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Special Meeting Minutes Wednesday, December 04, 2013 Board Members 1:30 PM Andrew Kunasek, Chairman, District 3 Denny Barney, Vice Chairman, District 1 BOARD OF SUPERVISORS Steve Chucri, District 2 Maricopa County, Arizona Clint Hickman, District 4 (and the Boards of Directors of the Flood Control Mary Rose Wilcox, District 5 District, Library District, Stadium District, Improvement Districts, Housing Authority of Maricopa County, Housing Authority of Maricopa County and/or Board of County Manager Deposit) Tom Manos Clerk of the Board Fran McCarroll "The mission of Maricopa County is to provide regional leadership and fiscally responsible, Meeting Location necessary public services to its Supervisors' Conference Room residents so they can enjoy 301 W. Jefferson, 10th Floor living in healthy and safe communities” Phoenix, AZ 85003 BOARD OF SUPERVISORS The Board of Supervisors of Maricopa County, Arizona convened in Special Session at 1:30 p.m., December 4, 2013, in the Supervisors’ Conference Room, 301 W. Jefferson, Phoenix, Arizona, with the following members present Andrew Kunasek, Chairman, District 3; Denny Barney, District 1; Steve Chucri, District 2 (entered late); Clint Hickman, District 4; Mary Rose Wilcox, District 5. Also present: Fran McCarroll, Clerk of the Board; Tom Manos, County Manager and Ian MacPherson, Legal Counsel. Minutes compiled by Shirley Million, Minutes Coordinator. Votes of the Members will be recorded as follows: aye-nay-absent-abstain. Presentations 1. PRESENTATION ON THE FY 2015 BUDGET FROM ELECTED OFFICIALS AND A FINANCIAL OVERVIEW PRESENTATION Presentation regarding the FY 2015 budget from Maricopa County Treasurer Charles "Hos" Hoskins and Maricopa County Assessor Paul Petersen. Additionally, a financial overview will be given by Alan Maguire, President, The Maguire Company; and Jim Rounds, Senior VP, Elliott D. Pollack and Company. (C-20-14-019-M- 00) County Treasurer Charles Hoskins introduced Richard Green, his Deputy Treasurer, explaining that Mr. Green will be handling all the 2015 budget work with the Supervisorial staff. Also present was Royce Flora, Chief Deputy Treasure. Mr. Hoskins distributed two handouts which were used as the basis of his presentation on the more than 250 statutory mandates for the County Treasurer’s Office. ~ Supervisor Chucri entered the meeting ~ Mr. Hoskins spoke about some of the challenges & opportunities in the Treasurer's office and said it is responsible for the handling of nearly 900,000 transactions and more than 200,000 constituent contacts in a year. Most of these (95%-97%) are handled at the Call Center but 7,000 inquiries came directly to the Treasurer’s Office last year. Special Meeting Minutes Wednesday, December 04, 2013 Page 2 of 8 Mr. Hoskins said he requires additional resources to his budget primarily for the IT area of the Treasurer’s Office. He explained that the Treasurer’s system is more than 25 years old and must be replaced because it is no longer supported by MicroSoft and other companies. When he took control of the Treasurer’s IT, 16 positions were transferred to OET, eleven of these have been returned and two were replaced this year. Mr. Hoskins stated that he needed the other three positions. He drew a comparison between the needs of the Treasurer for a computer system replacement, its $10 million budget and the need to restore three full-time employees with the County’s need to refresh its accounting system, its $40 million budget and the hiring of approximately 100 new full time employees. Supervisor Chucri asked about the system no longer being supported and clarified that this includes new upgrades and technical support. Mr. Manos reported that a contract approved by the Board a few weeks ago included $40 million as the total ten-year lifecycle for three departments in the new financial system, the Finance Department, Procurement Services and the Budget Office. He said a comparison of $10 million for a new system for the Treasurer and $40 million as a ten- year total cost for three departments is “like comparing apples and oranges.” Mr. Hoskins said he is trying to convey that the Treasurer has problems with IT, as does the County, and they are working with OET on some issues but he firmly believes the Treasurer’s system needs to be replaced and updated. Supervisor Wilcox said $40 million was a big investment for the County. She asked for a report on what the cost would be if the Treasurer’s Office could be incorporated with the other County departments in that project. Mr. Manos replied that would be his optimum solution; the question is whether the system purchased would satisfy the Treasurer’s needs. He added there have been consistent conversations with the Treasurer on this topic and the new finance program that was purchased does include a treasury component. Mr. Flora said they are already using the County’s