructure demands, conserve regional resources, and maintain the integrity of rural communities. As such only rural land use designations and their associated zoning districts are expected in the Rural Service Area with the exception for certain industrial and commercial land uses previously mentioned. Urban/Rural Transitional Areas Urban/rural interface transition areas in unincorporated Maricopa County represent dynamic zones where urban or suburban expansion meets traditionally rural landscapes. These areas are characterized by a mix of land uses, including low-density residential development, agricultural operations, and emerging infrastructure. These transition areas are often included within the limits of the current Area Plans. As growth continues to extend outward from incorporated municipalities, these transitional zones face increasing pressure to accommodate new housing, commercial activity, and public services. However, the lack of municipal governance and limited infrastructure in the County can complicate planning efforts. This is why Maricopa County supports planning for these areas between its Urban Growth Area and its Rural Service Area to ensure smooth and cohesive transitions. Chapter 9 • GROWTH AREAS 173 OPPORTUNITY These goals advance Opportunity by ensuring strategic and orderly development that supports livability and accessibility. STEWARDSHIP These goals strongly support Stewardship by directing growth to appropriate areas and reducing environmental impacts. PROSPERITY These goals reinforce Prosperity by creating a stable and efficient framework for economic growth. Growth Area Policies: 1.1 Maricopa County supports assurance of annexation, where feasible, of new urban development and redevelopment sites within its Urban Growth Area. 1.2 Maricopa County supports planning for urban/rural interface transition areas between its Urban Growth Area and Rural Service Area. Growth Areas Goal 1: Address growth strategically to ensure orderly, compatible land use and reasonable development. Goal Statement: Ensuring orderly and reasonable growth through effective development planning practices is crucial for providing the appropriate infrastructure needed to maintain a high quality of life. Goals & Policies FRAMEWORK 2040 | Maricopa County Comprehensive Plan 174 Growth Area Policies: 2.1 Maricopa County supports consistent implementation of and compliance with its Urban Solutions for Urban Development strategy in its Urban Growth Area. 2.2 Maricopa County supports periodically evaluating the development constraints and considerations identified in this element to determine how they impact the Urban Growth Area, and whether they require reconsideration or modification. Growth Areas Goal 2: Have urban growth that is consistent with the County’s Urban Growth Area, meets statutory requirements, and implements the Urban Solutions for Urban Development strategy. Goal Statement: The County’s Urban Growth Area allows for the growth of infrastructure, services, and development according to the Urban Solutions for Urban Development strategy in order to protect the public’s health, safety, and well-being. Chapter 9 • GROWTH AREAS 175 10 Open Space In This Chapter Introduction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 178 Planning Considerations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 179 Strategies. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 183 Goals & Policies. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 184 Annual visitation to Maricopa County Parks is expected to rise from 2.7 million in 2022 to 3.7 million by 2032 Introduction Open space and recreation are fundamental components of a healthy and livable community. Across the United States, research consistently demonstrates that parks, trails, and natural areas provide critical environmental, social, and economic benefits. They improve air and water quality, mitigate urban heat islands, and support biodiversity, while offering residents opportunities for physical activity, mental restoration, and social interaction. In urbanized regions, open spaces provide essential green infrastructure where people of all ages and backgrounds can gather. Open spaces also contribute to the aesthetic character of urban areas, offering visual relief from built environments and preserving distinctive landmarks that strengthen a region’s identity. However, as urbanization intensifies and development pressures grow, protecting and enhancing open space becomes a critical consideration to ensure future generations enjoy equal and widespread access to nature and recreation. Maricopa County manages one of the largest regional park systems in the United States, covering more than 120,000 acres of Sonoran Desert landscapes. The system’s mission is to preserve open space, protect sensitive ecosystems, and provide diverse recreational opportunities for residents and visitors. It includes 12 regional parks and conservation areas along with miles of multi-use trails all offering unique amenities. This chapter establishes a vision for an interconnected system of parks, trails, and natural areas that reflects County priorities and responds to emerging challenges. It outlines goals and policies to conserve natural resources, expand recreational opportunities, and integrate open space planning with housing, transportation, and economic development strategies. In doing so, the Comprehensive Plan elevates open space and recreation as core components of a dynamic, healthy, and attractive Maricopa County. The Open Space element recommends ways to increase the amount, quality, and variety of open space in unincorporated Maricopa County, and ways to link open space into interconnected systems. FRAMEWORK 2040 | Maricopa County Comprehensive Plan 178 Planning Considerations Maricopa County’s Parks Vision 2030 outlines a comprehensive approach to managing and expanding its regional park and open space system in response to rapid population growth and evolving community needs. The County, home to over 4.4 million residents in 2020, is projected to surpass five million by 2030 and reach 6.4 million by 2055. This growth will significantly increase demand for parks, trails, and natural open spaces, with annual visitation expected to rise from 2.7 million in 2022 to 3.7 million by 2032. To maintain the current standard of 27 acres per 1,000 residents, the County must acquire approximately 15,000 acres every decade. Public input strongly supports reinvesting in existing parks, protecting wildlife corridors, and acquiring new open spaces. Open Space Maricopa Count y deems the preservation and development of open spaces in general as essential for maintaining the quality of life for its residents, promoting physical activity, and fostering a sense of community. Overall, there are 4,850.3 square miles, or 3,104,190 acres, of open space land in unincorporated Maricopa County. This total includes the 120,000 acres in the 12 regional parks in the County system, the 684,000 acres of recreation land under BLM management, the 655,000 acres of the Tonto National Forest, and the 97,350 acres of dedicated or proposed open space from the County’s area plans. The remaining acreage of open space in the unincorporated County are either not planned to remain open space or are under the operation of other agencies that do not permit recreational use. As the population continues to grow and development follows, the importance of balancing development with the conservation of open spaces remains a key priority for Maricopa County. The recreational opens space land in the County is shown on Map 22. Chapter 10 • OPEN SPACE 179 Parks Maricopa County manages one of the largest regional park systems in the United States, encompassing approximately 121,185 acres of protected land. All the regional parks the County manages are shown in Map 22. The park system is designed to balance recreation, conservation, and connectivity. It offers extensive open space areas, diverse recreational resources, and a well-planned network of access points. The system includes: Regional Parks (12 total including Conservation Areas) Adobe Dam Regional Park – 1,454 acres Buckeye Hills Regional Park – 4,453 acres Cave Creek Regional Park – 2,934 acres Estrella Mountain Regional Park – 19,837 acres Lake Pleasant Regional Park – 23,662 acres McDowell Mountain Regional Park – 20,472 acres San Tan Mountain Regional Park – 10,119 acres Usery Mountain Regional Park – 3,529 acres White Tank Mountain Regional Park – 29,557 acres Vulture Mountains Recreation Area – 1,046 acres (with 70,000+ acres under cooperative management with BLM) Conservation Areas Spur Cross Ranch Conservation Area – 2,174 acres Hassayampa River Preserve – 776 acres Education Center Desert Outdoor Center at Lake Pleasant Linear Parks & Greenways Maricopa Trail – 315+ miles (regional loop connecting parks) Sun Circle Trail – 35 miles (National Recreation Trail) Future Expansion Targets Verde River, New River Mesa, Buckeye Hills East, Saddle Mountain, Big Horn Mountains, Harquahala, Eagletail, Hummingbird Springs, Painted Rocks, Lake Pleasant West, Seven Springs, Horseshoe Lake, Bartlett Lake, Table Mesa. Local and neighborhood parks similarly play a crucial role in maintaining the stability of communities by offering spaces for recreation, social interaction, and promoting healthy lifestyles. Unlike cities and towns, Maricopa County does not manage local parks. Instead, parks in unincorporated areas are privately managed by homeowners’ associations or similar entities. Nevertheless, Maricopa County recognizes the importance of having local parks with adequate and appropriate amenities as a vital part of the community. Available Recreational Resources Trail System - Multi-use trails for hiking, biking, equestrian use, competitive tracks, ADA/barrier-free trails. Camping Facilities - Developed RV and tent sites, primitive camping areas, group/youth campgrounds. Water Recreation - Lake Pleasant: boating, fishing, kayaking, paddleboarding; boat ramps, marinas. Amenities & Facilities - Nature centers, amphitheaters, p l a y g r o u n d s , p i c n i c ramadas, restrooms (flush/ vault), dump stations, equestrian staging areas, archery ranges, shooting ranges, observatories, event venues, interpretive signage, retail/gift shops. Programs & Education - Interpretive education, guided hikes, bird walks, moonlight hikes, fitness events, volunteer programs, youth education at Desert Outdoor Center. FRAMEWORK 2040 | Maricopa County Comprehensive Plan 180 121,185 acres Protected land managed by Maricopa County, forming one of the largest regional park systems. Map 22. County Parks and Trails Map Source: Maricopa County Parks & Recreation, 2025; Maricopa County Planning & Development, 2025; BLM, 2024 Chapter 10 • OPEN SPACE 181 Trails Maricopa County manages an extensive trail network spanning more than 651 miles, with 290 miles located within its regional parks. These trails wind through diverse landscapes, including desert terrain, canal paths, and mountain foothills, offering a scenic and interconnected system for outdoor recreation. Designed for multiple uses, the trails accommodate hiking, mountain biking, and horseback riding, with select paved segments supporting wheeled sports. Beyond the trail paths within the 12 regional parks, the Maricopa Trail and the Sun Circle Trail are extensive trails that traverse the County connecting urban spaces to nature. Both of these trails are integral to Maricopa County’s efforts to enhance the recreational opportunities available to residents. The Maricopa Trail and the Sun Circle Trail are shown in Map 22. The Maricopa Trail is a 315-mile loop that encircles the Phoenix metropolitan area, connecting ten of Maricopa County’s regional parks and various municipal parks. This extensive trail system offers a unique opportunity for outdoor enthusiasts to explore the diverse landscapes of the Sonoran Desert, from open desert expanses to urban centers. The trail is designed for multiple uses, including hiking, biking, and horseback riding, making it