Housing Study and Strategies Presentation
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August 11, 2025 | 4:00 p.m. City Council Conference Room Council Work Session Today’s Agenda What is Housing? It is referred to by many names: • Affordable Housing • Attainable Housing • Workforce Housing • Missing Middle Housing • Market Rate Housing The goal is that a household pays no more than 30% of their income on housing including utilities. High housing costs affect service employees and critical service personnel: teachers, EMS workers, construction workers, nurses, etc. National State of Housing - 2025 “The State of the Nation’s Housing 2025”, Joint Center for Housing Studies of Harvard University High home prices and elevated interest rates reduced homebuying to its lowest level since the mid-1990s. Despite an abundance of new apartments, high rents have left more people than ever cost burdened, and have contributed to a sharp rise in homelessness. Increases in both insurance premiums and property taxes have heightened financial stress on homeowners and landlords. Federal housing support is lessening, creating uncertainty regarding the availability of crucial assistance programs. Housing IS an Economic Development Strategy Reasons for Housing as an Economic Development Strategy • Reliable Workforce • Talent Attraction • Poverty Reduction • Mixed Income Neighborhoods • Increased Community Diversity • Enhanced Economic Mobility • Increased Property Values and Tax Base • Increased Disposable Income • More Business Tax Revenues “Why Local Governments Should Make Housing Part of Their Economic Development Plans”, Jenn Steinfeld, National League of Cities, January 16, 2024 Comprehensive Housing Study Housing Assessment Process • Data Collection & Analysis • Stakeholder Interviews & Public Engagement • Housing Gap Analysis • Housing Needs Assessment • Policy & Regulatory Review • Strategy Development Commuting Flow Apartment Market Average rent increased by 27% in 2021 Resale home prices increased by 63% between 2022 and 2019. New homes prices increased by 51% between 2022 and 2020. Chandler Home Price History Chandler Housing Gap Renter Gap 38% of renter households earn more than $100,000 A household earning the City median income can afford a $366,000 home with a 10% down payment. Low & Moderate-Income Households earning less than $50,000 per year. Workforce Households: • Market-rate renter housing to address the tight market for renters earning between $50,000 and $75,000 (affordable rent $1,125 to $1,725). • Homeownership opportunities directed at workforce households earning between $75,000 to $100,000. Targeted Housing Strategy Tools for Affordable Housing Development Infrastructure and Land Use Planning Infrastructure and Land Use Planning 2008 General Plan • Historically Land Use Planning lead Infrastructure Planning • Plan the Land Use, then Plan the Infrastructure • Potential Colorado River cuts not eminent • Abundance of Reclaimed Water supply • Water Allocation Policy 2016 General Plan • Moving closer to Build- Out • Reclaimed Water supply becoming a more valuable asset • Urban Residential Density / Infill Area • Update to Water Allocation Policy Infrastructure and Land Use Planning 2026 General Plan Update • Existing and Future Infrastructure capacities will influence update • On-Project vs. Off-Project Land differences • Colorado River cuts eminent • Infill and Re-Development can’t always pay for off-site improvements – i.e.: install larger wastewater pipe 2-3 miles away • Anticipate future CIP projects to accommodate Infill and Re-Development Downtown Region Area Plan Downtown Region Area Plan Update (DRAP) • Guide future development within the region that aligns with the community • Create a vision for the future built environment • Primary goals: o Adaptive reuse o Mixed-uses o Alley activation o Downtown gateways o Character area guidelines o Commerce routes DRAP is consistent with recommendations from AzTAP and the Washington Street Alignment Study. • Area: o Ray Rd to 202 & McQueen to Alma School Rd o 5 unique districts • Replace & combine existing area plans: o Chandler Redevelopment Element (blue) o South AZ Ave Corridor Area Plan (yellow) • Expand area from prior plans to add “gateways”: