BLUE POLYMERS IMPACT ANALYSIS.PDF
Extracted text (via pymupdf)
7764 characters
DECMEBER 2024 Blue Polymers Impact Analysis 602.256.7700 /// gpec.org Impact Analysis Overview Below is an analysis of Blue Polymers' impact over the next 10 years to demonstrate the economic value the company will generate in Maricopa County. Based on the assumptions outlined below, Blue Polymers will generate an estimated $935,000 in direct tax revenues and an additional $98,000 in indirect tax revenues for a total of $1.03 million in tax revenue to Maricopa County over a 10-year period. In 10 years this company will directly create an estimated $37.4 million of personal income, plus an additional $33.9 million in indirect personal income for a total of $71.3 million. Over a 10-year period Blue Polymers will create $357 million in economic output, with $222.4 million in direct economic output, and $134.6 million in indirect output. Assumptions • Total Employment at the end of 10 Years: 60 jobs • Annual Payroll at the end of 10 Years: $4 million • Total Square Feet of Property: 168,016 square feet by Year 1 • Total Real Property Improvement Investment: $43.3 million • Total Personal Property Investment: $51.8 million 10-Year Economic Impact to Maricopa County Impact Jobs Personal Income Economic Output Revenues Direct 60 $37,401,750 $222,396,378 $934,875 Indirect 69 $33,853,590 $134,565,584 $98,220 Total 129 $71,255,349 $356,961,962 $1,033,096 IMPACT ANALYSIS 2 Direct Revenue and Economic Impact Year Jobs Personal Income Output Revenues 2024 30 $1,761,750 $10,475,628 $379,839 2025 60 $3,960,000 $23,546,750 $61,671 2026 60 $3,960,000 $23,546,750 $61,671 2027 60 $3,960,000 $23,546,750 $61,671 2028 60 $3,960,000 $23,546,750 $61,671 2029 60 $3,960,000 $23,546,750 $61,671 2030 60 $3,960,000 $23,546,750 $61,671 2031 60 $3,960,000 $23,546,750 $61,671 2032 60 $3,960,000 $23,546,750 $61,671 2033 60 $3,960,000 $23,546,750 $61,671 Total 60 $37,401,750 $222,396,378 $934,875 Year Jobs Personal Income Output Revenues 2024 31 $1,594,620 $6,338,498 $4,626 2025 69 $3,584,330 $14,247,454 $10,399 2026 69 $3,584,330 $14,247,454 $10,399 2027 69 $3,584,330 $14,247,454 $10,399 2028 69 $3,584,330 $14,247,454 $10,399 2029 69 $3,584,330 $14,247,454 $10,399 2030 69 $3,584,330 $14,247,454 $10,399 2031 69 $3,584,330 $14,247,454 $10,399 2032 69 $3,584,330 $14,247,454 $10,399 2033 69 $3,584,330 $14,247,454 $10,399 Total 69 $33,853,590 $134,565,584 $98,220 Year Jobs Personal Income Output Revenues 2024 61 $3,356,370 $16,814,126 $384,465 2025 129 $7,544,331 $37,794,204 $72,070 2026 129 $7,544,331 $37,794,204 $72,070 2027 129 $7,544,331 $37,794,204 $72,070 2028 129 $7,544,331 $37,794,204 $72,070 2029 129 $7,544,331 $37,794,204 $72,070 2030 129 $7,544,331 $37,794,204 $72,070 2031 129 $7,544,331 $37,794,204 $72,070 2032 129 $7,544,331 $37,794,204 $72,070 2033 129 $7,544,331 $37,794,204 $72,070 Total 129 $71,255,349 $356,961,962 $1,033,096 Indirect Revenue and Economic Impact Total Revenue and Economic Impact 3 IMPACT ANALYSIS Direct Revenue Breakdown 4 IMPACT ANALYSIS Year Sales Tax Property Tax Utility Tax State Shared Revenues Total Revenue 2023 $474,600 $123,584 $917 $11,029 $610,130 2024 $2,140,040 $344,090 $1,799 $21,644 $2,507,573 2025 $1,963,990 $524,943 $2,716 $32,673 $2,524,322 2026 $348,005 $516,643 $4,000 $48,113 $916,761 2027 $362,705 $520,781 $4,688 $56,385 $944,559 2028 $385,000 $526,965 $5,731 $68,930 $986,626 2029 $122,500 $526,965 $5,731 $68,930 $724,126 2030 $122,500 $526,965 $5,731 $68,930 $724,126 2031 $122,500 $526,965 $5,731 $68,930 $724,126 2032 $122,500 $526,965 $5,731 $68,930 $724,126 Total $6,164,340 $4,664,866 $42,775 $514,494 $11,386,472 Indirect Revenue Breakdown Year Sales Tax Property Tax Utility Tax State Shared