GPEC - SUNLIT IMPACT ANALYSIS_MARICOPA COUNTY_REVISED 1.19.22.PDF
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Sunlit Impact Analysis January 2022 Impact Analysis Impact Analysis Overview City of Phoenix has requested an analysis of Sunlit’s impact over the next 10 years to demonstrate the economic value the company will generate in Maricopa county. Based on the assumptions outlined below, Sunlit will generate an estimated $418,146 in direct tax revenues and an additional $16,320 in indirect tax revenues for a total of $434,466 in tax revenue to Maricopa County over a 10-year period. In 10 years this company will directly create an estimated $12.3 million of personal income, plus an additional $5.8 million in indirect personal income for a total of $18.1 million. Over a 10-year period Sunlit will create $127.9 million in economic output, with $103.7 million in direct economic output, and $24.2 million in indirect output. Assumptions Total Employment at the end of 10 Years: 25 jobs Annual Payroll at the end of 10 Years: $1.2 million Total Square Feet of Property: 65,000 square feet by Year 1 Total Land Investment: $3.0 million Total Real Property Improvement Investment: $14.93 million Total Personal Property Investment: $26.26 million Project will receive FTZ 10-Year Economic Impact to Maricopa County Impact Jobs Personal Income Economic Output Revenues Direct 25 $12,300,000 $103,703,810 $418,146 Indirect 11 $5,759,930 $24,153,740 $16,320 Total 36 $18,059,930 $127,857,550 $434,466 Impact Analysis Direct Revenue and Economic Impact Year Jobs Personal Income Output Revenues 2020 25 $1,230,000 $10,370,381 $183,914 2021 25 $1,230,000 $10,370,381 $26,292 2022 25 $1,230,000 $10,370,381 $28,184 2023 25 $1,230,000 $10,370,381 $29,595 2024 25 $1,230,000 $10,370,381 $29,761 2025 25 $1,230,000 $10,370,381 $28,697 2026 25 $1,230,000 $10,370,381 $26,335 2027 25 $1,230,000 $10,370,381 $23,973 2028 25 $1,230,000 $10,370,381 $21,610 2029 25 $1,230,000 $10,370,381 $19,785 Total 25 $12,300,000 $103,703,810 $418,146 Year Jobs Personal Income Output Revenues 2020 11 $575,993 $2,415,374 $1,632 2021 11 $575,993 $2,415,374 $1,632 2022 11 $575,993 $2,415,374 $1,632 2023 11 $575,993 $2,415,374 $1,632 2024 11 $575,993 $2,415,374 $1,632 2025 11 $575,993 $2,415,374 $1,632 2026 11 $575,993 $2,415,374 $1,632 2027 11 $575,993 $2,415,374 $1,632 2028 11 $575,993 $2,415,374 $1,632 2029 11 $575,993 $2,415,374 $1,632 Total 11 $5,759,930 $24,153,740 $16,320 Year Jobs Personal Income Output Revenues 2020 36 $1,805,993 $12,785,755 $185,546 2021 36 $1,805,993 $12,785,755 $27,924 2022 36 $1,805,993 $12,785,755 $29,816 2023 36 $1,805,993 $12,785,755 $31,227 2024 36 $1,805,993 $12,785,755 $31,393 2025 36 $1,805,993 $12,785,755 $30,329 2026 36 $1,805,993 $12,785,755 $27,967 2027 36 $1,805,993 $12,785,755 $25,605 2028 36 $1,805,993 $12,785,755 $23,242 2029 36 $1,805,993 $12,785,755 $21,417 Total 36 $18,059,930 $127,857,550 $434,466 Indirect Revenue and Economic Impact Total Revenue and Economic Impact Impact Analysis Year Property Taxes Total Company Residential 2022 $20,368 $19,336 $1,032 2023 $22,580 $21,548 $1,032 2024 $24,472 $23,440 $1,032 2025 $25,883 $24,851 $1,032 2026 $26,049 $25,017 $1,032 2027 $24,985 $23,954 $1,031 2028 $22,623 $21,591 $1,032 2029 $20,261 $19,229 $1,032 2030 $17,898 $16,866 $1,032 2031 $16,073 $15,041 $1,032 Total $221,192 $210,873 $10,319 Property Tax Analysis Impact Analysis Impact Analysis About GPEC Economic Impact Model The Greater Phoenix impact model calculates economic and revenue impacts of new business in the region. The underlying theory behind this regional model is that all communities benefit when a new business locates in the region, both in terms of employed residents and new revenues. The purpose of the model is to show how this distribution of economic benefits may occur. Economic Impact The impact model uses county-level multipliers from the Minnesota IMPLAN Group for Maricopa County to calculate direct and indirect impact on specific communities in the Greater Phoenix region. The model also calculates economic impact to the county and state economies in terms of new jobs, output, and revenue generated. In addition to jobs, new businesses create new consumer spending throughout. The payroll from the new businesses can be converted into effective buying income. On a regional basis, effective buying income is distributed across retail and service categories based on spending patterns from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Revenue Impact Direct revenue impacts include revenues generated directly by the businesses, based on project information such as real property values, employment, direct sales, and local and nonlocal purchases. Additional revenues generated by related supplier and consumer jobs, and supported residents are included in the indirect and total impact results. All revenue projections are in current dollars. Disclaimer The results from this analysis suggest only one possible scenario based on given project parameters and assumptions, and do not exclude other development possibilities under different assumptions. The economic impact model serves as a tool for basic quantitative evaluations for economic development projects. The results are based on the current economic structure of the communities, and current tax rates. The results of the model are order-of-magnitude estimates and are intended only as a general guide as to show how businesses and development projects may impact the region.