Water Recharge Rate Analysis
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1 | P a g e TO: Robert Nilles Deputy City Manager/Finance Director FROM: Kevin Burnett, Willdan Financial Services Pat Walker, Pat Walker Consulting LLC CC: Nick Russo, Public Works Director DATE: February 18, 2021 SUBJECT: Recharge Rate Analysis Summary - Final The City of El Mirage (El Mirage) retained Willdan Financial Services and Pat Walker Consulting LLC, collectively the “Willdan Team” to calculate recharge fees that could be assessed to El Mirage water only customers as well as City of Surprise (Surprise) customers who are provided water service by El Mirage. Background The State of Arizona (State) requires El Mirage to recharge water into the State system based upon the amount of water drawn annually. While El Mirage offsets its recharge requirement through it sewer treatment plant in the form of reclaimed water, water only customers (as the name implies) are not connected to the sewer system and therefore the ability to reclaim the water as recharge is “lost”. El Mirage currently has a little under 250 water only customers. Similarly, approximately 1,200 customers on the El Mirage water system reside in Surprise but receive sewer service from Surprise not El Mirage. As such the water use of these customers must be recharged by El Mirage while Surprise receives the benefit of the reclaimed water through their sewer system. The quantification of the cost or value of the “lost” recharge water is the basis of the analysis conducted by the Willdan Team. Approach The Willdan Team undertook three steps to develop a recharge fee for El Mirage and Surprise customers (the rate is the same regardless of jurisdiction). The steps were: 1. Identify annual flows for El Mirage and Surprise customers based on winter water use (January through March). The customer classes included: a. El Mirage i. Residential ii. Commercial iii. Landscape b. Surprise i. Residential ii. Commercial 2. Identify the acre foot (AF) value of recharge water that is lost to El Mirage. 3. Calculate a flow-based rate in dollars per 1,000 gallons ($/kgals) that could be assessed to El Mirage water only customers and Surprise water customers reflecting the recharge water cost. City of El Mirage Water Flows A review of the City’s billing data indicated that the City provides water only service to just below 250 City of El Mirage customers. The City provided billing data was annualized water use based on winter quarter (January, February and 2 | P a g e March) use to estimate the amount of water that would be recovered through the City’s sewer system if the City provided sewer service to those customers. As use during those three months represent the estimated sewer flows for billing purposes, this was the water use selected to form the basis of amount of lost recharge water for the City. The City’s annualized estimate of residential and commercial water (which would otherwise enter the sewer system) is 31,538,000 gallons. We also examined the amount of landscape water used by City customers which does not enter the sewer system but contributes to the City’s annual recharge requirement. Landscape customers’ annual flows are 26,400,000, for total City flows of 57,938,000. A summary of flows can be found in the appendix. City of Surprise Water Flows A similar analysis of Surprise water customers and flows was undertaken. Landscape service is not provided to any Surprise customers. The review of Surprise’s billing data indicated that the City provides water only service to just below 1,200 Surprise customers. The City provided billing data was annualized using the same winter quarter (January, February and March) as was used to estimate sewer flows for City of El Mirage customers. Surprise’s annualized estimate of residential and commercial water (which would otherwise enter the sewer system) is 187,184,000 gallons. A summary of flows can be found in the appendix. Acre Feet (AF) of Recharge Water An AF of water is equivalent to 325,900 gallons of water. The 245,122,000 gallons of water (57,938,000 from El Mirage and 187,184,000 from Surprise) gallons of discharged water (sewer flows) equates to approximately 752.14 AF of recharge water. It was necessary to convert the lost sewer flows or potential recharge water to AF, because water is sold on the open market in AF and is assigned a dollar value in that measurement. The open market AF rate of water was taken from the Central Arizona Groundwater Replenishment District (CAGRD) Final 2020/21 – 2025/26 Rate Schedule for the Phoenix Active Management Area. The rates are summarized in Table 1 below. Table 1 Projected Open Market Rate for Recharge water (CAGRD – Phoenix Active Management