accessible to a wide range of users. With numerous trailheads and community access points, the Maricopa Trail provides a comprehensive tour of the County’s natural beauty and recreational opportunities. The trail also includes spurs that link to outlying mountain parks and other regional trails like the Arizona Trail. The Sun Circle Trail is a scenic and versatile trail that spans approximately 110 miles (35 miles maintained by Maricopa County), creating a similar loop that connects various parts of the Phoenix metropolitan area. Like the Maricopa Trail, the Sun Circle Trail is designed for multiple uses, including hiking, biking, and horseback riding. However, it often follows canal paths, providing a unique urban trail experience and additional recreation opportunities for wheeled sports. The Sun Circle Trail links several parks and natural areas, offering users a chance to explore diverse landscapes, from desert vistas to lush green spaces. It serves as an important recreational resource, promoting outdoor activities, and connecting communities in unincorporated Maricopa County. FRAMEWORK 2040 | Maricopa County Comprehensive Plan 182 Strategies Overall, Maricopa County seeks to be a regional leader in recreation, conservation, and community engagement, ensuring access to natural spaces, promoting health and wellness, and preserving the Sonoran Desert’s natural and cultural heritage while adapting to future growth and environmental challenges. Maricopa County’s future strategy for managing open space and recreation centers on preserving and expanding a connected system of natural areas, parks, and trails while balancing rapid population growth with ecological protection. This is expected to be achieved through reinvesting in existing parks to maintain quality visitor experiences and protecting wildlife corridors and river greenways to ensure biodiversity and connectivity. Framing open space not only as a recreational amenity but as critical infrastructure for health, water conservation, and economic vitality, ensuring that future growth supports a high quality of life while protecting the County’s unique desert heritage. Park Master Planning: Maricopa County anticipates updating all Park Master Plans within two to three years. These updates will address emerging recreation trends, visitor capacity challenges, and urban encroachment, ensuring parks remain relevant and resilient. Development Guidelines: Future development will incorporate low-impact design and green infrastructure while maintaining buffer zones to protect sensitive landscapes. Continual review of zoning policies will help preserve riparian areas and hillside slopes. Edge Treatments: The transition from urban development to open space along the edges of County’s regional parks is a critical issue for the park system. Effective edge treatment works to minimize the effects of this transition and shapes the parks’ quality, accessibility, security, and endurability. Hard edges, such as walls and fences, diminish scenic value and isolate parks from surrounding areas. In contrast, soft edges, like natural landscaping and larger building setbacks, protect scenery and integrate parks with nearby communities. Maricopa County supports working with municipalities to apply soft edge treatments on a case-by-case basis and endorses guidelines for unincorporated areas. Hazards and Conservation: To reduce drought and wildfire risks, the County prioritizes habitat restoration, invasive species management, and adaptation measures. This conservation leadership will be strengthened through regional collaboration with federal, state, and municipal partners. Land Acquisition: The County plans to acquire and manage new parklands and corridors ahead of growth. Priority areas include the Verde River and New River Mesa in the East Valley and Buckeye Hills and Saddle Mountain in the West Valley. Four new regional parks are planned by 2050, along with river corridor restoration for recreation and wildlife movement. Strategic Partnerships: Collaboration with federal and state agencies, cities, and nonprofits will be essential for land acquisition, stewardship, and program development. These partnerships will help share resources and responsibilities. Diversified Funding Portfolio: Funding will come from a mix of sources, including general obligation bonds, development impact fees, grants, dedicated taxes, concessionaire investments, and volunteer programs. This diversified approach ensures financial sustainability for operations and future growth. Recreation and Visitor Experience: Access points will be managed through a variety of means including primary park entrances with controlled entry stations, regional trailheads, and secondary/remote trailheads. These measures will improve connectivity between parks, communities, and wildlife corridors. Visitor satisfaction will be monitored through surveys, economic impact studies, and capacity management strategies supported by technology. Chapter 10 • OPEN SPACE 183 OPPORTUNITY These goals advance Opportunity by providing residents with the ability for health, leisure, and social interactions. STEWARDSHIP These goals strongly reflect Stewardship by preserving and protecting the unique Sonoran Desert environment and its ecological integrity. PROSPERITY These goals contribute to Prosperity by supporting local economies and regional attractiveness. Goals & Policies Open Space Policies: 1.1 Maricopa County supports implementing the County Parks and Recreation Department’s currently adopted Parks, Open Space & Trail System Plan, and any successor plan. 1.2 Maricopa County supports soft edge treatments and buffers along the perimeter of its regional parks, regional trail system, the El Rio corridor, and open space in unincorporated areas of the County. Open Space Goal 1: Protect and expand the regional park system proportionately with population growth. Goal Statement: Ensuring that the regional park system grows and integrates in proportion to meet the needs and demands for recreational opportunities in the natural landscapes and spaces of an increasing population in both the incorporated and unincorporated portions of Maricopa County. FRAMEWORK 2040 | Maricopa County Comprehensive Plan 184 Open Space Goal 2: Support access to both local and regional recreational opportunities and open space. Goal Statement: Supporting appropriate public access to recreational lands and open spaces in the region outside of the County’s jurisdiction is important for providing opportunities for exercise, relaxation, enjoyment, and social interaction, while also supporting environmental conservation and local economies. Open Space Policies: 2.1 Maricopa County supports supports new residential developments using the local park ratios identified in this plan as a guide for the provision of local recreational amenities. 2.2 Maricopa County supports user-based funding options for its regional park system and regional trail system to help maintain high-quality amenities and access. 1.3 Maricopa County will coordinate with planning initiatives that seek to revitalize the Salt and Gila River corridors as vital ecological, cultural, and economic assets. 1.4 Maricopa County supports the mission and ongoing efforts of the Lower Gila River Collaborative, a voluntary partnership focused on restoring the Lower Gila River ecosystem while promoting stewardship, recreation, and compatible development. Chapter 10 • OPEN SPACE 185 Open Space Goal 3: Maintain the Maricopa Trail and the Maricopa County Regional Trail System. Goal Statement: Continue to protect and enhance the Maricopa County Trail System in addition to working with regional municipalities to connect the trail system to their parks, preserves, and open space systems.. Open Space Policies: 3.1 Maricopa County supports dedication and improvement of trail right-of-way within new development, including the Maricopa Trail and Maricopa County Regional Trail System. FRAMEWORK 2040 | Maricopa County Comprehensive Plan 186 Open Space Goal 4: Provide regional leadership to promote the preservation of the desert landscape through protected recreational lands and open space. Goal Statement: Leading efforts to preserve and conserve the natural landscape and wildlife habitats and corridors through protected recreational lands and open spaces is a primary objective for the flourishing of the unique environment of the Sonoran Desert for future generations. Open Space Policies: 4.1 Maricopa County supports the protection of scenic corridors and views as outlined in adopted scenic corridor plans and in the Maricopa County Zoning Ordinance. 4.2 Maricopa County supports partnering with municipalities to address edge treatments along the perimeter of regional parks and the regional trail system. 4.3 Maricopa County supports partnering with adjacent federal and state agencies to expand recreation opportunities and protect and preserve existing open space from development pressures where feasible. 4.4 Maricopa County supports partnering with adjacent federal, state, and local agencies to promote responsible recreational activities and opportunities that aim to protect and preserve existing parks, recreation areas, public lands, and open spaces. Chapter 10 • OPEN SPACE 187 11 Water Resources In This Chapter Introduction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 190 Planning Considerations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 191 Strategies. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 194 Goals & Policies. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 198 Introduction Managing water resources is one of Maricopa County’s most pressing challenges as growth continues and the unincorporated areas depend on a mix of surface, ground, and reclaimed water to fulfill demand. As long as people have lived in this region, there has been an understanding that with the dry climate, careful planning and responsible use of water are essential. That same mindset continues today in the County, allowing millions to call the desert home. As Maricopa County grows, so does the challenge of providing enough water for everyone. Weather patterns can shift from year to year, making water supplies unpredictable. To keep up with demand and ensure long-term efficiency and supply, we need to find new ways to use water more efficiently and make the most of what we have. Recognizing this, state law requires Maricopa County to include a Water Resources section in its Comprehensive Plan. This section looks at how much water is available, how much we’ll likely need as the population grows, and how we can meet that demand. The goal is to offer practical policies and recommendations that support smart, balanced water use for the future. The water providers within Maricopa County rely on three main sources: Surface Water: Includes rivers, lakes, and water delivered through the Central Arizona Project (CAP) Canal. Groundwater: Water stored underground in aquifers. Effluent/Reclaimed Water: Treated wastewater that can be reused for certain purposes. The next section provides a closer look at each of these sources. 