Revenues Total Revenue 2023 $25,410 $6,848 $1,189 $14,298 $47,745 2024 $49,866 $13,440 $2,333 $28,060 $93,699 2025 $75,276 $20,288 $3,521 $42,357 $141,442 2026 $110,849 $29,876 $5,186 $62,374 $208,285 2027 $129,907 $35,012 $6,077 $73,098 $244,094 2028 $158,810 $42,802 $7,429 $89,362 $298,403 2029 $158,810 $42,802 $7,429 $89,362 $298,403 2030 $158,810 $42,802 $7,429 $89,362 $298,403 2031 $158,810 $42,802 $7,429 $89,362 $298,403 2032 $158,810 $42,802 $7,429 $89,362 $298,403 Total $1,185,358 $319,474 $55,451 $666,997 $2,227,280 Total Revenue Breakdown Year Sales Tax Property Tax Utility Tax State Shared Revenues Total Revenue 2023 $500,010 $130,432 $2,106 $25,327 $657,875 2024 $2,189,906 $357,530 $4,132 $49,704 $2,601,272 2025 $2,039,266 $545,231 $6,238 $75,030 $2,665,765 2026 $458,854 $546,519 $9,186 $110,487 $1,125,046 2027 $492,611 $555,793 $10,765 $129,482 $1,188,651 2028 $543,810 $569,767 $13,160 $158,291 $1,285,028 2029 $281,310 $569,767 $13,160 $158,291 $1,022,528 2030 $281,310 $569,767 $13,160 $158,291 $1,022,528 2031 $281,310 $569,767 $13,160 $158,291 $1,022,528 2032 $281,310 $569,767 $13,160 $158,291 $1,022,528 Total $7,349,697 $4,984,340 $98,227 $1,181,485 $13,613,752 Property Tax Analysis IMPACT ANALYSIS 5 Year Property Taxes Total Business Residential 2024 $32,522 $31,402 $1,120 2025 $33,821 $31,402 $2,419 2026 $33,821 $31,402 $2,419 2027 $33,821 $31,402 $2,419 2028 $33,821 $31,402 $2,419 2029 $33,821 $31,402 $2,419 2030 $33,821 $31,402 $2,419 2031 $33,821 $31,402 $2,419 2032 $33,821 $31,402 $2,419 2033 $33,821 $31,402 $2,419 Total $336,908 $314,020 $22,888 About GPEC Economic Impact Model The Greater Phoenix impact model calculates economic and revenue impacts of new business in the region. The underlying theory behind this regional model is that all communities benefit when a new business locates in the region, both in terms of employed residents and new revenues. The purpose of the model is to show how this distribution of economic benefits may occur. Economic Impact The impact model uses county-level multipliers from the IMPLAN Group for Maricopa County to calculate direct and indirect impact on specific communities in the Greater Phoenix region. The model also calculates economic impact to the county and state economies in terms of new jobs, output, and revenue generated. In addition to jobs, new businesses create new consumer spending throughout. The payroll from the new businesses can be converted into effective buying income. On a regional basis, effective buying income is distributed across retail and service categories based on spending patterns from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Revenue Impact Direct revenue impacts include revenues generated directly by the businesses, based on project information such as real property values, employment, direct sales, and local and nonlocal purchases. Additional revenues generated by related supplier and consumer jobs, and supported residents are included in the indirect and total impact results. All revenue projections are in current dollars. Disclaimer The results from this analysis suggest only one possible scenario based on given project parameters and assumptions, and do not exclude other development possibilities under different assumptions. The economic impact model serves as a tool for basic quantitative evaluations for economic development projects. The results are based on the current economic structure of the communities, and current tax rates. The results of the model are order-of-magnitude estimates and are intended only as a general guide as to show how businesses and development projects may impact the region. IMPACT ANALYSIS Impact Analysis 6 Greater Phoenix Greater Together 602.256.7700 /// gpec.org