o San Marcos District o Arizona Ave north of Chandler Blvd o Chandler Blvd east of Arizona Ave o AZ Ave from 202 north to Pecos Rd Downtown Region Area Plan Update (DRAP) • Housing Land Uses o Neighborhood Residential o Mixed Use: commercial / office / residential * o High Density Residential • Key Benefits: o Support development of more housing o Allow redevelopment & adaptive reuse o Greater flexibility & creativity * Approvals will consider design, water & sewer demand, traffic & parking impact & neighborhood compatibility DRAP Future Land Use Map LO W LOW LOW ME D MED C/RET C/RET HIGH HIGH BIZ/ IND LO W LO W LO W LO W 1995 & 2006 Housing Land Uses RAY RD CHANDLER BLVD FRYE RD PECOS RD MCQUEEN RD 2006 1995 2006 • 1995 Redevelopment Element o Medium & High Density Residential o Low-Density Residential o Commercial / Residential • 2006 SAZACAP (downtown core) o Medium & High Density Residential o Low Density Residential o Mixed uses (High Density Residential / Commercial / Office) Largely, development under these plans did not occur as anticipated • HB 2720 - Accessory Dwelling Units (ADU) o 2 ADUs allowed on single family lots by right o A 3rd ADU allowed on 1+ acre lots if rented as ‘affordable’ o Effective Dec 9, 2024 • HB 2721 – Middle Housing o Duplexes, triplexes, fourplexes & townhomes allowed by right on single- family lots within 1 mile of central business district o Chandler will apply this to a larger area than mandated o Effective Jan 1, 2025 • HB 1529 – Preapproved Design o Requires standard preapproved housing designs o Includes single-family homes, duplexes, triplexes & ADUs o Effective July 1, 2026 & Jan 1, 2027 LOW COM/ RET Upcoming State Mandates Related to Housing Zoning changes to support DRAP housing: o More areas zoned for housing o ADUs allowed by right o Middle housing types allowed by right o Pre-approved plans to expedite approvals A Housing ‘Infusion’ LIVE WORK DUPLEX FOURPLEX TRIPLEX TOWNHOMES ADU Washington Street Area Vision • Smaller lot development • Adaptive Reuse • Neighborhood uses • Use of alleys Development to the South South AZ Corridor Study – Ø High & medium density residential development. Ø Assemblage of small parcels. Ø Revision of neighborhood streets to facilitate traffic for new growth. 2023 Washington Street Alignment – Lokahi Research 3 options for the re- alignment of Washington Street Community Input • 100% consensus opening to Pecos Rd • Allow for neighborhood traffic circulation • Right only lane on Fairview Avenue • Traffic calming • Minimize on-street parking from businesses on Arizona Ave Washington Street Alignment - Stakeholder Meetings Feedback Stakeholder Meetings • November 2021 – Overall Neighborhood Meeting – Kickoff • January 2023 – Southside Village Reunion at Harris Park • August 2025 – Washington Street Alignment Update ULI AZ TAP • April 2022 – ULI AZ Tap Meeting Stakeholder Meeting (Harris Park) • May 2022 – Panel Day • Individual Stakeholder interviews chosen by neighborhood Over 72 residents attending the various meetings with community leaders assisting with communication on all meetings Washington Street Meeting • August 2023 - Meeting with Southside Village Stakeholder Meeting • November 2023 –Washington Street Kick Off Meeting (Community Input Meeting Mt. Olive with Southside Village Stakeholder Meeting ) • December 2023 – Salvation Army Stakeholder Meeting • March 2024 – Southside Village Stakeholder Meeting • January 2024 – Light and Life Church Stakeholder Meeting • June 2024 – Salvation Army Leadership Board Meeting • August 2024 –Southside Village Stakeholder Meeting Downtown Region Area • August 2024 – Multiple meetings throughout the month Preferred Option 19 20 21 22 23 24 30 31 32 33 34 27 28 29 40 41 42 35 36 37 38 39 Arizona Ave. . 25 26 43 Small Development Housing Product Opportunities “Building Small brilliantly captures all the moving parts of the development process that need to be coordinated, changed and re-tooled to turn loose the entrepreneurial spirit necessary for great communities to grow.