3 main sources water providers within Maricopa County rely on (Surface Water, Groundwater, and Effluent/Reclaimed Water) The Water Resources element focuses on strategies to help ensure that an adequate water supply is available to meet future growth. Since water supply and allocation are regulated at the state level, strategies in this element target water conservation and water quality protection efforts that Maricopa County can implement at a local level. FRAMEWORK 2040 | Maricopa County Comprehensive Plan 190 Planning Considerations Surface Water and the CAP Canal Surface water is from sources such as rivers, lakes, and streams. This is Arizona’s main renewable water source. However, as surface water replenishment depends on annual rainfall and snowmelt, its availability can vary widely from year to year. To help manage this variability, reservoirs and dams along the Salt, Verde, Gila, and Agua Fria Rivers collect runoff from northern and eastern Arizona. This stored water helps stabilize supplies during both wet and dry periods. A major source of surface water for Maricopa County is the CAP Canal. Managed by the Central Arizona Water Conservation District, the CAP Canal stretches nearly 340 miles from Lake Havasu to the San Xavier Indian Reservation near Tucson. It delivers about 1.5 million acre-feet of Colorado River water each year to Maricopa, Pinal, and Pima Counties, making it a critical lifeline for all who live in its service area. The Colorado River’s water is divided among seven western states under the 1922 Colorado River Compact. Arizona, California, and Nevada make up the Lower Basin, while Wyoming, Colorado, Utah, and New Mexico form the Upper Basin. Each division receives 7.5 million acre-feet annually, with Arizona allocated 2.8 million acre-feet. Some of this water is used directly, while the rest is stored in underground aquifers to help buffer against future shortages. The Arizona Water Banking Authority oversees this storage process. As of 2025, Arizona is grappling with a Tier 1 shortage in the Colorado River Basin, resulting in a 512,000 acre- foot reduction, impacting 30% of the Central Arizona Project’s supply and nearly 8% of the state’s total water use. With the threat of deeper Tier 2 or 3 cuts looming, municipalities are looking to groundwater reserves, conservation efforts, and collaborative drought planning. Arizona has proposed a “supply-driven” model that ties water allocations to actual river flows, aiming for fairer distribution amid recent water level declines. However, negotiations among the seven basin states remain tense and unresolved, with Upper Basin states wary of shifting burdens. The cuts affect agriculture, tribal lands, and recreation, prompting environmental advocates to push for long-term water strategies. Meanwhile, the century- old Colorado River Compact faces mounting pressure as 30 tribes assert their water rights, adding complexity to an already strained system. Chapter 11 • WATER RESOURCES 191 Groundwater is water that has slowly seeped into underground aquifers over many years from rain and snowmelt. As it takes so long to naturally refill these aquifers, groundwater is considered a limited and mostly non-renewable resource. The Arizona Department of Water Resources (ADWR) oversees the regulation and management of groundwater sources to ensure short-term use and protect long- term availability. In 2024, ADWR published an update of its Groundwater Model and 100-Year Assured Water Supply Projection that estimated the volume of groundwater in storage above 1,000 feet at the end of the historical simulation (simulated over 122 years, from 1900-2022) to be 126,750,000 AF. The cumulative storage change (decline) for this same 122-year historical period is 21,470,000 AF. Also following the 2024 update to incorporate the latest data, the 100-year Assured Water Supply projection reported that the unmet demand at the end of the 100-year projection period is estimated to be 3,604,500 AF, which is a reduction from the previous projection estimate of 4,862,000 AF. The majority of the unmet demand is within the so-called “unprotected” sectors, which include agriculture, industrial, and other uses. Since the supply of surface water sources are annually variable or restricted through the Colorado Compact, this projected unmet 100- year demand will likely be served through a combination of converting land from high-consumption water uses to lower-demand water uses and increased water reuse to limit the rate of increase in pumping groundwater in the Phoenix AMA. In unincorporated Maricopa County, water management faces unique challenges due to diverse land ownership and varying levels of infrastructure. Unincorporated areas often rely heavily on groundwater, which is regulated under the state’s Active Management Areas, which were established under the 1980 Arizona Groundwater Management Act to prevent over-extraction and ensure safe yield. Over-extraction, also referred to as overdraft, occurs when more water is pumped from the aquifer than is replenished, and can lead to land subsidence, causing the ground to sink and potentially damage infrastructure. Maricopa County has 48.8% of its land area in the Phoenix AMA, 4.1% in the Pinal AMA, 5.3% in the Harquahala Irrigation Non- expansion Area (INA), and 41.9% outside of an AMA or INA. AMAs implement strict groundwater management plans, aiming to balance groundwater withdrawal with natural and artificial recharge. Groundwater Graywater is wastewater from everyday activities like showering, laundry, and handwashing. Once treated, it can be reused for things like supporting agricultural and landscaping irrigation, supporting industrial cooling and processes, and other non-drinking purposes. The region has 92 wastewater treatment facilities producing around 324,000 acre-feet of treated graywater annually. As Maricopa County continues to grow, graywater has and will continue to be a vital source of water for non-potable uses as a means to preserve the regional groundwater and surface water sources for uses that require potable water. Effluent / Graywater The primary source of water in the Phoenix AMA portion of Maricopa County is groundwater at 748,000 acre-feet annually Agriculture remains Arizona’s largest water consumer, but reductions in CAP deliveries and new conservation mandates are accelerating changes in cropping patterns and irrigation practices. Farmers are adopting precision irrigation, soil moisture sensors, and crop switching to maintain productivity under constrained supplies. However, continued farmland conversion to urban development, especially in Maricopa County, raises concerns about regional and national food security, given Arizona’s role as a major winter vegetable producer. Balancing water conservation with the need to sustain agricultural output will remain a critical challenge moving forward. Water Scarcity’s Effect on Agriculture FRAMEWORK 2040 | Maricopa County Comprehensive Plan 192 The primary source of water in the Phoenix AMA portion of Maricopa County is groundwater at 748,000 acre-feet (AF) annually. Surface water is the second largest source for water in the Phoenix AMA at 562,000 AF annually. The CAP Canal, which transports Colorado River water, is the third largest source in the County at 419,000 AF annually. Effluent or reclaimed water is the smallest source of water in the Phoenix AMA at 274,000 AF annually. Figure 19 illustrates the sources of water in the Phoenix AMA. Supply of Water Sources Figure 19. Source of Water in Phoenix AMA (in acre-feet), 2019 Data Source: Phoenix Active Management Area – 5th Management Plan 2020-2025 Demand for Water Sources As urban development expands into farmland, the demand for water is moving away from agriculture production towards residential and industrial uses. Until 1999, more water was used in the Phoenix AMA for agriculture than for cities. Since that time, water demand has gradually shifted to where in 2019, agriculture accounted for only 29% of the Phoenix AMA overall water use, while municipal use accounted for 50% and industrial use accounted for an additional 10%. The Native American Tribal communities account for the remaining 21% of water demand in the Phoenix AMA. Figure 20 displays the percentage splits of how water is used in the Phoenix AMA. Figure 20. Water Demand in Phoenix AMA (in acre-feet), 2019 Data Source: Phoenix Active Management Area – 5th Management Plan 2020-2025 Chapter 11 • WATER RESOURCES 193 Strategies Ensuring access to safe and clean water remains a foundational priority for Maricopa County. In alignment with state and County health regulations, the County plays a critical oversight role by reviewing infrastructure plans, conducting inspections, and issuing permits for water services. Two key programs that manage oversight are the Drinking Water Program and the Water and Waste Water Treatment Program. The Drinking Water Program regulates public water systems to ensure compliance with federal drinking water standards. It also provides technical assistance, educational outreach, and regulatory guidance to system administrators, helping them maintain safe and reliable water delivery. The Water and Wastewater Treatment Program oversees the regulation of water and wastewater treatment facilities, reclaimed water operations, and reuse water systems. While Maricopa County does not own or operate these facilities, its regulatory role is essential in safeguarding public health and environmental quality. Together, these programs reflect Maricopa County’s proactive approach to water safety, emphasizing collaboration, compliance, and community well-being. Water Quality Adequate Water Supply In areas designated as AMAs, Arizona law requires land developers to prove an Assured Water Supply (AWS) through securing a Certificate of Assured Water Supply (CAWS) before subdividing land. This certificate ensures that there is a long-term, reliable water source to support the proposed development. For water providers, a Designation of Assured Water Supply (DAWS) is issued to prove an AWS for all of a provider’s customers. Outside of AMAs, water use was less regulated prior to 2007. At this time the State of Arizona gave municipalities and counties the authority to require a Water Adequacy Determination for new subdivisions. While this determination is not as stringent as the certificate required within AMAs, it still plays a critical role in responsible growth. To receive a Water Adequacy Determination, developers must demonstrate: That water is physically available, legally accessible, and consistently reliable. That the subdivision has the financial capacity to deliver water to residents. That the water quality meets all required health and safety standards. Maricopa County views Water Adequacy Determinations as a practical and necessary tool for promoting sustainable development outside AMAs. They help ensure that new communities are built with a clear understanding of their water resources and responsibilities. FRAMEWORK 2040 | Maricopa County Comprehensive Plan 194 Starting in 2023, the state government issued a moratorium on issuing any new AWS, pausing the approval of new subdivision plats that solely relied on groundwater. This decision was made due to modeling showing future shortfalls for groundwater, forcing developers to use other water sources to proceed with development. With approvals for new groundwater supplies suspended and surface water sources like CAP already stretched, housing construction halted in areas of Maricopa County that had not already been issued an AWS. In October 2025, EPCOR was officially awarded the first Alternative Designation of Assured Water Supply (ADAWS) by ADWR. Following a new 2023 rule, the ADAWS offers flexibility by allowing water providers to secure an AWS through evaluating demand in its entire service area, which is now subject to AWS rules, and proving a 100-year water supply with a comingling of a provider’s water supplies. This means that all groundwater pumped and delivered within that service area must be made consistent with the management goal of that particular Active Management Area. As part of the ADAWS, EPCOR has also become a member in the Central Arizona Groundwater Replenishment District (CAGRD), which requires EPCOR to replenish all excess groundwater it delivers to customers within its CAGRD-enrolled service areas to ensure groundwater pumping is made consistent with AWS rules. EPCOR’s attainment of an ADAWS secures water reliability for more than 140,000 in its service area and unlocks the potential for 60,000 new homes. Chapter 11 • WATER RESOURCES 195 Given that certain areas within the Phoenix AMA continue to experience water level declines from groundwater pumping, the state also initiated a moratorium on the issuance of permits for proposed subdivisions that are not served by a designated water provider and would rely on local groundwater as a primary water source. In response to these restrictions, transporting additional groundwater to