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11/5/2024 1 Electric Vehicle Feasibility Study S U S TA I N A B I L I T Y A N D T E C H N O L O G Y S U B C O M M I T T E E November 8, 2024 Taking calculated risks to explore new technologies and innovative pilot programs that promote efficiency, productivity, sustainability and connectivity while demonstrating return on investment. Strategic Goal ELT Action Plan Item Continue the replacement of aging City vehicles with electric and hybrid alternatives that generate return on investment. *Currently, there is not any language in a vehicle replacement policy that addresses alternative fuel vehicles and/or sustainability although Administrative Regulation updates are in process. However, staff always considers hybrid/EV options when looking at replacements on a case by case basis 1 2 11/5/2024 2 Current Fleet Stats of City Fleet a Hybrid or Electric Vehicle 4% Electric Vehicles 8 Hybrid Vehicles 28 Public Car Charging Ports 18 Fleet Designated Car Charging Ports 11 * 11 more will replace 10 ICE vehicles in 2025 Ford Maverick Hybrid Mile Driven Per Year 5,000 Miles Per Gallon 42 Gallons Per Year 119.05 Cost Per Gallon $3.36 Cost Per Year $400.00 Cents Per Mile $0.08 Annual Savings Vs. EV $215.79 Vehicle Type Analysis Chevrolet Bolt (EV) Mile Driven Per Year 5,000 Miles Per kWhr 3.8 kW Per Year 1315.79 Cost Per kWh $0.14 Cost Per Year $184.21 Cents Per Mile $0.04 Ford Maverick Mile Driven Per Year 5,000 Miles Per Gallon 25 Gallons Per Year 200.00 Cost Per Gallon $3.36 Cost Per Year $672.00 Cents Per Mile $0.13 Annual Savings Vs. EV $487.79 * Average installation cost per charging station ranges from $15,000 to $90,000+ 3 4 11/5/2024 3 Ford PIU Hybrid Mile Driven Per Year 14,500 Miles Per Gallon 24 Gallons Per Year 604.17 Cost Per Gallon $3.36 Cost Per Year $2,030.00 Cents Per Mile $0.14 Annual Savings $835.88 Vehicle Type Analysis Ford PIU ICE Mile Driven Per Year 14,500 Miles Per Gallon 17 Gallons Per Year 852.94 Cost Per Gallon $3.36 Cost Per Year $2,865.88 Cents Per Mile $0.20 * Average cost per charging station ranges from $15,000 to $90,000+ Police Comparison Ford F-150 PPV Mile Driven Per Yr 14,500 Miles Per Gallon 19 Gallons Per Year 763.16 Cost Per Gallon $3.36 Cost Per Year $2,564.21 Cents Per Mile $0.18 Vehicle Type Analysis Ford Lightning PPV Mile Driven Per Year 14,500 Miles Per Gallon 1.5 kW Per Year 9666.67 Cost Per kWh $0.14 Cost Per Year $1,353.33 Cents Per Mile $0.09 Annual Fuel Savings $1210.88 * Average cost per charging station ranges from $15,000 to $90,000+ Police Comparison * If available 5 6 11/5/2024 4 $28,855 Vehicle Type Residual Value 2024 Toyota Camry Hybrid MSRP Residual Value After 10 Years $10,175 $26,420 2024 Toyota Camry MSRP Residual Value After 10 Years $7,750 $26,500 2023 Chevy Bolt (EV) MSRP Residual Value After 10 Years $3,775 $57,290 2024 Ford F-150 Lightning (XLT SuperCrew 4WD) MSRP Resale Value After Six Years $17,925 $56,540 2024 Ford F-150 (XLT SuperCrew 4WD) MSRP Resale Value After Six Years $19,900 Vehicle Type Resale Value 7 8 11/5/2024 5 Key Takeaways • There is no one size fits all solution for fleet electrification based on type of vehicle and usage. • Fleet electric vehicle availability to government agencies is limited. • Current application of electric vehicle replacements is based on right sizing and vehicle replacement cycles. Current inventory replacement cycle is approximately 9 years. Converting to electric may take several years based on age of fleet and the propensity to keep vehicles longer. • Facilities sometimes lack sufficient infrastructure and electric utility capacity to support EV charging stations resulting in higher capital infrastructure investment to upgrade utilities therefore diminishing the ROI. • Residual value of hybrid vehicles is historically greater than both ICE vehicles and EV. • Based on fuel and electricity costs, hybrid represents an economic and sustainable alternative to both EV and ICE vehicles. (All things being equal) • Auto manufacture’s EV strategy is changing due to evolving technology (Battery, Hybrid, and Hydrogen), shifting regulatory landscapes, and changing consumer preferences. Electric Vehicle Availability 9 10 11/5/2024 6 CO2 Impact • Average age of vehicle before it's scrapped is 180,000 miles • Average conventional vehicle produces roughly 30 CO2 tons during its use • Roughly 30% of energy used to charge electric vehicles is from renewable energy sources • Problem with graph is it says at zero miles driven, zero CO2 has been produced • Have to take into account CO2 generated during production of vehicle CO2 Impact • Production