Area Assessment rates) Fiscal Year Projected Value of One Acre Foot of Water 2021-22 $739 2022-23 773 2023-24 791 2024-25 795 2025-26 796 As noted in Table 1, the projected range for an AF of water is between $739 and $796. Recharge Water Flow Based Rate The final step in the analysis was to determine what a flow-based rate would be for the sewer flows from both entities that is not recovered through the City sewer system and therefore needs to be recovered from another source. The annual flows as previously identified are estimated (based on AWC) at 245,122,000 gallons. It is assumed that these flows will remain constant throughout the study period and that there will not be any additional water only customers. The estimated water recharge cost by year using annual flows and AF water cost by year is summarized in Table 2. Additional detail can be found in the attached appendix. 3 | P a g e Table 2 Projected Recharge Water Cost Fiscal Year Projected Annual Cost of Recharge Water 2021-22 $555,830 2022-23 581,403 2023-24 594,942 2024-25 597,950 2025-26 598,702 The values in Table 2 which range from a low of $555,830 per year (FY 2021-22) to a high of $598,702 per year (FY 2025-26) were converted to a rate per 1,000 gallons to be assessed to water only customers, in addition to the rates currently being assessed for water service. In addition to the value of recharge water identified in Table 2, the cost to the City to complete the recharge study analysis (a cost of $7,000) was added to the FY 2021-22 costs to be recovered. The cost for FY 2021-22 including the cost of the recharge study was $562,830. The calculated fees per 1,000 gallons are summarized in Table 3 below. Table 3 Projected Recharge Water Rates Fiscal Year Projected Recharge Water Rate ($/kgals) 2021-22 $2.30 2022-23 2.37 2023-24 2.43 2024-25 2.44 2025-26 2.44 The rates identified in Table 3, represent the projected cost to the City per 1,000 gallons of water that is provided to water only customers that is not recaptured through the City’s sewer system, which would be used to ultimately offset the annual recharge requirements the City must meet. The rate would be assessed a s a uniform rate per 1,000 gallons of average winter quarter average water use non water only customers and should be updated annually in much the same manner that the City currently uses to determine sewer use for their customers. Using the average use per account per month (calculation shown in the appendix) the average monthly cost (FY 2021-22) for customers are summarized in Table 4. Table 4 Projected Average Monthly Recharge Water Bill Customer FY 2021-22 (Rate per kgals) Average Flows (kgals) Monthly Bill City of El Mirage Residential $2.30 8.83 $20.28 Commercial 2.30 24.49 56.23 Landscape 2.30 31.88 73.21 City of Surprise Residential $2.30 6.38 $14.64 Commercial 2.30 43.60 100.12 Average Use FY 2021‐22 Average per Account Average Average Customer Type Class Period Year Annual Use Monthly Use Per Month Monthly Bill Accounts El Mirage Water Only Residential Annualized AWC 2020 11,554 963 8.83 $20.28 109 El Mirage Water Only Commercial Annualized AWC 2020 19,984 1,665 24.49 56.23 68 El Mirage Water Only Landscape Annualized AWC 2020 26,400 2,200 31.88 73.21 69 City of Surprise Residential Jan‐Mar 2020 75,212 6,268 6.38 14.64 983 City of Surprise Commercial Jan‐Mar 2020 111,972 9,331 43.60 100.12 214 Total (Kgals) 245,122 20,427 Acre Feet 752.14 62.68 Gals/AF 325,900 325,900 Thousands of Gallons FINAL - Recharge Rate Calculation 1 Assessment Rates of Projected Recharge Projected Recharge Fiscal Year One Acre Foot of Water Water Cost Water Rate per 1,000 Gals 2021‐22 $739 $555,830 $2.27 2022‐23 773 581,403 2.37 2023‐24 791 594,942 2.43 2024‐25 795 597,950 2.44 2025‐26 796 598,702 2.44 FINAL - Recharge Rate Calculation 2 Description FY 2021‐22 FY 2022‐23 FY 2023‐24 FY 2024‐25 FY 2025‐26 Revenue Recharge Fee ($/Kgals) $2.30 $2.37 $2.43 $2.44 $2.44 Projected Flows (Kgals) 245,122 245,122 245,122 245,122 245,122 Projected Revenue 562,830 581,403 594,942 597,950 598,702 Expenses Fee Study Cost 7,000 0 0 0 0 Projected Expenses 7,000 0 0 0 0 Net Cashflow to Offset Recharge Costs $555,830 $581,403 $594,942 $597,950 $598,702 Description FY 2021‐22 FY 2022‐23 FY 2023‐24 FY 2024‐25 FY 2025‐26 Cost per Acre Foot $739 $773 $791 $795 $796 Acre Feet of Recharge Water 752.14 752.14 752.14 752.14 752.14 Total Cost of Recharge 555,830 581,403 594,942 597,950 598,702 Add: Fee Study Cost 7,000 0 0 0 0 Total Cost of Recharge 562,830 581,403 594,942 597,950 598,702 Projected Flows (Kgals) 245,122 245,122 245,122 245,122 245,122 Water Recharge Cost ($ per Kgals) $2.30 $2.37 $2.43 $2.44 $2.44 Recharge Cashflow Analysis FINAL - Recharge Rate Calculation 3