the Phoenix AMA from the Harquahala INA Basin has become a realistic possibility over the near-term period if needed. The Harquahala INA is one of the groundwater basins in rural Arizona set aside specifically to import water to the Phoenix AMA, and to other AMAs, once water gets scarce. It is approximately 766 square miles and located in the westernmost portions of Maricopa County and in La Paz County. Public and private entities from outside the Harquahala INA have purchased groundwater rights from landowners within the INA for at least a decade. It is now increasingly common that municipalities within Maricopa County are purchasing groundwater rights or even land for those same rights to support their own plans for growth and development. Challenges with this strategy include the cost or buying the land (and groundwater rights), the treatment of the groundwater, and the transport of the groundwater to the entities holding rights to it. Harquahala INA Water Conservation Water conservation is fundamental to maintaining growth and quality of life in Maricopa County. As a desert region facing long-term water supply challenges, the County must lead efforts that promote efficient water use and resource stewardship. This includes fostering a culture of conservation through public education and outreach, ensuring residents and businesses understand the benefits and necessity of reducing water demand. Collaboration among municipalities and regional partners is equally important. Coordinated planning and shared best practices can help implement strategies such as expanding reclaimed water use, encouraging low-water landscaping, and improving efficiency in both urban and agricultural settings. By integrating conservation principles into land use decisions and infrastructure planning, Maricopa County can support responsible growth while protecting its most limited resource for future generations. Recently enacted state legislation has, perhaps, introduced a more efficient agricultural to urban land conversion program in the spirit of groundwater conservation while supporting increasing housing supply to address housing affordability. Senate Bill 1611, signed in 2025, created the “Ag-to-Urban” program, a voluntary pathway for farmers in Active Management Areas (AMAs) to retire irrigated farmland and transfer groundwater rights to urban developments. At the core of the law is a groundwater savings credit system, which allows agricultural landowners to permanently surrender their irrigation grandfathered rights and provide these rights to developers in the form of calculated credits. These credits can be applied, by a developer, toward the assured water supply requirements for new subdivisions. This legislation establishes a clear, regulated process for converting agricultural water rights to urban use while maintaining conservation standards and provides a framework to balance housing demand with groundwater protection, shaping growth in water-limited regions like Maricopa County. FRAMEWORK 2040 | Maricopa County Comprehensive Plan 196 Water conservation is a central focus of these efforts whether through promoting efficient water use in new developments, supporting public education campaigns, or investing in technologies that reduce water. Maricopa County plays a leading role in tackling regional water challenges by working closely with cities, towns, tribal nations, and state agencies across Arizona. Recognizing that water is a shared and limited resource, the County actively collaborates on long-term planning, infrastructure development, and conservation strategies that benefit the entire region. Through partnerships with the Arizona Department of Water Resources, the Central Arizona Project, and other regional stakeholders, Maricopa County helps coordinate efforts to protect groundwater, manage drought conditions, and expand the use of reclaimed water. Water conservation is a central focus of these efforts whether through promoting efficient water use in new developments, supporting public education campaigns, or investing in technologies that reduce waste. Leadership on Water Resources Chapter 11 • WATER RESOURCES 197 Water Resource Policies: 1.1 Maricopa County supports residential development that is subject to the requirements of the Arizona Department of Water Resources Assured and Adequate Water Supply programs. 1.2 Maricopa County supports water adequacy determinations for new subdivisions outside Active Management Areas. 1.3 Maricopa County supports water conservation techniques in the planning and design of new development. 1.4 Maricopa County supports low water use and drought-tolerant landscaping. Water Resources Goal 1: Contribute to the endurance of the region’s water supply and its delivery. Goal Statement: Supporting the local water providers’ efforts to secure the reliability and endurance of the region’s water supply ensures stability in water delivery necessary for planning future development and the needs of the community. OPPORTUNITY These goals advance Opportunity by ensuring reliable and high-quality water access for residents and businesses. STEWARDSHIP These goals reinforce Stewardship by emphasizing responsible water management in a desert environment. PROSPERITY These goals ensure economic stability, as water security is foundational to Prosperity. OPPORTUNITY These goals advance Opportunity by ensuring reliable and high-quality water access for residents and businesses. STEWARDSHIP These goals strongly reflect Stewardship by emphasizing responsible water management in a desert environment. PROSPERITY Water security is foundational to Prosperity, and these goals ensure economic stability. Goals & Policies FRAMEWORK 2040 | Maricopa County Comprehensive Plan 198 Water Resource Policies: 2.1 Maricopa County supports compliance with its Drinking Water Program and its Water and Wastewater Treatment Programs. 2.2 Maricopa County supports renewable water use for landscape, park and common area irrigation; artificial lakes; and decorative water features. Water Resources Goal 2: Promote and protect regional water quality. Goal Statement: Focusing on initiatives and best practices to maintain and improve water quality for all users. Water Resource Policies: 3.1 Maricopa County supports informing the public about the importance and benefits of water conservation. 3.2 Maricopa County supports the collaboration of municipalities to implement best practices for water planning and conservation. Water Resources Goal 3: Support and provide leadership for water conservation in the region. Goal Statement: Leading initiatives to promote water conservation practices across the region is vital for supporting the efficient and prudent management of water resources in the desert Southwest. Chapter 11 • WATER RESOURCES 199 12 Energy In This Chapter Introduction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .202 Planning Considerations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .203 Strategies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .204 Goals & Policies. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .208 Introduction Energy use is integral to nearly every aspect of society, powering homes, businesses, and critical infrastructure. As environmental concerns grow and the long-term costs and availability of natural resources become more pressing, energy efficiency has emerged as a critical priority. Promoting the use of efficient and renewable energy sources is not only sound environmental policy but also a wise economic strategy. Maricopa County is committed to fostering energy practices that ensure a reliable energy future for the region to continue its growth and quality of life. The majority of the power generated in the County comes from natural gas and nuclear sources. The emphasis on advancing alternative energy technologies over the past 50 years (alongside continued traditional energy development) has led to the development of solar energy production plants and projects in Maricopa County that seek to harness the abundant solar resources. These solar power projects are concentrated in the western desert portions of the County that are flatter and have better transportation access. Under the previous County Comprehensive Plan, the energy element had a focus on alternative energy development (particularly solar power) for resource management purposes. However, the rapid expansion of artificial intelligence (AI) and data centers has triggered a significant surge in electricity demand across the United States. As AI technologies become more sophisticated and widely adopted, they require immense computational power, usually delivered through energy- intensive data centers. According to the International Energy Agency, data centers already consume about 1.5% of global electricity, and this figure is expected to more than double by 2030, surpassing the current electricity use of entire nations like Japan. Domestically, the U.S. Department of Energy projects that electricity demand from data centers could double or triple by 2028. This growth is driven by the rise of generative AI, cloud computing, and machine learning applications, all of which rely on high-density server farms. Utilities in Arizona and across the western states are now grappling with how to meet this escalating demand while maintaining grid reliability and future capacity. As a result, energy planning and infrastructure investment are becoming increasingly urgent priorities for high-growth regions. The County sees energy development supported through technological innovation, as a way to grow energy capacity to meet demand without further strains on regional resources. These efforts position Maricopa County as a leader in cost-effective energy production, balancing economic opportunities and prosperity with environmental stewardship. The Energy element includes policies to promote energy production to meet rising demand, renewable and clean emission energy, energy conservation and overall more efficient energy use. FRAMEWORK 2040 | Maricopa County Comprehensive Plan 202 Planning Considerations Energy Generation Profile in the County Maricopa County’s energy system is supported by a diverse mix of generation facilities that power one of the fastest-growing regions in the nation. Unincorporated areas host major plants fueled by nuclear, natural gas, hydroelectric, and solar sources. The distribution of these 22 energy generation facilities is shown in Map 23. At the center is the Palo Verde Nuclear Generating Station in Tonopah, the largest nuclear plant in the United States, producing about 31,000 gigawatt-hours annually and serving over one million homes across the Southwest. Its innovative use of treated wastewater for cooling helps conserve water in Arizona’s arid climate. Natural gas plants in the County provide essential baseload and peak capacity, while solar facilities continue to expand, reflecting the region’s commitment to renewable energy and diversification. Maricopa County also actively continues to develop its renewable energy generation capabilities, particularly focusing on solar energy sources. In reviewing the County’s Comprehensive Plan Amendment data, the County approved 69 Comprehensive Plan Amendments (CPAs) that involved a solar energy project between 2008 and 2023. The total land area for all of these approved CPAs is 92 square miles, concentrated around both the Palo Verde Nuclear Generating Station and the Harquahala Generating Facility. While some of these approved CPAs are over a decade old, not all of the solar energy generating facilities have made it past the finish line to construction. These initiatives align with Maricopa County’s strategy to support the development of renewable energy as a means of growing the overall energy generation portfolio. Energy Development on Federal Lands in the County The Bureau of Land Management released the Record of Decision (ROD) for its updated Western Solar Plan in 2024. This plan update guides BLM’s management of solar energy proposals and projects on public lands. It makes