of a lithium car battery requires a massive amount of energy • Conventional vehicle comes to showroom having produced roughly six tons of CO2 • Electric vehicle comes to the showroom having produced about 12 tons of CO2 • Would have to drive electric vehicle close to 90,000 miles to offset the CO2 penalty of a conventional vehicle • To make an accurate comparison we need to make the ranges the same 11 12 11/5/2024 7 CO2 Impact • A larger battery produces a much larger CO2 penalty • For every ton of mined lithium, 15 tons of CO2 are emitted into the air • In its projected life it produces more CO2 than a conventional vehicle • It produces more CO2 but currently we measure it as producing none from the tail pipe • Calling these vehicles "Zero Emissions" is unproductive • Hybrids bring flexibility and a lower CO2 impact on the environment CO2 Impact • Hybrids are far more efficient than conventional vehicles • Hybrid vehicles have a much smaller battery so the CO2 impact is very similar to conventional vehicles while the end-of-life emissions are far lower • To offset the CO2 produced from the electric vehicle you would have to drive a hybrid vehicle nearly 450,000 miles 13 14 11/5/2024 8 Strategic Goal Taking calculated risks to explore new technologies and innovative pilot programs that promote efficiency, productivity, sustainability and connectivity while demonstrating return on investment. ELT Action Plan Item Complete the city’s fleet electric vehicle charging study and define the municipal role for placement of charging stations in the community Public Car Charging • Staff received a grant from Salt River Project (SRP) to conduct a fleet electrification plan • Only considered fully electric vehicles even for heavy duty • Cost prohibitive • No hybrid or plug-in-hybrid vehicles included in the study • Maricopa Association of Governments (MAG) Electrification Readiness Strategic Plan completed May 22, 2023 • U.S. Department of Energy shows a surplus of 253 charging stations based on the current demand • Grants for new car charging stations are not to meet the current demand, rather to encourage the purchase of electric vehicles and remove any potential barriers for electric vehicle ownership • 16 public car charging stations are located downtown • Eight ports considered light use • One port considered moderate use • Seven ports considered heavy use • Heaviest use is 8:00 AM to 5:00 PM 10 10 2 2 1 1 4 2 15 16 11/5/2024 9 • Charging stations are strongly encouraged in new developments through zoning stipulations • Previous Council direction not to codify this • 167 new stations added at commercial developments • 124 new homes pre-wired for level two charging stations • U.S. Department of Energy states that more than 80% of electric vehicle charging happens at home. The next highest used location for charging is at work • Capacity has not been reached at current publicly available car charging stations downtown • When repairs are needed, providers are non-responsive, and parts are often on back order • Cost of infrastructure if power is not readily available is extremely prohibitive • Electric vehicle market will soon be changing with introduction of Hydrogen fueled vehicles and solid-state battery electric vehicles Public Car Charging • Fleet vehicle purchases will be evaluated using a Total Cost of Ownership (TCO) analysis, taking into consideration vehicle availability, intended purpose, infrastructure costs for charging stations, resale value, mileage, and cradle-to-grave CO2 emissions. The organization will prioritize the purchase of electric vehicles (EVs) when TCO analysis demonstrates cost-effectiveness and environmental benefits compared to ICE vehicles and HEVs. • This policy will be reviewed annually to reflect technological advancements, market conditions, and infrastructure development. Adjustments will be made as necessary to maintain alignment with organizational goals and industry best practices. • The organization is committed to reducing its environmental impact and operational costs through strategic fleet management. By utilizing TCO analysis and prioritizing EV and HEV acquisitions when feasible, we will enhance our sustainability efforts and ensure efficient and cost-effective fleet operations. • City will require adequate charging stations at all new developments/redevelopments through developments agreements or zoning stipulations. Staff will include charging stations at new city facilities and parking lot rehabilitations where demand exists. Recommended Policy 17 18 11/5/2024 10 Questions? SUSTAINABILITY AND TECHNOLOGY SUBCOMMITTEE NOVEMBER 8, 2024 19