system as much as possible to reduce costs. The problems stem from the County’s use of a system that is primarily an accounting and inventory management system and the Treasurer deals primarily with property taxes for 1.6 million land parcels. He reiterated that the current program is 25 years old and if $10 million would buy another 25 years he’d consider it a good investment. Mr. Hoskins stated that the Treasurer’s Office is working with OET and also with the Assessor. They have had conversations about who is paying the most in interest on delinquent taxes and the impact that may have on the economy. On another budget-related topic Mr. Hoskins stated that the Treasurer’s Office has had a number of long-time employees retire and 18 more who are eligible to retire. He explained that it is difficult to replace the institutional knowledge that is walking out the door. He believes the department needs highly educated individuals to replace them but instead is getting entry level individuals wanting to get into the system and who then move on to other jobs in the County. Another problem is in having to leave positions vacant to offset budget adjustments. He believed that positions need to be reclassified and salaries adjusted, especially in those positions that are critical. Special Meeting Minutes Wednesday, December 04, 2013 Page 3 of 8 Chairman Kunasek said that in making decisions from the revenue side to the expenditure side the Board has committed to involving all of the elected officials in discussions to solve problems. He referenced a statement made by Mr. Hoskins on having to re-mail $20 million in last year’s tax bills that had been sent to outdated addresses. This year it was $1.4 million. He also spoke about the procedure in sending the tax bills out. Mr. Hoskins said tax bills are being sent out but are not getting paid. Delinquent tax bills have been mailed out twice this year. The interest on the $20 million that was mailed out is approximately $250,000 a month. He said if this is coming out of the lower valued properties it takes money out of the bottom of the economy and that does not help the recovery. This year there were a lot of unfunded cost increases after the budget was finalized. Mr. Hoskins said expenditures in 2014 are estimated to be about the same as in 2012 and 2013 but his Office will likely be over-budget this year due to unfunded expenses and penalty deductions in personnel. In the smaller agencies, reductions cannot be absorbed after the budget is set. Mr. Flora said after the budget had been finalized there were telecom costs, maintenance costs and some other things like the Chairman’s deduction that were included. Hoskins said microfiche costs alone have gone from $8,000 to $70,000. Mr. Manos said the budget is finalized by a vote of the Board to adopt it and no changes were made after that vote. Adjustments can be made up to the end as part of the process leading to a motion and vote, but once the vote is taken the process ends. Mr. Green said there was a $44,000 Chairman’s adjustment that was part of the revised budget after the adoption. Mr. Manos explained that adjustment was made after the Board adopted the tentative budget, it could not have happened after the adoption of the final budget. Mr. Green replied that adjustment led them to lay off all the temps hired to do the rebilling and he believed that money was relied upon by the Treasurer’s Department. Supervisor Barney said the Chairman would not have made a unilateral withdrawal of funds from an approved budget – adding that Members may not always agree but things happen by action of the Board and not just by the Chairman. He said that statute is clear on how counties adopt a budget. Mr. Hoskins explained, “What we’re seeing is a budget that is effectively less than what we’ve averaged over the last two years, our expenses are the same or even more.” He said when someone leaves they have to compensate for that by extending the vacancies. Mr. Hoskins said the County is operating very close to the edge on budget shortfalls. The variance reports indicate that County agencies are not funded equally. Discussion ensued on the information in the two slides that were provided showing the percentage of variance in various County department’s budgets. Mr. Manos believed a meaningful comparison would be in comparing the operating budgets of the departments. He said the operating budgets of County departments across the board were very tight last year. Special Meeting Minutes Wednesday, December 04, 2013 Page 4 of 8 The Chairman invited the Assessor to come forward to present his budget. Paul Petersen, County Assessor, said the office would send out notices of value in February and noted that all property types are up at least 10%, although the County cannot collect more than 5% because of Prop 117. He said it is the first time that such an increase has happened in a number of years