over 31 million acres of public lands across 11 western states available for application for potential solar energy development, driving development closer to transmission lines/corridors or on to previously disturbed lands. This plan also excludes sensitive areas from solar development like specially protected lands, important cultural resources, and critical wildlife habitat. Siting projects away from areas where they may conflict with other resources and uses is expected to help ensure responsible development, speed the permitting process, and provide greater predictability to the solar energy industry on BLM land. This is important for Maricopa County to consider since over 35% of its total area is under BLM management. Land Patterns Effect on Energy Consumption While generation capacity remains strong, energy demand is growing rapidly as population and land use patterns evolve. Single-family homes in master-planned communities drive higher electricity use for cooling and electric vehicles, while multi-family housing near transit offers efficiency, but it also adds to overall consumption. Additionally, commercial and mixed-use developments increase peak daytime loads, and industrial corridors are emerging as the most significant growth area with data centers and advanced manufacturing facilities now representing the fastest-growing load segment, with some facilities consuming 50–100 megawatts each. All these factors have created unprecedented challenges for infrastructure planning and underscore the need for a coordinated approach that links land development with energy planning. Chapter 12 • ENERGY 203 Strategies Broad-Based Energy Development Strategy Maricopa County is facing a dramatic rise in electricity demand, driven by rapid population growth, regular heatwaves, and the proliferation of energy-intensive technologies such as data centers, artificial intelligence, and electric vehicles. Experts have recently underscored the urgency of a comprehensive strategy to ensure that grid reliability and long-term capacity increase do not hinder local and regional growth plans. Extended summer heat waves beyond typical durations have amplified the need for dependable cooling systems, placing additional strain on the power grid. To meet these challenges, Maricopa County encourages the adoption of an all-of-the-above energy development approach that embraces a diverse mix of traditional fossil fuel sources and clean emission sources, including solar, wind, nuclear, natural gas, and battery storage. This strategy should be supported by investments in transmission infrastructure by developers responsible for such developments, distributed generation, and energy efficiency across all sectors— residential, commercial, and industrial. Through supporting the expansion of the energy produced locally and diversifying the generation types, the County can allow for an energy future that has the ability to manage peak loads and leverage technological innovation for greater efficiency in service of building a strong energy future that aligns with both the demands of a rapidly evolving technological landscape. Energy Efficient Development The most cost-effective way to achieve energy efficiency is at the initial planning and building design stages which is why Maricopa County supports innovative techniques that help conserve energy. Although Maricopa County reviews plans to determine if energy conservation is included in project design, it also continuously assesses its design and construction requirements to ensure they do not impede energy conservation. Going forward, Maricopa County could also consider incentives to help increase energy efficient design and construction. Energy efficiency is also a factor in general land use planning. As energy use in the region continues to increase with more urban development, the County looks to coordinate land use patterns within its jurisdiction that can conserve energy consumption through shortening travel distances. Energy Costs Maricopa County has no control over future rises in energy prices, but it can control its own expenses by practicing energy conservation in all aspects of its operations. It can also help reduce residential and business energy costs by supporting energy efficient development techniques and technologies. Maricopa County can also require compensatory power generation for industrial uses that use large amounts of energy and that the construction of infrastructure, long-term maintenance of that infrastructure and long-term use and demand generated by a development is paid for by the development itself. FRAMEWORK 2040 | Maricopa County Comprehensive Plan 204 Maricopa County encourages the adoption of an all-of- the-above energy development approach that embraces a diverse mix of traditional fossil fuel sources and clean emission sources, including solar, wind, nuclear, natural gas, and battery storage. Source: Maricopa County Office of Enterprise Technology, 2024 Map 23. Energy Generation Facilities Chapter 12 • ENERGY 205 Solar Energy Generating Facilities With abundant sunshine and vast open and flat land, Maricopa County is seen as a natural leader in solar energy development. Solar power offers Maricopa County a promising path toward increasing the amount clean emission energy produced locally, but it also presents challenges that require thoughtful planning. On the positive side, the region’s abundant sunshine makes solar energy highly efficient and cost-effective, reducing greenhouse gas emissions and lowering long-term energy costs. Solar installations, at both the utility-scale and residential scales, can diversify the energy portfolio and improve grid resilience. However, solar power also has limitations. It is intermittent, producing energy only when the sun shines, which creates a need for storage solutions or backup systems. Large solar farms can require a significant land mass that potentially impacts wildlife habitats and the natural ecology or competes with other land needs. Additionally, the upfront costs of solar infrastructure and the need for grid upgrades can be barriers to widespread adoption. Balancing these benefits and drawbacks is essential as solar power projects continue to develop in Maricopa County. Planning for the eventual decommissioning of solar facilities is also becoming increasingly important as installations age. Decommissioning involves dismantling panels, responsibly managing materials, and restoring land for future use. Without proper planning, retired solar sites could lead to waste management challenges and underutilized land. FRAMEWORK 2040 | Maricopa County Comprehensive Plan 206 BESS Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS) are emerging as a critical component of Maricopa County’s evolving energy landscape. By storing excess energy during low-demand periods and discharging it during peak hours, BESS reduces strain on generation resources and improves grid reliability. In a region where summer peaks are intensified by cooling needs and data center operations, large-scale battery storage can help stabilize the grid and support renewable energy integration. By shaping where and how these facilities are introduced and reused, the County can support economic growth, maintain reliable service, and ensure that energy infrastructure evolves in a way that strengthens long-term flexibility. Artificial Intelligence The rapid use of artificial intelligence is transforming energy demand across Maricopa County. AI systems, particularly large-scale machine learning and language models, require substantial computational resources, resulting in continuous, high-intensity electricity use. As these applications expand across multiple sectors, this plan provides an opportunity to guide development in ways that strengthen the County’s energy future. By anticipating challenges such as grid reliability and resource management, and by establishing land use policies that support necessary infrastructure, Maricopa County can manage AI-driven growth while minimizing environmental impacts and ensuring that progress enhances community well-being. Data Centers Data centers are important to the digital economy and a major driver of Maricopa County’s projected energy growth, often locating in areas with reliable electricity and cooling resources. These requirements, along with the County’s available land, and lower risk of natural hazards compared to other regions, make Maricopa County an attractive destination for data center development. However, because of their high energy consumption, heat output, and need to operate continuously, it is estimated that data centers consume up to 50 times more electricity per square foot than traditional office buildings. Due to that, Arizona Public Service projects that by 2031, data centers will account for 55% of its total power needs, while the Salt River Project anticipates roughly half of its demand through 2029 will be tied to these facilities. The amount of energy requested in data center development combined with the forecasted energy demand estimates for these facilities also raises the issue of increased energy rates spread across the customers of a given utility’s service area. The massive power demand of data centers has often forced utilities to invest in the expansion of power infrastructure because of these developments. From a planning perspective, the development and proliferation of data centers raises critical considerations for land use, infrastructure capacity, water demand, and environmental impacts that should all be a part of the approval process for digital infrastructure sites. The goals and policies within this plan seek to balance the economic benefits of such high-energy use growth and expansion with the protection of utility customers by ensuring that the grid remains resilient and accessible to all residents of Maricopa County. Chapter 12 • ENERGY 207 OPPORTUNITY These goals advance Opportunity by ensuring reliable and efficient energy access for residents and businesses. STEWARDSHIP These goals strongly reflect Stewardship by aligning growth with ecological preservation and practices. PROSPERITY These goals promote Prosperity by positioning Maricopa County for future energy development. Goals & Policies Energy Policies: 1.1 Maricopa County supports an all-of-the-above energy strategy that incorporates both traditional and alternative sources of energy to ensure that the energy supply is abundant and meets demand. 1.2 Maricopa County supports expanding the energy generation supply and capacity to meet the increased needs from future growth. Energy Goal 1: Support enhancing the stability and the development of the energy grid in the region. Goal Statement: Improving the stability and reliability of the energy grid through resilient and dependable energy infrastructure to support current and future regional energy needs. FRAMEWORK 2040 | Maricopa County Comprehensive Plan 208 Energy Policies: 2.1 Maricopa County supports energy efficient design and construction of new development. 2.2 Maricopa County supports energy conservation through balanced and efficient development patterns where residential, commercial and employment land uses with complementary compatibility are proximate. 2.3 Maricopa County supports energy conservation through having new urban development locate in cities and towns, and in the Urban Growth Area of the County identified in this Plan. Energy Policies: 3.1 Maricopa County supports energy conservation and emissions reduction through allowing new development to provide alternative transportation options or connect to existing alternative transportation infrastructure. 