MARICOPA COUNTY IMPACT ANALYSIS.PDF
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June 2025 Maricopa County Apple Inc. Impact Analysis 602.256.7700 /// gpec.org Impact Analysis Overview Below is an analysis of Apple Inc.’s impact over the next 10 years to demonstrate the economic value the company will generate in Maricopa County. Based on the assumptions outlined below, Apple Inc. will generate an estimated $1.1 million in direct tax revenues and an additional $300,480 in indirect tax revenues for a total of $1.4 million in tax revenue to Maricopa County over a 10-year period. In 10 years, this company will directly create an estimated $45 million of personal income, plus an additional $46.9 million in indirect personal income for a total of $91.9 million. Over a 10-year period Apple Inc. will create $281 million in economic output, with $143.3 million in direct economic output, and $138 million in indirect output. Assumptions • Total Employment at the end of 10 Years: 50 jobs • Total Payroll at the end of 10 Years: $45 million • Total Square Feet of Property: 112,721 square feet by Year 1 (based on similar floor-to- area ratio as current site) • Total Real Property Improvement Investment: $60 million • Total Personal Property Investment: $100 million 10-Year Economic Impact to Maricopa County Impact Jobs Personal Income Economic Output Revenues Direct 50 $45,000,000 $143,360,240 $1,110,540 Indirect 68 $46,885,260 $137,926,830 $300,480 Total 118 $91,885,250 $281,287,070 $1,411,020 IMPACT ANALYSIS 2 Direct Revenue and Economic Impact Year Jobs Personal Income Output Revenues 2026 50 $4,500,000 $14,336,024 $388,254 2027 50 $4,500,000 $14,336,024 $80,254 2028 50 $4,500,000 $14,336,024 $80,254 2029 50 $4,500,000 $14,336,024 $80,254 2030 50 $4,500,000 $14,336,024 $80,254 2031 50 $4,500,000 $14,336,024 $80,254 2032 50 $4,500,000 $14,336,024 $80,254 2033 50 $4,500,000 $14,336,024 $80,254 2034 50 $4,500,000 $14,336,024 $80,254 2035 50 $4,500,000 $14,336,024 $80,254 Total 50 $45,000,000 $143,360,240 $1,110,540 Year Jobs Personal Income Output Revenues 2026 68 $4,688,526 $13,792,683 $30,048 2027 68 $4,688,526 $13,792,683 $30,048 2028 68 $4,688,526 $13,792,683 $30,048 2029 68 $4,688,526 $13,792,683 $30,048 2030 68 $4,688,526 $13,792,683 $30,048 2031 68 $4,688,526 $13,792,683 $30,048 2032 68 $4,688,526 $13,792,683 $30,048 2033 68 $4,688,526 $13,792,683 $30,048 2034 68 $4,688,526 $13,792,683 $30,048 2035 68 $4,688,526 $13,792,683 $30,048 Total 68 $46,885,260 $137,926,830 $300,480 Year Jobs Personal Income Output Revenues 2026 118 $9,188,525 $28,128,707 $418,302 2027 118 $9,188,525 $28,128,707 $110,302 2028 118 $9,188,525 $28,128,707 $110,302 2029 118 $9,188,525 $28,128,707 $110,302 2030 118 $9,188,525 $28,128,707 $110,302 2031 118 $9,188,525 $28,128,707 $110,302 2032 118 $9,188,525 $28,128,707 $110,302 2033 118 $9,188,525 $28,128,707 $110,302 2034 118 $9,188,525 $28,128,707 $110,302 2035 118 $9,188,525 $28,128,707 $110,302 Total 118 $91,885,250 $281,287,070 $1,411,020 Indirect Revenue and Economic Impact Total Revenue and Economic Impact 3 IMPACT ANALYSIS Property Tax Analysis IMPACT ANALYSIS 4 Year Property Taxes Total Business Residential 2026 $44,920 $42,284 $2,636 2027 $44,920 $42,284 $2,636 2028 $44,920 $42,284 $2,636 2029 $44,920 $42,284 $2,636 2030 $44,920 $42,284 $2,636 2031 $44,920 $42,284 $2,636 2032 $44,920 $42,284 $2,636 2033 $44,920 $42,284 $2,636 2034 $44,920 $42,284 $2,636 2035 $44,920 $42,284 $2,636 Total $449,200 $422,840 $26,360 About GPEC Economic Impact Model The Greater Phoenix impact model calculates economic and revenue impacts of new business in the region. The underlying theory behind this regional model is that all communities benefit when a new business locates in the region, both in terms of employed residents and new revenues. The purpose of the model is to show how this distribution of economic benefits may occur. Economic Impact The impact model uses county-level multipliers from the IMPLAN Group for Maricopa County to calculate direct and indirect impact on specific communities in the Greater Phoenix region. The model also calculates economic impact to the county and state economies in terms of new jobs, output, and revenue generated. In addition to jobs, new businesses create new consumer spending throughout. The payroll from the new businesses can be converted into effective buying income. On a regional basis, effective buying income is distributed across retail and service categories based on spending patterns from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Revenue Impact Direct revenue impacts include revenues generated directly by the businesses, based on project information such as real property values, employment, direct sales, and local and nonlocal purchases. Additional revenues generated by related supplier and consumer jobs, and supported residents are included in the indirect and total impact results. All revenue projections are in current dollars. Disclaimer The results from this analysis suggest only one possible scenario based on given project parameters and assumptions, and do not exclude other development possibilities under different assumptions. The economic impact model serves as a tool for basic quantitative evaluations for economic development projects. The results are based on the current economic structure of the communities, and current tax rates. The results of the model are order-of-magnitude estimates and are intended only as a general guide as to show how businesses and development projects may impact the region. IMPACT ANALYSIS Impact Analysis 5 Greater Phoenix Greater Together 602.256.7700 /// gpec.org