“ Tom Murphy, former three term Mayor of © Jim Heid, 2015 © Jim Heid, 2015 As of 2022, 19% of all housing units produced in CA is an ADU https://cayimby.org/reports/california-adu-reform-a-retrospective Housing Prototypes Assuming 50’ x 150’ Lot Size Single Family Home R8.5) Two Single Family Homes (MF2) Single Family w/ ADU/JADU Two Stacked Duplex (MF2) Two Rowhomes + 2 ADU Casita Court 4 Micro Homes As-of-Right +HB2829 10 Detached Duplex 2 Single Family 32 Single Family w/ ADU 44 UNITS Current Holdings Current Holdings 16 Detached Duplex / Live-Work 36 Row Homes 45 Garden-Style Courtyard 97 UNITS Closing the Gap for MMH GIVENS (out of your control) LEVERS (things you can influence) Construction Costs Land Cost Development Requirements A/E Services Permitting Speed/Certainty Interest Rates Financing Costs Developer Fees Impact Fees Ultimately good development is about Managing Risk. To the extent Chandler can partner with Developers to reduce entitlement and financial risk the better it will attract the kind of development it wants. Why Chandler? Why Not Chandler? ‘Plug and’ Play Infrastructure Surprise Offsite Costs Accessible, Collaborative Staff Siloed Departments City Led Community Engagement Go It Alone Neighbor Battles Clear, Transparent Fees Hidden Costs and Accruing Fees Streamlined Permit Requirements Long Confusing Approval Process Financial Tools to Support Delivery No Financial Support Why Chandler? • A complete solution • Prime the pump with infrastructure • Be ʻopen for businessʻ • Thought partner with Small Developers • Share the risk for shared gain Key Recommendations How This Approach Reduces Gentrification Risk • Gradual Change: Incremental development allows neighborhoods to evolve slowly, preventing sudden demographic shifts • Affordable Options: Smaller projects typically create more diverse price points, maintaining housing accessibility • Local Ownership: Small-scale development often involves local developers or existing residents who understand community needs • Economic Integration: Mixed-income housing prevents the displacement of existing residents • Community Voice: Smaller projects are more responsive to resident input and neighborhood planning • Capturing & Preserving Uniqueness: o Architectural Harmony: Small infill projects can complement existing building styles and scale o Local Character: Preserves walkability, street life, safety, and neighborhood gathering spaces o Cultural Continuity: Supports and incubates local businesses and community institutions that define neighborhood identity o Historic Preservation: Adaptive reuse of existing structures maintains neighborhood heritage Three Potential Delivery Models Public-Private Partnerships City-owned land and vacant lots developed through public-private partnerships or community land trusts Purpose: Maintain affordability through Income Qualifications, Deed Restriction, or Community Land Trust Potential Products: Duplex, triplex, and cottage court on vacant lots along Morales and Washington Streets Small Developers Local entrepreneurs and small -scale builders creating infill housing and mixed-use projects Purpose: Attract development that is a compliment to the neighborhood Potential Products: Duplex, triplex, cottage court and live- work spaces Existing Residents Current residents and their families adding units, renovating, or developing accessory dwelling units (ADUs) Purpose: Encourage existing residents to invest in their properties Potential Products: Small single unit to be used for rental income or building on vacant land, microbusinesses Next Steps Next Steps – Policy Actions Council Adoption of Downtown Region Area Plan – Scheduled for September 2025 Completion of Comprehensive Housing Study – October 2025 Completion of General Plan Update - February 2026 (City Council); August 2026 (voter ratification) Implementation of HB 2447 (Objective Design Standards) and HB 2721 (Middle Housing) by December 2025 Next Steps - Strategies Evaluate Community Land Trust Formation Identify RFP Elements for City Properties Receiving Capacity Analysis (General Plan) Public Housing Authority – Continued Redevelopment Planning Downtown Development Summit Annual Code Amendments(e.g. Zoning, Engineering, Pre-Approved Plans) Continue neighborhoods communication and outreach Develop Building Models/Design Prototypes Research Alternate Products/Materials Continue Discussions with Salvation Army on Winn School Site Utility Needs Assessment Questions?