3.2 Maricopa County supports the utilization of traditional, alternative, and clean emission energy research and development. Energy Goal 2: Increase energy efficiency through development patterns. Goal Statement: Promoting development patterns that enhance energy efficiency is essential to reducing the rate of demand for new energy generation sources. Energy Goal 3: Support energy development in the region. Goal Statement: Encouraging the development of energy resources through investment in local energy projects is requisite to support growth, development, and innovation within the region. Chapter 12 • ENERGY 209 3.3 Maricopa County supports the use of appropriate setbacks and buffers to residential uses from energy generation and/or energy storage facilities to prevent or lessen the impact from potential fires and other potential hazards. 3.4 Maricopa County supports developing energy infrastructure using low-impact construction techniques and, where feasible, siting such energy infrastructure on previously disturbed locations for the benefit of local wildlife (including flora and fauna). 3.5 Maricopa County supports appropriate buffers and setbacks to ecological and riparian habitats found along borders of significant washes and riverbanks from energy generation and/or storage facilities. 3.6 Maricopa County supports responsible and timely decommissioning of solar energy generation and battery energy storage system facilities to ensure public safety, environmental protection, and restoration of land to a beneficial condition. Energy Policies: 4.1 Maricopa County supports incentive programs that promote energy efficiency where feasible and effective. 4.2 Maricopa County supports efforts to assist businesses and individuals with renewable energy options and energy conservation. Energy Goal 4: Coordinate energy initiatives/programs in the region. Goal Statement: Aligning energy initiatives/programs with jurisdictions both within and outside of Maricopa County ensures coordinated planning partnerships and viable development in the long-term. FRAMEWORK 2040 | Maricopa County Comprehensive Plan 210 Chapter 12 • ENERGY 211 13 Cost of Development In This Chapter Introduction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 214 Planning Considerations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 215 Strategies. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 217 Goals & Policies. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .220 ROADS PARKS LAW ENFORCEMENT EMERGENCY SERVICES Introduction Maricopa County continues to experience some of the fastest population growth in the nation, bringing both opportunities and challenges. While growth supports economic vitality and community development, it also creates significant demand for new infrastructure and public services—such as roads, parks, law enforcement, and emergency facilities. Meeting these needs requires careful planning and responsible fiscal management to ensure that growth pays its fair share without placing undue burdens on existing residents. Arizona law mandates that the County includes a Cost of Development element in the Comprehensive Plan to identify strategies for funding infrastructure and services necessitated by new development. This chapter outlines Maricopa County’s approach to balancing growth with fiscal prudence, ensuring that development contributes proportionately to the costs it generates. It evaluates funding mechanisms and provides overarching goals and policies that promote efficient land use, mutual cost sharing, and long-term financial stability. By framing cost of development as a critical component of growth management, Maricopa County seeks to maintain a high quality of life, protect taxpayers, and support a robust economy while adapting to future challenges. The Cost of Development element specifies ways to help ensure that new development pays its fair share towards the cost of additional infrastructure and services needed to serve new development. The Cost of Development element also identifies current cost sharing methods, recommends future cost sharing strategies, and includes ways to ensure reasonable application of the recommended strategies. FRAMEWORK 2040 | Maricopa County Comprehensive Plan 214 Planning Considerations Legal Framework Arizona law mandates that new development contribute its fair share toward infrastructure and public services. However, these contributions must satisfy constitutional and statutory standards, including: Rational Nexus and Rough Proportionality: Under Arizona Revised Statutes and U.S. Supreme Court precedents (Nollan, Dolan, and Koontz), any exaction or impact fee must demonstrate an essential nexus between the development and the public purpose served, and be roughly proportional to the impact created by that development. This ensures fees are not arbitrary and remain legally defensible. Due Process Protections: The Fifth and Fourteenth Amendments, along with Article 2 of the Arizona Constitution, require both procedural and substantive due process. Procedural due process demands transparent, consistent adoption processes, while substantive due process requires that cost-sharing measures be reasonable and not unduly oppressive. Takings Clause Compliance: The U.S. Constitution prohibits government from taking private property without just compensation. In the context of cost- sharing, takings claims typically arise when fees lack a rational nexus or fail proportionality tests. Equal Protection: Programs must apply uniformly and avoid unjustified distinctions between similar developments. While absolute uniformity is not required, any differentiation must be relevant and defensible. ARS §12-1131 through §12-1138 (Private Property Rights Protection Act): ARS §12-1131 through §12-1138 requires compensation if land-use regulations reduce property value. Although cost-sharing is not a land-use restriction per se, overly burdensome requirements could trigger claims under this law, necessitating careful review of program impacts. Designing and implementing a cost-sharing program for new development is inherently complex, requiring careful consideration of legal, economic, land use, and administrative factors. A well-structured program must balance the need for infrastructure funding with protections for property rights, economic vitality, and compliance with state and federal law. Poorly designed programs risk harming the local economy, exacerbating housing affordability challenges, or imposing unforeseen legal and administrative burdens on the county. Chapter 13 • COST OF DEVELOPMENT 215 Land Use and Growth Management Inconsistent cost-sharing requirements across jurisdictions can lead to “jurisdiction shopping,” where developers favor areas with lower fees, resulting in fragmented and inefficient land-use patterns. Maricopa County should align its program with regional planning goals to promote orderly growth Economics Cost-sharing programs must avoid discouraging growth or creating imbalances in the local economy: Residential vs. Non-Residential Development: Residential projects often generate higher service costs than tax revenues, but construction activity remains vital to economic health. Conversely, non-residential development diversifies the tax base and reduces reliance on residential property taxes. Programs should encourage balanced growth without incentivizing inefficient patterns. Competitiveness and Affordability: Excessive fees can increase housing costs or deter business investment. Best practices recommend conducting economic impact analyses and periodically adjusting fees to reflect market conditions and infrastructure needs. Administrative and Lifecycle Costs Beyond legal, growth, and economic factors, the long-term success of a cost- sharing program depends on its administrative feasibility and ability to account for ongoing infrastructure needs. Implementation is not a one-time exercise; it requires continuous oversight, transparent processes, and adaptability to changing conditions. Administrative complexity can lead to inefficiencies, increased compliance risks, and higher operational costs if not properly managed. Equally important is recognizing that infrastructure obligations extend beyond initial construction, because facilities and services incur recurring expenses for maintenance, upgrades, and eventual replacement. Incorporating lifecycle cost analysis into program design ensures that funding strategies remain efficient over time, reducing the likelihood of fiscal shortfalls and deferred maintenance that can burden taxpayers. FRAMEWORK 2040 | Maricopa County Comprehensive Plan 216 Strategies Designing and implementing a fair and effective cost-sharing program is a complex task that requires balancing multiple priorities. Such programs must ensure that new development contributes proportionately to the infrastructure and services it demands, while avoiding unintended consequences that could harm the local economy, reduce housing affordability, or impose excessive legal and administrative burdens on the County. A successful cost-sharing framework must be transparent, legally defensible, and economically efficient. It should align with state requirements for a rational nexus between development impacts and associated costs, while maintaining flexibility to adapt to changing growth patterns and market conditions. Additionally, the program must consider long-term fiscal implications, including lifecycle costs for infrastructure maintenance, and integrate strategies that promote efficient land use and mutual distribution of costs. This section presents a range of funding mechanisms that can help Maricopa County manage growth responsibly. It identifies preferred methods for cost recovery, highlights best practices from recent Arizona plans, and establishes guiding principles to ensure that growth pays its fair share without compromising community well-being or economic vitality. Funding Methods User Fees: Maricopa County charges fees to individuals, businesses, and other governments that directly benefit from County services. Examples include court filing fees, kennel fees, park entrance fees, vital records, and probation services. The County’s policy is to recover the actual cost of providing these services while ensuring fees do not unfairly burden those most in need. All user fees are set by the Board of Supervisors unless otherwise directed by state law. Property Taxes: The County may levy taxes on real and personal property through: Primary Property Tax: Used to fund general obligations and special overrides. Secondary Property Tax: Used to fund voter-approved bonds and overrides. While a uniform tax rate is established annually, actual tax obligations vary based on assessed property values. Currently, Maricopa County levies only a primary property tax. Excise and Special Sales Taxes: Excise taxes are locally imposed and limited in scope. At present, Maricopa County administers a voter-approved, temporary jail excise tax of one-fifth of one cent to fund detention facility construction and operations. Chapter 13 • COST OF DEVELOPMENT 217 Intergovernmental Revenues: Maricopa County receives significant revenue from state programs, including: State-Shared Sales Tax: Distributed to counties and municipalities based on population and other factors. Highway User Revenue Fund (HURF): Derived from motor fuel taxes and allocated for transportation infrastructure. Vehicle License Tax (VLT): Assessed annually on vehicles based on depreciated value. Additional revenues may come from federal grants and intergovernmental agreements, though these funds often carry restrictions. Licenses and Permits: Fees for licenses and permits—such as building permits, environmental health permits, and marriage licenses—help offset administrative costs. Rates are set by the Board unless otherwise mandated by state law. Bond Financing: State law authorizes Maricopa County to issue bonds for capital projects: General Obligation Bonds: Backed by the County’s full faith and credit. Revenue Bonds: Repaid through specific revenue streams, such as user fees. Special Assessment Bonds: Issued for improvements benefiting specific properties, repaid by those property owners. Conditions of Approval: Conditions attached to zoning changes that require property owners to finance infrastructure improvements or services necessary for their development. This ensures mutual cost sharing and protects taxpayers. Development Agreements: These legally binding contracts outline terms, conditions, and financial obligations for large-scale or master-planned developments. They may address land dedications, infrastructure phasing, and financing arrangements. Special Tax Districts: Special districts provide services that local governments cannot or choose not to provide. Examples include districts for parks, libraries, flood control, water, sewer, and fire protection. These districts allow those who benefit from a service to pay for it directly, offering local control and accountability. Development Fees: Development fees, also known as impact fees, are special charges levied on new development to cover the capital costs of infrastructure such as roads, parks, and public safety facilities. Fees are calculated based on unit type or square footage. State law limits their use to capital costs and requires a supporting Capital Improvement Plan. They cannot fund ongoing operations or maintenance. The County does not charge impact fees currently. Other Revenue Sources: Additional funds may come from fines, forfeitures, concessions, land sales, and interest earnings. While not major revenue streams, these sources help offset specific service costs. FRAMEWORK 2040 | Maricopa County Comprehensive Plan 218 Preferred Funding Methods To ensure fairness and compliance with state law, Maricopa County prioritizes a balanced approach to funding infrastructure and services required by new development. The County relies on development agreements for large-scale projects to clearly define responsibilities and financial obligations between developers and the County. For targeted infrastructure improvements, community improvement districts are used to provide localized funding solutions that directly benefit the areas served. Additionally, intergovernmental agreements play a critical role in sharing costs across jurisdictions, ensuring regional collaboration for projects that impact multiple communities. Finally, fee-for-service models are implemented to recover the costs of regulatory oversight and permitting, maintaining fiscal responsibility while safeguarding public health and safety. Chapter 13 • COST OF DEVELOPMENT 219 OPPORTUNITY These goals advance Opportunity by promoting growth occurs in a financially sensible and transparent manner. STEWARDSHIP These goals reflect Stewardship by promoting responsible resource allocation. PROSPERITY These goals strongly support Prosperity by protecting the County’s fiscal strength and economic stability. Goals & Policies Cost of Development Policies: 1.1 Maricopa County supports continuously evaluating the preferred funding methods with respect to the legal, socioeconomic, land use and administrative considerations identified in this element, and making changes when deemed necessary. 1.2 Maricopa County supports using the traditional and preferred funding methods identified in this plan to offset costs of new development. Cost of Development Goal 1: Exercise sound financial management and build the County’s fiscal strength. Goal Statement: Making fiscally responsible decisions that strengthen the County’s financial health is needed to ensure that development projects contribute positively to the County’s fiscal stability. FRAMEWORK 2040 | Maricopa County Comprehensive Plan 220 Cost of Development Policies: 2.1 Maricopa County supports the provision of clear, accurate, and accessible financial information related to the costs of development and to overall County operations. Cost of Development Policies: 3.1 Maricopa County supports new development contributing its proportionate share of the costs of infrastructure necessary to support the demand for electric, water, sewer, and other services generated and necessitated by the development. 3.2 Maricopa County supports requiring new development to contribute its proportionate share of long-term maintenance costs associated with the use of all new infrastructure to support the demand for electric, water, sewer, and other services generated and necessitated by the development. 3.3 Maricopa County supports requiring the provision of infrastructure, facilities, and services needed by new development prior to that development, either directly or through fees. Where appropriate, the construction of infrastructure and facilities may be phased to coincide with project timelines. Cost of Development Goal 2: Ensure transparency in financial reporting Goal Statement: Providing clear and accurate financial information about the County to residents and stakeholders is key to maintaining transparency in financial reporting that builds public trust and accountability. Cost of Development Goal 3: Require that new development pays its proper and reasonable share of the costs of new infrastructure, services, and other public improvements. Goal Statement: Ensuring that new developments contribute their proportionate share to the costs of infrastructure, services, and public improvements is important for reducing future liabilities and protecting the long-term fiscal solvency of Maricopa County. Chapter 13 • COST OF DEVELOPMENT 221 14 Comprehensive Plan Adoption, Readoption, and Amendments In This Chapter Comprehensive Plan Adoption & Amendment Guidelines. . . . . . . . . . . . .224 County Area Plan Adoption & Readoption. . . . . . . .225 Amendment Procedures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .226 Amendment Procedures (continued). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .228 Comprehensive Plan Adoption & Amendment Guidelines Prior to adopting the Comprehensive Plan or a Major Comprehensive Plan Amendment, the County is required to adopt a public participation program for Comprehensive Plan adoptions that outlines coordination strategies with County residents. The Board of Supervisors (Board) most recently adopted the Public Participation Program in 2000, prior to adopting the Eye to the Future 2020 Maricopa County Comprehensive Plan. The Board is amending the Public Participation Program (Appendix III) for this current Framework 2040 Comprehensive Plan to reflect modern practices. ARS 11-805 sets procedural requirements associated with the adoption and readoption of the Comprehensive Plan as well as amendments to the Plan. Every 10 years, the County is required to adopt a new Comprehensive Plan or readopt the existing Comprehensive Plan by resolution. The Plan represents the official guide for development within the County and may be amended in whole or in part through successive actions. At least sixty (60) days prior to noticing the Comprehensive Plan or an element or major amendment of the Plan, the Planning & Zoning Commission (Commission), or staff thereof, is required to transmit a draft of the Plan for review and comment to the Board; each municipality within the County; each contiguous county; and federal, state, regional, and local agencies. Additionally, any person or entity that requests in writing to receive a review copy of the proposal will be included in the transmittal of the draft Plan or amendment. Review copies are now provided digitally. The Commission shall hold at least one hearing as the recommending body for the Plan. Legal notice of the time and place of the hearing is required to be published in the newspaper of general circulation in the County seat and in a newspaper of general circulation in the area to be affected, or adjacent to the area to be affected, if other than the County seat. The County considers the Arizona Business Gazette to be the newspaper of record within Maricopa County which is available countywide in any potential affected or adjacent areas other than the County seat. Publication of the legal notice must occur between fifteen (15) and thirty (30) calendar days prior to the hearing date. Following the recommendation by the Commission, the Board must also hold one public hearing on the Plan or amendment. Legal notice must be given at least fifteen (15) days prior and published in a newspaper of general circulation in the County seat. The Board may alter the contents of the Plan or amendment at the public hearing. However, before any change is made, the Board shall re-refer the portion of the proposal to be changed back to the Planning & Zoning Commission for a reissue of its recommendation prior for that portion to be heard for determination again by the Board. The adoption or readoption of the Comprehensive Plan or amendment to the Plan must be approved by at least two- thirds of the Board or four (4) out of five (5) members. The Comprehensive Plan is intended to be a consistent, predictable, and transparent guide for making land use decisions in unincorporated areas. The goals and policies in this Plan support consistent and predictable decisions, but to remain relevant the Plan must be periodically modified to adapt to changes in State law, the environment, the economy, elected leadership and community priorities. Although amendments are sometimes necessary, Maricopa County reaffirms that any change should improve the County’s overall condition and not undermine the Plan’s core principles. FRAMEWORK 2040 | Maricopa County Comprehensive Plan 224 If there is any area within County jurisdiction that is within the High Noise or Accident Potential Zone of a Military Airport or Ancillary Military Facility, notice must be sent to the Attorney General by certified mail with a return receipt requested within three (3) business days of the approval of the Plan’s adoption, readoption, or amendment to the Plan. The Attorney General has twenty-five (25) calendar days following notice by certified mail to issue a determination of compliance or non-compliance with ARS 28-8481, subsection J. If the determination is not given, the Comprehensive Plan is deemed in compliance. If deemed in non-compliance, the effective day of approval is thirty (30) days following receipt of the non-compliance notice. During this period, the Board may take new action altering the plan to be compliant or reaffirm the non-compliant action with the potential for civil action by the Attorney General. The adopted Plan is effective for up to ten (10) years following the date the Plan is adopted or readopted. Readoptions are permitted prior to the tenth anniversary of the Plan’s most recent adoption. Otherwise, a new Comprehensive Plan is required. If a motion to adopt or readopt fails to pass, the motion may be reconsidered, and the motion to reconsider must also be approved by at least two-thirds of the Board. If Plan passage fails, the prior Comprehensive Plan remains in effect until a new Plan is adopted. The Board must annually consider adoption of the proposed Plan or consider a revised Plan. County Area Plan Adoption & Readoption An Area Plan is a plan that accounts for the unique conditions and needs of specific parts of Maricopa County. Arizona Revised Statutes establishes the required contents of a Comprehensive Plan, and the Comprehensive Plan establishes Countywide goals and policies. While Area Plans mimic the content of a Comprehensive Plan by including elements, goals, policies and land use designations within the plan extent, such plans are optional. Area Plans and Area Plan updates are only permitted to be adopted following adoption of the initial Comprehensive Plan or within the effective period of the current Comprehensive Plan. If the effective period of the Comprehensive Plan has lapsed, an Area Plan may not be updated until a new or revised Comprehensive Plan is adopted. Area Plans are neither Comprehensive Plans nor Major Amendments, and therefore do not require complete adherence to the ARS 11-805 procedural requirements summarized in the previous section. Criteria associated with Area Plan adoption or readoption is established within the Area Plan Program in the Land Use Element of the Comprehensive Plan. The adoption or readoption of an Area Plan shall be flexible in notice and public participation techniques in order to provide innovative outreach. However, a public hearing for consideration of adoption or readoption shall be noticed at least fifteen (15) days prior