and he believes it will trigger a decrease in the number of appeals received. Supervisor Barney said there would definitely be a break in the primary and secondary, and Proposition 117 only exacerbates that break in an appreciating market. Mr. Petersen said the Assessor’s Office has done the Property Tax analysis for the Board for a number of years and will continue to do so. He stressed the need to continue to support the STAR center that provides answers to a large number of the calls from the public which saves his staff from having to break away from their core functional requirements. He thanked the Board for the raises provided to County employees last year – the first increase received by employees in six years. He believed this should continue with merit raises in the future to continue to support staff and show appreciation for their continued efforts. He said the CAMA Project is only in its first planning year and he has a good team working on this. Tim Boncosky, Chief Deputy Assessor, noted that the Assessor’s mission statement is to be fair and equitable to the individual property owner and the collective group of property owners. He said the Office was nationally recognized when they received a number of awards including the 2011 Silver LEED Certification for the renovation of the Santa Fe Depot. The Office has 325 employees, two locations; and five divisions. They are the fourth largest assessment jurisdiction in America. The County’s turnover rate is the highest since 1998 with most of those leaving for higher wages. He reviewed the Tax Timeline for 2014 and the 2015 Notice Reminder. He noted that postal costs will increase in 2014 and they do three mailings a year so postage costs will have a big effect on the office. Mr. Boncosky also referenced the Legal Class Verification (LCL) process mandated by the Legislature. He commented that this project also causes workload increase in the Clerk’s Office. The Board took a break at 3:06 p.m. and reconvened at 3:22 p.m. Tom Manos commented on the strategic planning session held last Monday saying it went well because some important ground work had been done prior to the meeting and he would do the same with the strategic planning meetings on financial issues. There are only four or five of these but they are very complex issues. One of these is to determine the appropriate level of reserves to carry forward and when they should be used or increased. He introduced Economist Alan E. Maguire to make a presentation on the appropriate uses of reserves. Mr. Maguire has served as an adviser to six governors. Alan Maguire said he planned to discuss three things: Balancing Spending and Revenues Managing Over the entire Economic Cycle Using Reserves Effectively. Tax revenues should be sufficient to fund essential services, provide predictability for taxpayers, match ongoing revenues and ongoing expenses and to build appropriate reserves. He explained that not all revenue is the same. Base Revenue, such as Special Meeting Minutes Wednesday, December 04, 2013 Page 5 of 8 property tax, is ongoing; Expansionary Revenue (sales tax) is cyclical and One Time Revenue (federal stimulus money or development fees) may be unexpected or extraordinary. He explained that the goal is to keep the cycle moving together and staying in balance, matching tax cuts with spending cuts and spending increases with tax increases. Mr. Maguire explained that virtually all of the government budget laws in America were developed in the 1920s and 1930s and it all began with a property tax. Since then income taxes and sales taxes have come to the forefront and have become the dominant source of revenue for government. Public budgeting has changed but the laws may be 80-90 years old. He spoke of fixed cost and variable cost saying variable cost rises when activity rises and falls when activity lessens. It is dangerous to have a high fixed cost when sales drop. He said that government services are often counter-cyclical. There is more demand for public services during an economic downturn. He remarked on the difficulties of elected officials having to live and produce in a relatively short-term world, based on elections and terms of office and on the importance of leaving government in good shape when your term of office ends. To most people predictable taxation is more important than low taxation because they can plan for the future. Most tax cuts don’t produce the desired outcome, which is stimulus. Governments must learn to build reserves during the good times, to have reserve funds available to draw from during bad times as shown through performance versus trend. The types of reserves are: Basic Reserve Cyclical Revenue Reserve Dedicated Purpose Reserve(s) Special Reserves for High Risk Circumstances He said reserves are the most powerful tool government has to manage the economic cycle and serve the standard of care, which is fiduciary prudence