in the newspaper of general circulation (Arizona Business Gazette). Chapter 14 • COMPREHENSIVE PLAN ADOPTION, READOPTION, AND AMENDMENTS 225 Amendment Procedures Goal and Policy Amendments - Comprehensive Plan An amendment to change the goals and policies of this Comprehensive Plan may only be initiated by the Planning & Zoning Commission, or staff thereof, and approved by resolution by the Board of Supervisors. Such an amendment shall be considered for adoption in accordance with the requirements of ARS 11-805. Goal and Policy Amendments - Area Plan Amendments to change the goals and policies of an Area Plan may only be initiated by the Planning & Zoning Commission, or staff thereof, and approved by resolution by the Board of Supervisors. As with the adoptions or readoption of an Area Plan, notice and public participation techniques will be flexible. However, hearings shall be noticed at least fifteen (15) days prior in the newspaper of general circulation (Arizona Business Gazette). Major Comprehensive Plan Amendments (including Major Development Master Plan Amendments) ARS 11-805 permits the County’s Comprehensive Plan to define the criteria which determines whether a proposed amendment effects a substantial alteration of the County’s land use mixture or balance as established within the land use element of the County’s existing Comprehensive Plan. A Major Amendment applies to changes of more than 640 contiguous gross acres and should include various types, densities and intensities of residential, commercial retail, office/non-retail employment, open space, and community land uses in a master-planned community design. However, a Major Amendment comprised of a single- or limited-use industrial and other large-scale employment projects may be considered eligible for a Major Amendment on a case-by-case basis following a pre-application meeting and subject to the discretion of the Zoning Inspector. A Major Amendment may also be required for a group of non-contiguous properties that exceed 640 gross acres aggregate if part of the same overall development at the discretion of the Zoning Inspector. A Major Amendment shall comply with the requirements of ARS 11-805 as with Comprehensive Plan adoption and readoption. Such amendments will be evaluated for adherence to the Urban Solutions for Urban Development strategy, and consistency with the goals and policies of the Comprehensive Plan and the applicable Area Plan, if any. The Major Amendment criteria for a Development Master Plan (DMP) is found within the DMP Guidelines. While obsolete, the DMP application process remains open to amendments of an existing Development Master Plan and for a Modification of Conditions application. Development Master Plans are not zoning, yet are considered a categorical feature of the Comprehensive Plan. The original intent of the Development Master Plan was to provide flexibility in design techniques paired with commitments associated with providing adequate facilities, infrastructure and amenities, and as such associated conditions are valid, enforceable, and remain in effect. Either an Applicant or Staff may initiate a Major Comprehensive Plan Amendment or a Major DMP Amendment. Amendments include changes to the goals, policies and/or land use designations in the Comprehensive Plan or County Area Plan, and changes to previously approved amendments to the Comprehensive Plan or a Development Master Plan. All amendments are processed according to state laws and require approval by the Board. An amendment to the Plan initiated by the applicant is classified as one of the following: FRAMEWORK 2040 | Maricopa County Comprehensive Plan 226 General Comprehensive Plan Amendments (including Minor Development Master Plan Amendments) A General Comprehensive Plan Amendment applies to changes of 640 gross acres or less. Additionally, land uses over 640 acres determined to be rural industrial within Step 3 of the Municipal-Rural Framework may seek a General Comprehensive Plan Amendment. A General Amendment is a standard amendment that must comply with basic State notice requirements and County public participation requirements and must be approved by the Board. A General Amendment will be evaluated for adherence to the Urban Solutions for Urban Development strategy, and consistency with the goals and policies of this Comprehensive Plan and the applicable Area Plan, if any. An Applicant or County Staff may initiate a General Comprehensive Plan Amendment. Condition(s) of Approval Modification The County Attorney’s Office has determined that Comprehensive Plan Amendment conditions of approval are no longer enforceable, and may not be established for a future Comprehensive Plan Amendment. Some legacy Comprehensive Plan Amendment conditions may have been previously implemented in a Plan of Development or Zoning District Change application when referenced therein, and modifications to those conditions will occur under those application processes specified within the Maricopa County Zoning Ordinance. An application may be filed to change the conditions of a previously approved Development Master Plan. Notice of application and notice of hearing shall occur in the same manner as a General Comprehensive Plan Amendment, and the application shall be approved by the Board. An application for modification of conditions may be initiated by an Applicant or County Staff. Comprehensive Plan Amendment Application Waived The Comprehensive Plan’s future land use plan map shows general land uses over large areas and not smaller area land uses. As such, Comprehensive Plan Amendment applications shall not be required for zoning amendment requests of 40 acres or fewer in size if it can be demonstrated that a preponderance of the Plan’s goals and policies are advanced or implemented and/or the request conforms to the existing land use designation of the site. An applicant’s argument for the zoning request will be evaluated by Staff prior to a hearing by the Planning & Zoning Commission. Similarly, a new permanent or semi-permanent (Special Use Permit) zoning amendment request greater than 40 acres in size and without an appropriate land use designation, shall be required to apply for a Comprehensive Plan Amendment. A Comprehensive Plan Amendment shall not be required prior to a Temporary Use Permit application or any other application that does not establish permanent or semi-permanent zoning. Designations of Private or State Land as Open Space, Recreation, Conservation, or Agriculture Per ARS 11-804(E), “In applying an open space element or a growth element of a comprehensive plan, a county shall not designate private or state land as open space, recreation, conservation or agriculture unless the county receives the written consent of the landowner or provides an alternative, economically viable designation in the comprehensive plan or zoning ordinance, allowing at least one residential dwelling per acre. If the landowner is the prevailing party in any action brought to enforce this subsection, a court shall award fees and other expenses to the landowner. Each county shall incorporate this subsection into its comprehensive plan and provide a process for a landowner to resolve discrepancies relating to this subsection.” In the County, no process is necessary for a landowner to resolve discrepancies related to this subsection as all land use designations, with the exception of the land use designation of “Military Compatible,” allow for a minimum of one residential dwelling unit per acre. Should a landowner wish to seek an alternative land use designation, the Major or General Amendment procedures within this Comprehensive Plan shall apply. Chapter 14 • COMPREHENSIVE PLAN ADOPTION, READOPTION, AND AMENDMENTS 227 Amendment Procedures (continued) Major Comprehensive Plan Amendments, General Comprehensive Plan Amendments, Application Deadlines, and Hearings. In accordance with state law, all Major Comprehensive Plan Amendments and Major DMP Amendments will be considered at a single public hearing in the calendar year that the amendment is requested. Since the Board considers Major Amendments at a public hearing in December, the application filing deadline for a Major Comprehensive Plan Amendment is the last business day of May of the calendar year in which the Major Amendment is requested. It is the position of the County that the filing deadline promotes notice and proper public participation in accordance with state law. The deadline also provides Staff and County Officials with sufficient time for review of impactful land use decisions and the long-term considerations regarding potential development projects. No filing deadline is necessary for General Comprehensive Plan Amendments since they are considered by the Board throughout the calendar year. Comprehensive Plan Amendments: Rights and Privileges Comprehensive Plan Amendments do not grant any entitlement or protected development right, do not vest any development right, and do not confer any other rights beyond those outlined in state law. When approved by the Board, Comprehensive Plan Amendments do allow requests for zoning district boundary changes consistent with the approved Comprehensive Plan Amendment, Arizona Revised Statutes. and other applicable County requirements. FRAMEWORK 2040 | Maricopa County Comprehensive Plan 228 Comprehensive Plan Amendment Process Preliminary Discussion (“pre-application” meeting) Before an official Amendment application submittal, the applicant must participate in a pre-application meeting or discussion with Maricopa County. The pre-application meeting determines the extent of the changes needed, potential issues, considerations, the Amendment process necessary to meet County requirements, and the submittal requirements. Application Once the pre-application meeting is complete, an official Amendment application submittal can occur. Submittal and fee requirements are included in the application packet along with information about the required public participation process. Applicants should carefully review these requirements to help avoid potential delays in processing. Official Review Upon receipt of the official application and fees, the County Planning and Development Department will refer the application to the appropriate internal and external stakeholders for review. As necessary, official review will also include a technical advisory committee (TAC) meeting where stakeholders will provide comments and recommend changes needed to meet County requirements and/or stakeholder requests. Information and details about the TAC meeting are provided at the pre-application meeting. Public Hearing – Planning & Zoning Commission Once TAC requirements are met, the Amendment application will be scheduled for a public hearing by the Maricopa County Planning & Zoning Commission (Commission), or staff thereof. Adjacent landowners, other stakeholders, and affected parties will be notified of the date, time, and place of the hearing based on the applicant’s required site posting and notice in a newspaper of general circulation (Arizona Business Gazette). (Note: Additional information about site posting and other notification requirements is available in Maricopa County’s Public Participation Program in Appendix III). If the Commission makes a recommendation of approval or denial of the application, the Amendment application will be transmitted to the Board for final consideration and action. Public Hearing – Board of Supervisors As the governing body for land use decisions in unincorporated areas, the Maricopa County Board of Supervisors is responsible for making a final determination of approval or denial of the Amendment application. Notice of Board hearing is provided in the same manner as the Commission hearing. The Board may either accept or reject the Commission’s recommendation. If the Board approves the Amendment application, it is effective immediately. The applicant is thereafter responsible for meeting any required conditions of approval. Chapter 14 • COMPREHENSIVE PLAN ADOPTION, READOPTION, AND AMENDMENTS 229