and he explained ways to use reserve funds most effectively. He said that effective budgeting and management tools compensate for economic cycles. These are separate with separate purposes and separate build rates. Basic Reserve is the classic emergency fund, the classic core budget amount is six months of reserves to cover bills if something unexpected happens. For a best practice level, government organizations maintain a three-month spending level. Without a reserve, governments can be forced to borrow on a short term loan basis. With a county the general fund is the basic go-to if special purpose funds draw down but this can reverse and the general fund is the first to go. The Cyclical Revenue Reserve is the challenging one due to the revenue fluctuations – the sales tax and the vehicle license tax both provide significant revenue to the general fund. These must be considered separately from one-time revenues. The Dedicated Purpose Reserve(s), which this Board used for the new Court Building and has historically used in many other capital expenditures is saving the necessary money before starting to build. Because it has a specific purpose the timing becomes important. High Risk Circumstances can be defined as whatever is appropriate for your jurisdiction. Examples in different communities could be forest fires and resulting flood damage; aging infrastructure – some old earthen dams that could fail. Each jurisdiction can Special Meeting Minutes Wednesday, December 04, 2013 Page 6 of 8 recognize the local weaknesses and build a reserve for them. Reserves are built during expansion and spent as needed during a recession after first using cutbacks as a control and to hold the reserve funds for as long as possible. He said it gets really painful in the third and fourth year of a recession. Supervisor Wilcox said, “the County has tried to live by those rules for the past couple of decades and it has served us well but it is very hard to stay with it.” Supervisor Kunasek referenced Mr. Maquire’s reference to forest fires and bridges saying Maricopa County’s problems are with the legislatures and governors. “As we saved and tried to do the right thing, others down the street looked at it as their opportunity.” He said it has been an historical threat from somebody who had more power than us. Mr. Maguire recognized there is a tendency to punish the prudent and reward the profligate. He said that is completely destructive to the incentive for good behavior. Tom Manos offered the perfect example a few years ago when the State threatened to send its prisoners serving one-year sentences to the County jails. It would have been a significant unexpected cost to the County. Chairman Kunasek agreed saying a minimal cost savings to the State would have been catastrophic to taxpayers because of all the required upgrades to County facilities. Supervisor Wilcox noted that the Board has been heavily criticized at times because the County saved for projects instead of bonding and borrowing ahead of building. Mr. Maguire said there is good and bad in both methods of financing, and each jurisdiction must choose what method it wants to use. Maricopa County has operated mostly on a pay-as-you-go basis and it saves the interest cost. However, it has to do without or make do with what it has until the money accumulates. In debt financing a long-term cost must be paid and interest does accrue. An advantage to debt financing is that as people move to the County they will be included in the tax and so will pay for part of the cost. Tom Manos said he is hoping for a Board adopted policy on what is set aside for reserves and how it is used. He said the State of Arizona had a significant rainy day fund when the recession hit in 2008-2009 and they spent that rainy day fund on tax cuts and additional spending programs before the recession had even hit. He reiterated the need for the County to set a policy for the build-up and use of reserve funds, saying, “The good times don’t last forever.” Supervisor Chucri asked if interest rates will stay steady; noting that the vehicle licensing tax & sales tax are ahead of schedule so far this year. Mr. Maguire sees consistent improvement nationally in jobs and hiring. Clearly the U.S. economy is in better shape than the rest of the world. When you look at the states that were down and are coming back, Arizona is doing quite well and is maintaining its long, sustained history of economic growth and development. Quality job creation has been experienced since the end of World War II and the upcoming pattern doesn't look different than in the past. He said there is a lot of risk at the national level as the Federal Reserve is heavily influencing economic activity. This year he sees the economy as more of an upside potential than a downside risk. Special Meeting Minutes Wednesday, December 04, 2013 Page 7 of 8 Supervisor Wilcox noted that there has been a slow-down in businesses and the building industry and immigration reform is necessary to reverse that. Mr. Maguire believes the development community is “probably overly conditioned” by the first decade of this century and does not see a return to that kind of a pattern.” He continued, “One thing I know about workers is when you raise wages they appear.” Supervisor Barney thought the bigger question is when to begin to use those reserves? He noted that the State had some reserves but they used them up at the beginning of the decline. The County recently used some of the reserves that previous Boards had built up. Mr. Barney said “it is a challenge to balance it all and in keeping it balanced.” He noted that capital projects come in waves and the latest for the County was the Court Tower and the Sheriff’s Office. He stated that the next wave is coming and the question is whether to go back to the pay-as-you-go model or shift to another model? Chairman Kunasek explained that some of the capital projects had worked well as pay- as-you-go over the years but it was always playing catch-up to needed services. The Board started talking about a needed court building in the 1990s and it was finally built in 2012. He added that car sales have zero interest loans again and wondered if that will be the next bubble. Mr. Maguire said car incentives are always a leading indicator because they are measuring economic activity every single day and they aren’t giving discounts when they don’t need to. Supervisor Hickman said his biggest worry is for the nation’s youth coming into the workforce saddled with school loan debt that is not forgivable. They have to have higher wages to pay that debt off. He asked how population growth would drive cyclical reserves and what Mr. Maguire sees coming in that growth. Mr. Maguire replied that when Arizona comes out of an economic downturn and begins an expansionary period, employers add jobs and migrants follow jobs. He believes the rates will come back. In response to a question from Supervisor Hickman on east and west coast infrastructure, Mr. Maguire responded that the western grid is much younger and in much better shape than the eastern grid. The roads, water and sewer systems are younger in Arizona than they are in the midwest and east coast, especially in urban areas. Chairman Kunasek invited elected officials present in the audience to comment or ask questions on today’s discussion. Mr. Hoskins spoke about the gap between the haves and have-nots that show up on lower-end property delinquencies and asked about the impact on the economy in moving money out of the lower valued properties and lower income property owners. Mr. Maguire replied that stress on the diminishing American middle class over the past 30 years has been substantial in that it has continued over a long period of time and their reserves have been depleted. He stated that his parents were better savers than he is and the older people become the more they tend to save. Younger middle-income households have very little reserves because of many different factors. When income is impacted it can be survived for a year or two but after that, at some point people are likely to stop paying their taxes. Special Meeting Minutes Wednesday, December 04, 2013 Page 8 of 8 Dr. Covey, Superintendent of Schools, referred to the automobile industry’s $18 billion debt crisis causing people to move out of Detroit because of the lack of jobs. He said Detroit has trouble in even paying the interest on the amount that is owed. He explained that jobs drive growth and there must be a workforce for those jobs. Maricopa County is a desirable place to live and people move here because of the ambiance but ultimately they move here for a job. Dr. Covey mentioned the importance of infrastructure and of having a sufficient water supply in the desert for the influx of new residents. Mr. Maguire admitted the challenge and said it drives the importance of keeping the infrastructure current and active. He said, “yes it is in a desert, but Arizona has the most effective water management laws in the world.” He said many places in the world come to Maricopa County to study what we do in water management that works and what tools we use to make it work. A man in the audience asked at what point taxes need to be increased to be able to put money back into the reserves. Mr. Maguire replied as soon as performance is above the trend line and the County is in an expansionary period the reserves can be rebuilt, whether it is through natural cyclical growth in revenues or a tax increase. The key is the trend line because there will always be a downturn at some time in the future. MEETING ADJOURNED There being no further business to come before the Board, the meeting was adjourned. __________________________________ Andrew Kunasek, Chairman of the Board ATTEST: ______________________________ Fran McCarroll, Clerk of the Board